Short Trade on POL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 7847.45 POL at 0.0912$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08864 (2.8 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09221 (1.12 %)
01 Nov 2026 at 11:40:22
hyperliquid
POL
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Nov 2026 11:40
→ 23:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.09119$
Qty 7847.4457 POL
Size 715.6086$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08864 (+2.8%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.09221 (-1.12%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.88%
/ +6.27$
MAE -0.40%
MFE +1.24%
1.1R
expires
01 Nov 23:40
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: )
#12 / 67
OUT
seuil : top 15
Avg Rank 8h:
Quality Score
N/A
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#12 / 67
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
N/A
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#12 / 67
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
347,362 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 11:31
01/11 11:31
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
— |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7546
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
41.4%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
→+0.033
Δ 12h
→+0.034
Δ 24h
▼-0.279
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 41.4% |
| 1h | 48.3% |
| 4h | 48.3% |
| 24h | 48.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 48.3% | -0.00% |
| 4h | 31.0% | -0.04% |
| 24h | 41.4% | -0.05% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
6.9%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
6.9%
Tail ↑
+0.50
Tail ↓
+0.37
Dispersion :
0.078
Universe :
29
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
01/11 11:30
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5789
Score SMA
0.4102
Rank
#8
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9205
Rank Norm SMA
0.4595
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4246 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 8.35% · r3d: 2.69% · ema21_slope: -0.5145% · dist_ema21: 0.455% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6999 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 9.13% · rs_3d: 7.08% · beta_24h: 1.470 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9679 | rvol_20: 3.28× · zscore_50: 2.519 · trend: 111.95% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5531 | ADX: 32.3 (trend) · Chop: 64.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.172% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.119%
(0.0010)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.114% | 0.1R | -0.163% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.717% | 0.6R | -0.163% | 0.2R | 4.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.243% | 1.1R | -0.163% | 0.2R | 7.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.243% | 1.1R | -0.404% | 0.4R | 3.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.243% | 1.1R | -0.404% | 0.4R | 3.1× | 143 |
| 24h | +3.642% | 3.3R | -0.404% | 0.4R | 9.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +4.491% | 4.0R | -0.404% | 0.4R | 11.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +4.925% | 4.4R | -2.731% | 2.4R | 1.8× | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 1619 min
MAE in 439 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 20 minutes ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.19
Prediction Score: N/A
No context market snapshot
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.9426
- reason: down_bo width=2.53×ATR dur=31b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.09220944
- tp_price: 0.08864141
- atr:
- score: 0.94264753290005
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T04:40:14.505525
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.94264753290005
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0316
- obi_top10 : 0.0134
- micro_price : 0.09105296
- spread_pct : 0.043946
- mid_price : 0.09104
- bid_wall_price : 0.09
- bid_wall_size : 1155130
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0311
- obi_top5_std : 0.0006
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7040
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.09289
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.091412
- balance_zone_mid:
0.092151
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793440800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793548800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.5292
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
31
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9426
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793545200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.091412
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9355
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3799
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00058437 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
31
inside_close_ratio
0.9355
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3799
Signaux confirmants (17)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:40 | 0.09119000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:53 | 0.09119000 | 0% |
| 3 | 12:08 | 0.09123900 | +0.054% |
| 4 | 12:21 | 0.09123900 | +0.054% |
| 5 | 12:35 | 0.09123900 | +0.054% |
| 6 | 12:48 | 0.09127500 | +0.093% |
| 7 | 13:01 | 0.09127500 | +0.093% |
| 8 | 13:19 | 0.09106600 | -0.136% |
| 9 | 13:33 | 0.09106600 | -0.136% |
| 10 | 13:46 | 0.09073900 | -0.495% |
| 11 | 14:00 | 0.09073900 | -0.495% |
| 12 | 14:15 | 0.09071900 | -0.517% |
| 13 | 14:29 | 0.09071900 | -0.517% |
| 14 | 15:12 | 0.09063600 | -0.608% |
| 15 | 15:26 | 0.09063600 | -0.608% |
| 16 | 15:40 | 0.09058100 | -0.668% |
| 17 | 15:52 | 0.09058100 | -0.668% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7040ms
Confidence avant OB :
94%
→
94%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.032
avg 0.031
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.013
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0910
Micro Price
0.0911
Spread
0.0439%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0900
Size
1,155,130.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09119 | 0.09221 | 0.08864 | 2.5 | 0.09171 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.09119
- Stop Loss: 0.09221
- Take Profit: 0.08864
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09221 - 0.09119 = 0.00102
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09119 - 0.08864 = 0.00255
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00255 / 0.00102 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 715.6086 | 100 | 7847.4457 | 7.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00102
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00102 = 7843.14
Taille de position USD = 7843.14 x 0.09119 = 715.22
Donc, tu peux acheter 7843.14 avec un stoploss a 0.09221
Avec un position size USD de 715.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7843.14 x 0.00102 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7843.14 x 0.00255 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 7843.14
- Taille de position USD 715.22
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.8 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.12 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 6.27 $ | 0.88 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4036 % | 36.08 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09119 | 0.09221 | 0.08864 | 2.5 | 0.09171 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.09119
- Stop Loss: 0.09221
- Take Profit: 0.08864
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09221 - 0.09119 = 0.00102
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09119 - 0.08864 = 0.00255
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00255 / 0.00102 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.119%
(0.0010)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.114% | 0.1R | -0.163% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.717% | 0.6R | -0.163% | 0.2R | 4.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.243% | 1.1R | -0.163% | 0.2R | 7.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.243% | 1.1R | -0.404% | 0.4R | 3.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.243% | 1.1R | -0.404% | 0.4R | 3.1× | 143 |
| 24h | +3.642% | 3.3R | -0.404% | 0.4R | 9.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +4.491% | 4.0R | -0.404% | 0.4R | 11.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +4.925% | 4.4R | -2.731% | 2.4R | 1.8× | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 1619 min
MAE in 439 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 20 minutes ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.