Short Trade on SUI

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01 Nov 2026 at 14:09:25 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SUI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 1112.94 SUI at 0.894$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8762 (2.01 %) & Stop Loss: 0.9014 (0.81 %)

SUI SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 14:09 → 18:10 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.8942$

Qty 1112.9397 SUI

Size 995.213$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)

Risk Setup

TP 0.8762 (+2.01%)

TP $ 20.03$

SL 0.9014 (-0.81%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -0.81% / -8.01$ MAE -1.60% MFE +0.95% 1.2R expires 02 Nov 02:09

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 239833)

#32 / 53

OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5099

Quality Score

0.466

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#32 / 53

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

0.81 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#32 / 53

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

0.81 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.83×ATR
4h	clear	1.75×ATR
1d	clear	2.11×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↑ up	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

2.8M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 14:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 01/11 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

30/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/11 07:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1)

01/11 13:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7556

Voir snapshot →

bear developing bear_expansion

Strategic	bear 0.55	expansion +2
Operational	bear 0.55	expansion +1
Tactical	range 0.25	compression 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 0.63

Transition risk : 0.37

Score contribution (this trade) +3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 10.0%

Macro broad_risk_off

Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state deteriorating

Δ 15m

→+0.000

Δ 1h

▼-0.167

Δ 4h

▼-0.327

Δ 12h

▼-0.585

Δ 24h

▼-0.646

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	16.7%
1h	30.0%
4h	6.7%
24h	36.7%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	16.7%	-0.08%
4h	6.7%	-0.94%
24h	33.3%	-0.49%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

0.0%

Down ≥1σ

10.0%

Expansion

10.0%

Tail ↑

+0.28

Tail ↓

+0.55

Dispersion : 0.129

Universe : 30 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M

+0 added · -0 removed

Regime confidence : 0.78

Snapshot évalué : 01/11 14:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.2905

Score SMA

0.3060

Rank

#46 / 57

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1964

Rank Norm SMA

0.3243

Calculé le

31/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2274	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.63% · r3d: -4.67% · ema21_slope: -0.7270% · dist_ema21: -7.062%
Force Relative	25%	0.4255	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.88% · rs_3d: -0.02% · beta_24h: 2.098
Volume	20%	0.1532	rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -1.127 · trend: -28.77%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5686	ADX: 24.6 (weak) · Chop: 55.0 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 7.065% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/11/2026 14:00

Score brut

0.4657

Score SMA

0.5099

Rank

#32 / 53

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5099

Rank Norm SMA

0.4909

Calculé le

01/11/2026 14:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4454	r1h: -0.506% · r4h: -0.919% · r1d: -0.88% · r3d: -4.06% · ema21_slope: 0.0058% · dist_ema21: -0.787%
Force Relative	25%	0.4509	rs_1h: -0.389% · rs_4h: -0.704% · rs_1d: -1.21% · rs_3d: -0.37% · beta_24h: 1.221
Volume	20%	0.2693	rvol_20: 1.12× · zscore_50: -0.439 · trend: -57.89%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4368	ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 61.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 0.581% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/11/2026 11:00

Score brut

0.4062

Score SMA

0.4764

Rank

#32 / 53

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4000

Rank Norm SMA

0.4679

Calculé le

01/11/2026 11:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3780	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.391% · r1d: -0.16% · r3d: -5.61% · ema21_slope: -0.0746% · dist_ema21: -0.420%
Force Relative	25%	0.4838	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.416% · rs_1d: -0.68% · rs_3d: -0.99% · beta_24h: 1.816
Volume	20%	0.1481	rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.779 · trend: -72.72%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.2815	ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 80.3 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.991% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -0.805% (0.0072)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.948%	1.2R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+0.948%	1.2R	-0.235%	0.3R	4.0×	24
4h	+0.948%	1.2R	-0.425%	0.5R	2.2×	48
8h	+0.948%	1.2R	-1.601%	2.0R	0.6×	96
12h ★	+0.948%	1.2R	-1.601%	2.0R	0.6×	144
24h	+3.159%	3.9R	-1.601%	2.0R	2.0×	288
36h	+3.951%	4.9R	-1.601%	2.0R	2.5×	432
48h	+3.951%	4.9R	-1.601%	2.0R	2.5×	576
72h	+4.113%	5.1R	-6.940%	8.6R	0.6×	864

⏱ MFE in 2140 min MAE in 375 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 3.94

