Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2479.99 NIL at 0.069$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06724 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07219 (4.67 %)
01 Nov 2026 at 14:15:07
hyperliquid
NIL
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Nov 2026 14:15
→ 20:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.06897$
Qty 2479.9896 NIL
Size 171.0424$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06724 (+2.51%)
TP $ 4.29$
SL 0.07219 (-4.67%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.54
Status
loss
PnL
-0.57%
/ -0.97$
MAE -2.78%
MFE +0.79%
0.2R
expires
01 Nov 20:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 239863)
#52 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 14:00
score du 01/11/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0364
Quality Score
0.372
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#52 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#52 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.59×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.00×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.66×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.94
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 14:02
01/11 14:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/11 13:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7556
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
10.0%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.167
Δ 4h
▼-0.327
Δ 12h
▼-0.585
Δ 24h
▼-0.646
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 16.7% |
| 1h | 30.0% |
| 4h | 6.7% |
| 24h | 36.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 16.7% | -0.08% |
| 4h | 6.7% | -0.94% |
| 24h | 33.3% | -0.49% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
10.0%
Expansion
10.0%
Tail ↑
+0.28
Tail ↓
+0.55
Dispersion :
0.129
Universe :
30
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
01/11 14:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3343
Score SMA
0.4436
Rank
#35
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3929
Rank Norm SMA
0.7422
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2626 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -9.58% · r3d: -7.24% · ema21_slope: -0.2035% · dist_ema21: -11.460% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2510 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -9.83% · rs_3d: -2.59% · beta_24h: 1.218 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3887 | rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: 0.013 · trend: -5.23% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7671 | ADX: 32.1 (trend) · Chop: 35.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 19.350% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.3715
Score SMA
0.4816
Rank
#52
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0364
Rank Norm SMA
0.3896
Calculé le
01/11/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2412 | r1h: -2.076% · r4h: -2.409% · r1d: -3.62% · r3d: -6.16% · ema21_slope: -0.1826% · dist_ema21: -3.857% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3026 | rs_1h: -1.959% · rs_4h: -2.194% · rs_1d: -3.96% · rs_3d: -2.46% · beta_24h: 4.636 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1783 | rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.325 · trend: -69.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5122 | ADX: 15.2 (weak) · Chop: 52.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.968% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.2159
Score SMA
0.4134
Rank
#53
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.3190
Calculé le
01/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1619 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.651% · r1d: -4.31% · r3d: -7.11% · ema21_slope: -0.4325% · dist_ema21: -6.238% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2783 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.677% · rs_1d: -4.83% · rs_3d: -2.48% · beta_24h: 1.364 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1596 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.606 · trend: -53.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4390 | ADX: 17.4 (weak) · Chop: 63.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.439% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.669%
(0.0032)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.479% | 0.1R | -0.416% | 0.1R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.789% | 0.2R | -0.637% | 0.1R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.789% | 0.2R | -2.780% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.789% | 0.2R | -2.780% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.006% | 0.2R | -2.780% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.651% | 0.8R | -2.780% | 0.6R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.379% | 1.6R | -2.780% | 0.6R | 2.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.746% | 1.9R | -2.780% | 0.6R | 3.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.932% | 2.3R | -2.780% | 0.6R | 3.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1349 min
MAE in 129 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.2
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -1.7ATR | — | 0.29 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.94 | 30/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.17 | bear_high | -3.03% | +0.03 | 01/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.29 | range_low | -0.69% | -0.45 | 01/11 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.03 | range_low | +0.02% | -0.28 | 01/11 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#475046
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.530 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 4b -0.7ATR | near -1.7ATR | — | 1.30 | 89% | ↔ -0.10 | above_value | -0.50 | — | #224515 | 0.29 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.94 |
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:22
|
|
4h
#479657
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.584 | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 12b -1.1ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.22 | 9% | ↓ -0.28 | above_value | -1.85 | — | #226430 | 0.17 | bear_high | -3.03% | +0.03 |
01/11 07:00
upd 01/11 11:13
|
|
1h
anchor #480480
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.744 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 17b -2.4ATR | — | — | 0.40 | 8% | ↓ -0.51 | value | -2.97 | — | #226791 | 0.29 | range_low | -0.69% | -0.45 |
01/11 13:00
upd 01/11 14:09
|
|
15m
#480428
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.747 | normal | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 21b -2.9ATR | — | — | 0.13 | 2% | ↓ -0.25 | above_value | -2.18 | — | #226688 | 0.03 | range_low | +0.02% | -0.28 |
01/11 13:45
upd 01/11 14:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 4.327×ATR | p46 | -0.682×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 2.493×ATR | p18 | -1.133×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 4.642×ATR | p80 | -2.401×ATR | p93 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 21b | — | 5.783×ATR | p93 | -2.9×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.07219482
- tp_price: 0.06724478
- atr: 0.00129033
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T01:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 51
- total: 53
- score: 0.2597
- delta_2h: -0.0994
- extension_atr: -2.15
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0364
- confidence: 0.962
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:15 | 0.06896900 | -0.001% |
| 2 | 15:15 | 0.06880100 | -0.245% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06897 | 0.07219 | 0.06724 | 0.54 | 0.06296 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06897
- Stop Loss: 0.07219
- Take Profit: 0.06724
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07219 - 0.06897 = 0.00322
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06897 - 0.06724 = 0.00173
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00173 / 0.00322 = 0.5373
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 171.0424 | 100 | 2479.9896 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00322
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00322 = 2484.47
Taille de position USD = 2484.47 x 0.06897 = 171.35
Donc, tu peux acheter 2484.47 avec un stoploss a 0.07219
Avec un position size USD de 171.35$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2484.47 x 0.00322 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2484.47 x 0.00173 = 4.3
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.3$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2484.47
- Taille de position USD 171.35
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.3
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5373
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 4.29 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.67 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.97 $ | -0.57 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.7795 % | 59.53 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06897 | 0.07219 | 0.06724 | 0.54 | 0.06296 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06897
- Stop Loss: 0.07219
- Take Profit: 0.06724
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07219 - 0.06897 = 0.00322
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06897 - 0.06724 = 0.00173
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00173 / 0.00322 = 0.5373
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.669%
(0.0032)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.479% | 0.1R | -0.416% | 0.1R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.789% | 0.2R | -0.637% | 0.1R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.789% | 0.2R | -2.780% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.789% | 0.2R | -2.780% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.006% | 0.2R | -2.780% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.651% | 0.8R | -2.780% | 0.6R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.379% | 1.6R | -2.780% | 0.6R | 2.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.746% | 1.9R | -2.780% | 0.6R | 3.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.932% | 2.3R | -2.780% | 0.6R | 3.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1349 min
MAE in 129 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.