Short Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1236.64 CRV at 0.276$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2687 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2821 (2.36 %)
01 Nov 2026 at 14:15:07
hyperliquid
CRV
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Nov 2026 14:15
→ 20:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.2756$
Qty 1236.6404 CRV
Size 340.8676$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2687 (+2.5%)
TP $ 8.53$
SL 0.2821 (-2.36%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 1.06
Status
loss
PnL
-1.40%
/ -4.77$
MAE -1.96%
MFE +0.58%
0.2R
expires
01 Nov 20:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 239835)
#9 / 53
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 14:00
score du 01/11/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2770
Quality Score
0.535
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#9 / 53
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#9 / 53
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.65×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.72×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.94
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 14:00
01/11 14:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 01/11 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7556
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
10.0%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.167
Δ 4h
▼-0.327
Δ 12h
▼-0.585
Δ 24h
▼-0.646
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 16.7% |
| 1h | 30.0% |
| 4h | 6.7% |
| 24h | 36.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 16.7% | -0.08% |
| 4h | 6.7% | -0.94% |
| 24h | 33.3% | -0.49% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
10.0%
Expansion
10.0%
Tail ↑
+0.28
Tail ↓
+0.55
Dispersion :
0.129
Universe :
30
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
01/11 14:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2371
Score SMA
0.3158
Rank
#54
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0536
Rank Norm SMA
0.3639
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1558 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.91% · r3d: -16.06% · ema21_slope: -0.6573% · dist_ema21: -16.541% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2157 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.16% · rs_3d: -11.41% · beta_24h: 2.709 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2009 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -1.145 · trend: 7.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6414 | ADX: 17.0 (weak) · Chop: 37.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.504% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.5348
Score SMA
0.4611
Rank
#9
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2770
Rank Norm SMA
0.2451
Calculé le
01/11/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2922 | r1h: -0.969% · r4h: -3.052% · r1d: -3.24% · r3d: -14.62% · ema21_slope: -0.0371% · dist_ema21: -2.403% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2697 | rs_1h: -0.852% · rs_4h: -2.837% · rs_1d: -3.57% · rs_3d: -10.93% · beta_24h: 1.362 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9529 | rvol_20: 5.81× · zscore_50: 3.168 · trend: 64.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5943 | ADX: 14.5 (weak) · Chop: 41.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.993% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.3184
Score SMA
0.4170
Rank
#49
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1045
Rank Norm SMA
0.2282
Calculé le
01/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1879 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.665% · r1d: -2.44% · r3d: -16.03% · ema21_slope: -0.5907% · dist_ema21: -4.328% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2622 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.690% · rs_1d: -2.96% · rs_3d: -11.40% · beta_24h: 1.381 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1777 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.335 · trend: -72.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4064 | ADX: 38.7 (trend) · Chop: 89.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.848% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.359%
(0.0065)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.577% | 0.2R | -0.181% | 0.1R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.577% | 0.2R | -1.052% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.577% | 0.2R | -1.197% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.577% | 0.2R | -1.956% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.577% | 0.2R | -2.090% | 0.9R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.600% | 0.7R | -2.090% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.002% | 1.7R | -2.090% | 0.9R | 1.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.824% | 2.5R | -2.090% | 0.9R | 2.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.658% | 3.7R | -2.322% | 1.0R | 3.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1434 min
MAE in 364 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.65
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.64 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.96 | 30/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -3.03% | -0.85 | 01/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.42 | range_low | -0.69% | -0.28 | 01/11 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
51%
|
choppy 48% | late | near -1.4ATR | — | 0.41 | range_low | +0.02% | -0.29 | 01/11 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#474982
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.421 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 9b -2.2ATR | — | — | 0.41 | 46% | ↓ -0.23 | above_value | -0.83 | — | #224484 | 0.64 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.96 |
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:18
|
|
4h
#479603
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.505 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 15b -2.2ATR | — | — | 0.22 | 10% | ↓ -0.84 | above_value | -0.94 | — | #226403 | 0.49 | bear_high | -3.03% | -0.85 |
01/11 07:00
upd 01/11 11:11
|
|
1h
anchor #480454
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.757 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 4b -2.8ATR | — | — | 5.81 | 94% | ↑ +0.69 | value | -3.15 | — | #226765 | 0.42 | range_low | -0.69% | -0.28 |
01/11 13:00
upd 01/11 14:08
|
|
15m
#480401
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.475 | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
51%
|
choppy 48% | late 3b -3.0ATR | near -1.4ATR | — | 5.06 | 98% | ↑ +0.93 | value | -2.29 | — | #226661 | 0.41 | range_low | +0.02% | -0.29 |
01/11 13:45
upd 01/11 14:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 4.707×ATR | p65 | -2.168×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 2.568×ATR | p13 | -2.15×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 3.939×ATR | p90 | -2.79×ATR | p98 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 2.595×ATR | p36 | -2.956×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.28210914
- tp_price: 0.268749
- atr: 0.00258765
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T01:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 50
- total: 53
- score: 0.2922
- delta_2h: -0.0846
- extension_atr: -2.46
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.279
- confidence: 0.942
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:15 | 0.27564000 | +0.015% |
| 2 | 15:15 | 0.27604000 | +0.16% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2756 | 0.2821 | 0.2687 | 1.06 | 0.264 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2756
- Stop Loss: 0.2821
- Take Profit: 0.2687
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2821 - 0.2756 = 0.0065
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2756 - 0.2687 = 0.0069
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0069 / 0.0065 = 1.0615
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 340.8676 | 100 | 1236.6404 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0065
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0065 = 1230.77
Taille de position USD = 1230.77 x 0.2756 = 339.2
Donc, tu peux acheter 1230.77 avec un stoploss a 0.2821
Avec un position size USD de 339.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1230.77 x 0.0065 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1230.77 x 0.0069 = 8.49
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.49$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1230.77
- Taille de position USD 339.2
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 8.49
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.0615
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 8.53 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.36 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.77 $ | -1.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7779 % | 75.38 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2756 | 0.2821 | 0.2687 | 1.06 | 0.264 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2756
- Stop Loss: 0.2821
- Take Profit: 0.2687
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2821 - 0.2756 = 0.0065
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2756 - 0.2687 = 0.0069
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0069 / 0.0065 = 1.0615
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.359%
(0.0065)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.577% | 0.2R | -0.181% | 0.1R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.577% | 0.2R | -1.052% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.577% | 0.2R | -1.197% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.577% | 0.2R | -1.956% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.577% | 0.2R | -2.090% | 0.9R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.600% | 0.7R | -2.090% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.002% | 1.7R | -2.090% | 0.9R | 1.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.824% | 2.5R | -2.090% | 0.9R | 2.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.658% | 3.7R | -2.322% | 1.0R | 3.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1434 min
MAE in 364 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.