Short Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 245.46 RUNE at 0.579$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5649 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.612 (5.63 %)
01 Nov 2026 at 14:15:06
hyperliquid
RUNE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Nov 2026 14:15
→ 16:25
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.5794$
Qty 245.4644 RUNE
Size 142.2295$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5649 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.56$
SL 0.612 (-5.63%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.44
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +3.56$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +11.95%
2.1R
expires
01 Nov 20:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 239844)
#33 / 53
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 14:00
score du 01/11/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1504
Quality Score
0.464
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#33 / 53
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#33 / 53
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.16×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.21×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.94
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 14:00
01/11 14:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 01/11 13:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7556
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
10.0%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.167
Δ 4h
▼-0.327
Δ 12h
▼-0.585
Δ 24h
▼-0.646
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 16.7% |
| 1h | 30.0% |
| 4h | 6.7% |
| 24h | 36.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 16.7% | -0.08% |
| 4h | 6.7% | -0.94% |
| 24h | 33.3% | -0.49% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
10.0%
Expansion
10.0%
Tail ↑
+0.28
Tail ↓
+0.55
Dispersion :
0.129
Universe :
30
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
01/11 14:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4734
Score SMA
0.5659
Rank
#10
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8393
Rank Norm SMA
0.8593
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3540 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.02% · r3d: 0.97% · ema21_slope: -0.3695% · dist_ema21: -2.513% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4872 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.27% · rs_3d: 5.63% · beta_24h: 1.314 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8336 | rvol_20: 2.73× · zscore_50: 1.163 · trend: 118.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5246 | ADX: 16.4 (weak) · Chop: 52.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.044% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.4641
Score SMA
0.5330
Rank
#33
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1504
Rank Norm SMA
0.5810
Calculé le
01/11/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1504 | r1h: -3.132% · r4h: -5.701% · r1d: -15.86% · r3d: -6.17% · ema21_slope: -0.3568% · dist_ema21: -7.213% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1151 | rs_1h: -3.015% · rs_4h: -5.486% · rs_1d: -16.20% · rs_3d: -2.47% · beta_24h: 0.957 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8794 | rvol_20: 4.24× · zscore_50: 1.788 · trend: 70.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7623 | ADX: 33.2 (trend) · Chop: 39.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.424% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.3843
Score SMA
0.5760
Rank
#36
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3427
Rank Norm SMA
0.7727
Calculé le
01/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3833 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.719% · r1d: -15.87% · r3d: -2.10% · ema21_slope: 0.0960% · dist_ema21: -5.070% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3627 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.745% · rs_1d: -16.39% · rs_3d: 2.52% · beta_24h: 0.591 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2232 | rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.257 · trend: -19.73% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6170 | ADX: 14.4 (weak) · Chop: 38.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4144 | ATR%: 4.757% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.627%
(0.0326)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.598% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.076% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +5.074% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +11.952% | 2.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 72 |
| 8h | +14.203% | 2.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +14.681% | 2.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +14.681% | 2.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 48h | +14.681% | 2.6R | -15.577% | 2.8R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +14.681% | 2.6R | -15.577% | 2.8R | 0.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 574 min
MAE in min
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 0.85
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.68 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.26 | 30/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -3.03% | +0.30 | 01/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.40 | range_low | -0.69% | -0.85 | 01/11 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
ranging_calm 58% | late | — | — | 0.15 | range_low | +0.02% | -0.61 | 01/11 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#475001
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.655 | expansion | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early 2b -0.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 2.73 | 96% | ↑ +0.62 | above_value | +0.02 | — | #224493 | 0.68 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.26 |
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:19
|
|
4h
#479621
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.595 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 5b -1.0ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.21 | 69% | ↔ -0.07 | value | -1.77 | — | #226412 | 0.56 | bear_high | -3.03% | +0.30 |
01/11 07:00
upd 01/11 11:12
|
|
1h
anchor #480462
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.527 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late 13b -3.7ATR | — | — | 4.24 | 96% | ↑ +0.21 | below_value | -3.97 | inside | #226773 | 0.40 | range_low | -0.69% | -0.85 |
01/11 13:00
upd 01/11 14:08
|
|
15m
#480410
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.393 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
ranging_calm 58% | late 33b -4.6ATR | — | — | 1.25 | 87% | ↑ +0.96 | below_value | -2.79 | — | #226670 | 0.15 | range_low | +0.02% | -0.61 |
01/11 13:45
upd 01/11 14:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.003×ATR | p0 | -0.325×ATR | p19 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 4.299×ATR | p66 | -1.022×ATR | p54 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 5.277×ATR | p86 | -3.731×ATR | p100 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 33b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -4.567×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.61202128
- tp_price: 0.56494425
- atr: 0.01303651
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T01:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 53
- total: 53
- score: 0.1504
- delta_2h: -0.0593
- extension_atr: -2.81
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1489
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:15 | 0.57943000 | +0.005% |
| 2 | 15:15 | 0.57497000 | -0.765% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5794 | 0.612 | 0.5649 | 0.44 | 0.5996 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5794
- Stop Loss: 0.612
- Take Profit: 0.5649
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.612 - 0.5794 = 0.0326
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5794 - 0.5649 = 0.0145
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0145 / 0.0326 = 0.4448
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142.2295 | 100 | 245.4644 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0326
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0326 = 245.4
Taille de position USD = 245.4 x 0.5794 = 142.18
Donc, tu peux acheter 245.4 avec un stoploss a 0.612
Avec un position size USD de 142.18$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 245.4 x 0.0326 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 245.4 x 0.0145 = 3.56
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.56$
Résumé
- Taille de position 245.4
- Taille de position USD 142.18
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.56
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4448
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.56 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.63 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.56 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5794 | 0.612 | 0.5649 | 0.44 | 0.5996 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5794
- Stop Loss: 0.612
- Take Profit: 0.5649
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.612 - 0.5794 = 0.0326
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5794 - 0.5649 = 0.0145
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0145 / 0.0326 = 0.4448
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5142
[stop_loss] => 0.612
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-11-02 01:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.627%
(0.0326)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.598% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.076% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +5.074% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +11.952% | 2.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 72 |
| 8h | +14.203% | 2.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +14.681% | 2.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +14.681% | 2.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 48h | +14.681% | 2.6R | -15.577% | 2.8R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +14.681% | 2.6R | -15.577% | 2.8R | 0.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 574 min
MAE in min
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.