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	—	—	0.77	range_high	-0.31%	-0.91	30/10 20:00
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	compression	bear_high	66%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	—	—	0.66	bear_high	-3.03%	+0.17	01/11 07:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	normal	bear_medium	56%	noisy_chop 35%	mid	near -0.8ATR	—	0.85	range_low	-0.69%	-0.10	01/11 13:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	expansion	bear_low	45%	noisy_chop 43%	late	near -1.1ATR	—	0.61	range_low	+0.02%	-0.06	01/11 13:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #474978	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.682	compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 34b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.34	20%	↓ -0.24	value	-2.69	—	#224482	0.77	range_high	-0.31%	-0.91	30/10 20:00 upd 31/10 20:18
4h #479599	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.393	compression	bear_high	66%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 15b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.27	8%	↓ -0.89	value	-2.23	—	#226401	0.66	bear_high	-3.03%	+0.17	01/11 07:00 upd 01/11 11:11
1h anchor #480452	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.486	normal	bear_medium	56%	noisy_chop 35%	mid 4b -1.5ATR	near -0.8ATR	—	1.12	17%	↑ +0.40	value	-3.56	—	#226763	0.85	range_low	-0.69%	-0.10	01/11 13:00 upd 01/11 14:08
15m #480399	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.730	expansion	bear_low	45%	noisy_chop 43%	late 7b -2.7ATR	near -1.1ATR	—	1.89	66%	↑ +0.44	value	-2.77	—	#226659	0.61	range_low	+0.02%	-0.06	01/11 13:45 upd 01/11 14:00
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	34b	—	6.22×ATR	p67	-1.262×ATR	p62
4h	↑ up	mid	15b	—	4.067×ATR	p59	-0.279×ATR	p19
1h	↓ down	mid	4b	—	2.099×ATR	p44	-1.487×ATR	p78
15m	↓ down	late	7b	—	3.583×ATR	p77	-2.653×ATR	p99

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
confidence: 0.9582
reason: down_bo width=2.43×ATR dur=53b phase=fresh
stop_price: 0.90140817
tp_price: 0.87624956
atr:
score: 0.95823792605044
exit_rules:
expires_at: 2026-11-02T07:09:17.375874
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.95823792605044

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.0554
obi_top10 : 0.0484
micro_price : 0.89289588
spread_pct : 0.011201
mid_price : 0.89285
bid_wall_price :
bid_wall_size :
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 0.902
ask_wall_size : 884678.96
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.0643
obi_top5_std : 0.0484
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7107
aggregation_tick : 0.001
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
0.90703
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
0.89478
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
0.900905
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1793372400
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1793559600
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
2.4345
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
53
```
balance_zone_quality: tight
balance_zone_maturity: established
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.9582
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1793556000
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
0.89478
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.7547
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
0.1113
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
8
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
12
```
regime : bear_high
atr_entry : 0.00503174

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.7547

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

0.1113

Signaux confirmants (9)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	14:09	0.89422000	+0.002%
2	14:22	0.89422000	+0.002%
3	14:37	0.89053000	-0.41%
4	14:49	0.89053000	-0.41%
5	15:04	0.89053000	-0.41%
6	15:20	0.89081000	-0.379%
7	15:34	0.89081000	-0.379%
8	15:47	0.89271000	-0.167%
9	15:59	0.89271000	-0.167%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7107ms Confidence avant OB : 96% → 96%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.055

avg 0.064 ± 0.048

OBI Top 10 0.048

Microstructure

Mid Price

0.8929

Micro Price

0.8929

Spread

0.0112%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

0.9020

Size

884,678.96

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.8942	0.9014	0.8762	2.5	0.863

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.8942
Stop Loss: 0.9014
Take Profit: 0.8762

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.9014 - 0.8942 = 0.0072
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.8942 - 0.8762 = 0.018
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.018 / 0.0072 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
995.213	100	1112.9397	10.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0072

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0072 = 1111.11

Taille de position USD = 1111.11 x 0.8942 = 993.55

Donc, tu peux acheter 1111.11 avec un stoploss a 0.9014

Avec un position size USD de 993.55$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1111.11 x 0.0072 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1111.11 x 0.018 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

Taille de position 1111.11
Taille de position USD 993.55
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 20
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.01 %	20.03 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
0.81 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-8.01 $	-0.81

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.8533 %	105.97 %	6

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.8942	0.9014	0.8762	2.5	0.863

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.8942
Stop Loss: 0.9014
Take Profit: 0.8762

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.9014 - 0.8942 = 0.0072
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.8942 - 0.8762 = 0.018
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.018 / 0.0072 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.8762
            [entry_price] => 0.8942
            [stop_loss] => 0.90212
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-02 00:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.8762
            [entry_price] => 0.8942
            [stop_loss] => 0.90284
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-02 00:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.8762
            [entry_price] => 0.8942
            [stop_loss] => 0.90356
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-02 01:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.8762
            [entry_price] => 0.8942
            [stop_loss] => 0.905
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-02 01:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -0.805% (0.0072)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.948%	1.2R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+0.948%	1.2R	-0.235%	0.3R	4.0×	24
4h	+0.948%	1.2R	-0.425%	0.5R	2.2×	48
8h	+0.948%	1.2R	-1.601%	2.0R	0.6×	96
12h ★	+0.948%	1.2R	-1.601%	2.0R	0.6×	144
24h	+3.159%	3.9R	-1.601%	2.0R	2.0×	288
36h	+3.951%	4.9R	-1.601%	2.0R	2.5×	432
48h	+3.951%	4.9R	-1.601%	2.0R	2.5×	576
72h	+4.113%	5.1R	-6.940%	8.6R	0.6×	864

⏱ MFE in 2140 min MAE in 375 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.