Short Trade on ONDO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1353.27 ONDO at 0.405$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3906 (3.65 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4113 (1.46 %)
01 Nov 2026 at 11:39:01
hyperliquid
ONDO
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Nov 2026 11:39
→ 23:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.4054$
Qty 1353.2715 ONDO
Size 548.6027$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3906 (+3.65%)
TP $ 20.03$
SL 0.4113 (-1.46%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.51
Status
win
PnL
+0.94%
/ +5.14$
MAE -0.20%
MFE +1.59%
1.1R
expires
01 Nov 23:38
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 239641)
#43 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 11:00
score du 01/11/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2908
Quality Score
0.429
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#43 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.46 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#43 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.46 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.84×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.54×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.01×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 11:31
01/11 11:31
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 01/11 10:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7546
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
41.4%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
→+0.033
Δ 12h
→+0.034
Δ 24h
▼-0.279
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 41.4% |
| 1h | 48.3% |
| 4h | 48.3% |
| 24h | 48.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 48.3% | -0.00% |
| 4h | 31.0% | -0.04% |
| 24h | 41.4% | -0.05% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
6.9%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
6.9%
Tail ↑
+0.50
Tail ↓
+0.37
Dispersion :
0.078
Universe :
29
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
01/11 11:30
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3108
Score SMA
0.3064
Rank
#42
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2679
Rank Norm SMA
0.3112
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2357 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.26% · r3d: -2.87% · ema21_slope: -0.6777% · dist_ema21: -4.952% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4847 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.51% · rs_3d: 1.78% · beta_24h: 2.226 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1826 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.596 · trend: -37.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5494 | ADX: 23.4 (weak) · Chop: 56.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.190% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.4288
Score SMA
0.5249
Rank
#43
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2908
Rank Norm SMA
0.5464
Calculé le
01/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4402 | r1h: -0.385% · r4h: -1.002% · r1d: -1.48% · r3d: -5.51% · ema21_slope: 0.0099% · dist_ema21: -0.880% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4335 | rs_1h: -0.306% · rs_4h: -1.027% · rs_1d: -2.00% · rs_3d: -0.89% · beta_24h: 1.424 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1250 | rvol_20: 0.17× · zscore_50: -1.125 · trend: -71.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4226 | ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 65.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.849% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.4321
Score SMA
0.4943
Rank
#25
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6277
Rank Norm SMA
0.5639
Calculé le
01/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3950 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.002% · r1d: -1.48% · r3d: -5.51% · ema21_slope: 0.0496% · dist_ema21: -0.592% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4669 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.027% · rs_1d: -2.00% · rs_3d: -0.89% · beta_24h: 2.169 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1740 | rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.390 · trend: -60.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4141 | ADX: 10.3 (weak) · Chop: 59.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.538% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.455%
(0.0059)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.254% | 0.2R | -0.091% | 0.1R | 2.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.627% | 0.4R | -0.091% | 0.1R | 6.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.589% | 1.1R | -0.091% | 0.1R | 17.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.589% | 1.1R | -0.205% | 0.1R | 7.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.589% | 1.1R | -0.205% | 0.1R | 7.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.559% | 3.1R | -0.205% | 0.1R | 22.3× | 288 |
| 36h | +6.108% | 4.2R | -0.205% | 0.1R | 29.8× | 432 |
| 48h | +6.421% | 4.4R | -0.205% | 0.1R | 31.4× | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 2055 min
MAE in 440 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 31 minutes ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.44
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.58 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.93 | 30/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.62 | bear_high | -3.03% | +0.26 | 01/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | weak | fading | compression | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.79 | range_low | -0.59% | -0.12 | 01/11 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_low |
47%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -2.1ATR | — | 0.45 | range_low | +0.36% | -0.13 | 01/11 11:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#475022
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.649 | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 33b -0.7ATR | — | — | 0.53 | 47% | ↓ -0.54 | above_value | +0.37 | — | #224503 | 0.58 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.93 |
