Short Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1786.14 XPL at 0.0714$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06964 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07591 (6.27 %)
01 Nov 2026 at 14:15:06
hyperliquid
XPL
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Nov 2026 14:15
→ 19:20
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.07143$
Qty 1786.1449 XPL
Size 127.5843$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06964 (+2.51%)
TP $ 3.2$
SL 0.07591 (-6.27%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.4
Status
win
PnL
+2.51%
/ +3.2$
MAE -0.74%
MFE +2.55%
0.4R
expires
01 Nov 20:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 239866)
#53 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 14:00
score du 01/11/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1494
Quality Score
0.366
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#53 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#53 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.19×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.12×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.23×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.94
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
85.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 14:02
01/11 14:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/11 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7556
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
10.0%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.167
Δ 4h
▼-0.327
Δ 12h
▼-0.585
Δ 24h
▼-0.646
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 16.7% |
| 1h | 30.0% |
| 4h | 6.7% |
| 24h | 36.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 16.7% | -0.08% |
| 4h | 6.7% | -0.94% |
| 24h | 33.3% | -0.49% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
10.0%
Expansion
10.0%
Tail ↑
+0.28
Tail ↓
+0.55
Dispersion :
0.129
Universe :
30
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
01/11 14:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4346
Score SMA
0.3331
Rank
#16
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7321
Rank Norm SMA
0.3968
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4349 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.01% · r3d: 6.07% · ema21_slope: -0.5999% · dist_ema21: 2.419% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6444 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.24% · rs_3d: 10.72% · beta_24h: 2.010 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3947 | rvol_20: 1.32× · zscore_50: -0.211 · trend: 8.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4273 | ADX: 15.4 (weak) · Chop: 63.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.578% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.3655
Score SMA
0.5655
Rank
#53
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1494
Rank Norm SMA
0.6710
Calculé le
01/11/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2155 | r1h: -1.378% · r4h: -2.951% · r1d: -10.86% · r3d: -6.13% · ema21_slope: -0.4195% · dist_ema21: -4.576% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2452 | rs_1h: -1.262% · rs_4h: -2.735% · rs_1d: -11.20% · rs_3d: -2.43% · beta_24h: 2.224 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1846 | rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -0.231 · trend: -60.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5684 | ADX: 36.3 (trend) · Chop: 67.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.584% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.4564
Score SMA
0.5433
Rank
#19
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5816
Rank Norm SMA
0.6775
Calculé le
01/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4684 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.051% · r1d: -10.28% · r3d: -7.55% · ema21_slope: 0.2190% · dist_ema21: -6.000% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3959 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.025% · rs_1d: -10.80% · rs_3d: -2.92% · beta_24h: 1.296 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4488 | rvol_20: 0.73× · zscore_50: 0.186 · trend: 171.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6569 | ADX: 18.8 (weak) · Chop: 35.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2859 | ATR%: 5.142% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.272%
(0.0045)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.658% | 0.1R | -0.745% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.275% | 0.2R | -0.745% | 0.1R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.275% | 0.2R | -0.745% | 0.1R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.551% | 0.4R | -0.745% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.551% | 0.4R | -0.745% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.551% | 0.4R | -0.745% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.657% | 1.1R | -0.745% | 0.1R | 8.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +12.936% | 2.1R | -0.745% | 0.1R | 17.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +15.832% | 2.5R | -0.745% | 0.1R | 21.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1429 min
MAE in 49 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.9
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 33% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.54 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.06 | 30/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.54 | bear_high | -3.03% | -0.01 | 01/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.51 | range_low | -0.69% | -0.86 | 01/11 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.11 | range_low | +0.02% | -0.32 | 01/11 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#475052
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.630 | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 33% | late 36b 0.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 1.32 | 77% | ↔ -0.10 | above_value | +3.70 | — | #224518 | 0.54 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.06 |
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:23
|
|
4h
#479663
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.640 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 2b -1.3ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.73 | 88% | ↑ +0.47 | above_value | -0.01 | — | #226433 | 0.54 | bear_high | -3.03% | -0.01 |
01/11 07:00
upd 01/11 11:14
|
|
1h
anchor #480483
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.615 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late 5b -1.9ATR | — | — | 0.18 | 79% | ↑ +0.46 | above_value | -0.73 | — | #226794 | 0.51 | range_low | -0.69% | -0.86 |
01/11 13:00
upd 01/11 14:09
|
|
15m
#480431
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.736 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 20b -2.7ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.32 | 24% | ↓ -0.63 | above_value | -0.21 | — | #226691 | 0.11 | range_low | +0.02% | -0.32 |
01/11 13:45
upd 01/11 14:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 36b | — | 6.327×ATR | p88 | +0.311×ATR | p19 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 3.549×ATR | p47 | -1.251×ATR | p70 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 1.947×ATR | p34 | -1.892×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 20b | — | 5.818×ATR | p91 | -2.731×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.07590892
- tp_price: 0.06964425
- atr: 0.00179157
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T01:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 52
- total: 53
- score: 0.2434
- delta_2h: -0.0507
- extension_atr: -1.89
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1494
- confidence: 0.981
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:15 | 0.07143000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:15 | 0.07183000 | +0.56% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07143 | 0.07591 | 0.06964 | 0.4 | 0.05756 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07143
- Stop Loss: 0.07591
- Take Profit: 0.06964
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07591 - 0.07143 = 0.00448
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07143 - 0.06964 = 0.00179
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00179 / 0.00448 = 0.3996
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127.5843 | 100 | 1786.1449 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00448
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00448 = 1785.71
Taille de position USD = 1785.71 x 0.07143 = 127.55
Donc, tu peux acheter 1785.71 avec un stoploss a 0.07591
Avec un position size USD de 127.55$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1785.71 x 0.00448 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1785.71 x 0.00179 = 3.2
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.2$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1785.71
- Taille de position USD 127.55
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.2
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3996
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 3.2 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.2 $ | 2.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7448 % | 11.88 % | 18 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07143 | 0.07591 | 0.06964 | 0.4 | 0.05756 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07143
- Stop Loss: 0.07591
- Take Profit: 0.06964
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07591 - 0.07143 = 0.00448
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07143 - 0.06964 = 0.00179
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00179 / 0.00448 = 0.3996
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.272%
(0.0045)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.658% | 0.1R | -0.745% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.275% | 0.2R | -0.745% | 0.1R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.275% | 0.2R | -0.745% | 0.1R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.551% | 0.4R | -0.745% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.551% | 0.4R | -0.745% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.551% | 0.4R | -0.745% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.657% | 1.1R | -0.745% | 0.1R | 8.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +12.936% | 2.1R | -0.745% | 0.1R | 17.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +15.832% | 2.5R | -0.745% | 0.1R | 21.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1429 min
MAE in 49 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.