Short Trade on APT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1116.09 APT at 0.629$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6109 (2.85 %) & Stop Loss: 0.636 (1.15 %)
01 Nov 2026 at 14:10:34
hyperliquid
APT
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Nov 2026 14:10
→ 22:35
· 8 hours
Position
Entry 0.6288$
Qty 1116.0948 APT
Size 701.8004$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6109 (+2.85%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 0.636 (-1.15%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 2.49
Status
loss
PnL
-1.15%
/ -8.04$
MAE -1.59%
MFE +1.42%
1.2R
expires
02 Nov 02:10
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: )
#30 / 65
OUT
seuil : top 15
Avg Rank 8h:
Quality Score
N/A
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#30 / 65
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
N/A
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.15 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#30 / 65
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.15 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
717,382 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 14:00
01/11 14:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
— |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7556
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
10.0%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.167
Δ 4h
▼-0.327
Δ 12h
▼-0.585
Δ 24h
▼-0.646
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 16.7% |
| 1h | 30.0% |
| 4h | 6.7% |
| 24h | 36.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 16.7% | -0.08% |
| 4h | 6.7% | -0.94% |
| 24h | 33.3% | -0.49% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
10.0%
Expansion
10.0%
Tail ↑
+0.28
Tail ↓
+0.55
Dispersion :
0.129
Universe :
30
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
01/11 14:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3508
Score SMA
0.2867
Rank
#66
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2614
Rank Norm SMA
0.2057
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3152 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 5.77% · r3d: -6.45% · ema21_slope: -0.8134% · dist_ema21: -11.651% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4890 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 6.55% · rs_3d: -2.06% · beta_24h: 2.993 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2189 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.700 · trend: -23.07% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6017 | ADX: 21.7 (weak) · Chop: 48.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.174% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.145%
(0.0072)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.415% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.415% | 1.2R | -0.080% | 0.1R | 17.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.415% | 1.2R | -0.175% | 0.2R | 8.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.415% | 1.2R | -0.668% | 0.6R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.415% | 1.2R | -1.590% | 1.4R | 0.9× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.258% | 2.0R | -1.590% | 1.4R | 1.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +3.499% | 3.1R | -1.590% | 1.4R | 2.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.578% | 3.1R | -1.590% | 1.4R | 2.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.916% | 5.2R | -4.978% | 4.4R | 1.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2139 min
MAE in 514 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5.34
Prediction Score: N/A
No context market snapshot
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 1
- reason: down_bo width=2.29×ATR dur=36b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 0.63596785
- tp_price: 0.61088038
- atr:
- score: 0.95341776160858
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T07:10:26.405092
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.95341776160858
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.2129
- obi_top10 : -0.0628
- micro_price : 0.62762021
- spread_pct : 0.031867
- mid_price : 0.6277
- bid_wall_price : 0.618
- bid_wall_size : 365631.3128
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.2224
- obi_top5_std : 0.0216
- pressure_side : ask
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7017
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.6406
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.63045
- balance_zone_mid:
0.635525
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793433600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793559600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.292
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
36
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9534
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793556000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.63045
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9167
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3726
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00442847 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
36
inside_close_ratio
0.9167
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3726
Signaux confirmants (23)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:10 | 0.62880000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:23 | 0.62880000 | 0% |
| 3 | 14:38 | 0.62460000 | -0.668% |
| 4 | 14:51 | 0.62460000 | -0.668% |
| 5 | 15:05 | 0.62460000 | -0.668% |
| 6 | 15:21 | 0.62590000 | -0.461% |
| 7 | 15:35 | 0.62730000 | -0.239% |
| 8 | 15:48 | 0.62730000 | -0.239% |
| 9 | 16:01 | 0.62730000 | -0.239% |
| 10 | 16:15 | 0.62710000 | -0.27% |
| 11 | 16:27 | 0.62710000 | -0.27% |
| 12 | 16:41 | 0.62770000 | -0.175% |
| 13 | 16:52 | 0.62770000 | -0.175% |
| 14 | 17:08 | 0.62680000 | -0.318% |
| 15 | 17:21 | 0.62680000 | -0.318% |
| 16 | 17:34 | 0.62460000 | -0.668% |
| 17 | 17:46 | 0.62460000 | -0.668% |
| 18 | 17:58 | 0.62460000 | -0.668% |
| 19 | 18:12 | 0.62660000 | -0.35% |
| 20 | 18:23 | 0.62660000 | -0.35% |
| 21 | 18:37 | 0.62770000 | -0.175% |
| 22 | 18:48 | 0.62770000 | -0.175% |
| 23 | 18:59 | 0.62770000 | -0.175% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↓ ask
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7017ms
Confidence avant OB :
95%
→
100%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.213
avg -0.222
± 0.022
OBI Top 10
-0.063
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.6277
Micro Price
0.6276
Spread
0.0319%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.6180
Size
365,631.31
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6288 | 0.636 | 0.6109 | 2.49 | 0.6113 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6288
- Stop Loss: 0.636
- Take Profit: 0.6109
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.636 - 0.6288 = 0.0072
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6288 - 0.6109 = 0.0179
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0179 / 0.0072 = 2.4861
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 701.8004 | 100 | 1116.0948 | 7.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0072
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0072 = 1111.11
Taille de position USD = 1111.11 x 0.6288 = 698.67
Donc, tu peux acheter 1111.11 avec un stoploss a 0.636
Avec un position size USD de 698.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1111.11 x 0.0072 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1111.11 x 0.0179 = 19.89
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.89$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1111.11
- Taille de position USD 698.67
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.89
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4861
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.85 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.15 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.04 $ | -1.15 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.145 % | 100 % | 20 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6288 | 0.636 | 0.6109 | 2.49 | 0.6113 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6288
- Stop Loss: 0.636
- Take Profit: 0.6109
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.636 - 0.6288 = 0.0072
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6288 - 0.6109 = 0.0179
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0179 / 0.0072 = 2.4861
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.145%
(0.0072)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.415% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.415% | 1.2R | -0.080% | 0.1R | 17.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.415% | 1.2R | -0.175% | 0.2R | 8.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.415% | 1.2R | -0.668% | 0.6R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.415% | 1.2R | -1.590% | 1.4R | 0.9× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.258% | 2.0R | -1.590% | 1.4R | 1.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +3.499% | 3.1R | -1.590% | 1.4R | 2.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.578% | 3.1R | -1.590% | 1.4R | 2.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.916% | 5.2R | -4.978% | 4.4R | 1.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2139 min
MAE in 514 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.