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:21
|
|
4h
#479635
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.245 | compression | bear_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 15b -0.3ATR | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.21 | 9% | ↓ -0.74 | value | -2.00 | — | #226419 | 0.62 | bear_high | -3.03% | +0.26 |
01/11 07:00
upd 01/11 11:12
|
|
1h
anchor #479634
|
↔ neutral | range | range | weak | fading | 0.471 | compression | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 9b -1.1ATR | — | — | 0.17 | 3% | ↓ -0.56 | value | -2.00 | — | #226419 | 0.79 | range_low | -0.59% | -0.12 |
01/11 10:00
upd 01/11 11:12
|
|
15m
#479767
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.548 | normal | bear_low |
47%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 6b -1.5ATR | near -2.1ATR | — | 0.04 | 1% | ↓ -0.75 | value | -2.00 | — | #226419 | 0.45 | range_low | +0.36% | -0.13 |
01/11 11:15
upd 01/11 11:31
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 33b | — | 5.922×ATR | p78 | -0.726×ATR | p53 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 4.393×ATR | p66 | -0.265×ATR | p15 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 2.662×ATR | p52 | -1.118×ATR | p63 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.12×ATR | p29 | -1.504×ATR | p70 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8507
- reason: down_bo width=2.66×ATR dur=37b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 0.4113016
- tp_price: 0.390611
- atr:
- score: 0.95068997695671
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T04:38:53.758075
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.95068997695671
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2918
- obi_top10 : 0.1397
- micro_price : 0.40469384
- spread_pct : 0.049432
- mid_price : 0.4047
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.294
- obi_top5_std : 0.0284
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7068
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.415415
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.40652
- balance_zone_mid:
0.4109675
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793419200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793548800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.6624
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
37
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9507
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793545200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.40652
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9189
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3382
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
9
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00334098 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
37
inside_close_ratio
0.9189
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3382
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:39 | 0.40539000 | -0.002% |
| 2 | 11:51 | 0.40539000 | -0.002% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7068ms
Confidence avant OB :
95%
→
85%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.292
avg 0.294
± 0.028
OBI Top 10
0.140
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.4047
Micro Price
0.4047
Spread
0.0494%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4054 | 0.4113 | 0.3906 | 2.51 | 0.3801 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4054
- Stop Loss: 0.4113
- Take Profit: 0.3906
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4113 - 0.4054 = 0.0059
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4054 - 0.3906 = 0.0148
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0148 / 0.0059 = 2.5085
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 548.6027 | 100 | 1353.2715 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0059
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0059 = 1355.93
Taille de position USD = 1355.93 x 0.4054 = 549.69
Donc, tu peux acheter 1355.93 avec un stoploss a 0.4113
Avec un position size USD de 549.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1355.93 x 0.0059 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1355.93 x 0.0148 = 20.07
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.07$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1355.93
- Taille de position USD 549.69
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.07
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5085
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.65 % | 20.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.46 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.14 $ | 0.94 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2047 % | 14.06 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4054 | 0.4113 | 0.3906 | 2.51 | 0.3801 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4054
- Stop Loss: 0.4113
- Take Profit: 0.3906
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4113 - 0.4054 = 0.0059
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4054 - 0.3906 = 0.0148
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0148 / 0.0059 = 2.5085
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.455%
(0.0059)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.254% | 0.2R | -0.091% | 0.1R | 2.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.627% | 0.4R | -0.091% | 0.1R | 6.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.589% | 1.1R | -0.091% | 0.1R | 17.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.589% | 1.1R | -0.205% | 0.1R | 7.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.589% | 1.1R | -0.205% | 0.1R | 7.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.559% | 3.1R | -0.205% | 0.1R | 22.3× | 288 |
| 36h | +6.108% | 4.2R | -0.205% | 0.1R | 29.8× | 432 |
| 48h | +6.421% | 4.4R | -0.205% | 0.1R | 31.4× | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 2055 min
MAE in 440 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 31 minutes ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.