Short Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 5784.74 ADA at 0.192$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1882 (1.77 %) & Stop Loss: 0.193 (0.73 %)
Short Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 5784.74 ADA at 0.192$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1882 (1.77 %) & Stop Loss: 0.193 (0.73 %)
Position
Entry 0.1916$
Qty 5784.7355 ADA
Size 1108.5289$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1882 (+1.77%)
TP $ 19.67$
SL 0.193 (-0.73%)
SL $ 8.1$
RR 2.43
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3353
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.46×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.80×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.72×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 01/11 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 66.7% |
| 1h | 10.0% |
| 4h | 3.3% |
| 24h | 26.7% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 43.3% | +0.03% |
| 4h | 10.0% | -1.37% |
| 24h | 20.0% | -0.93% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1705 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.22% · r3d: -6.39% · ema21_slope: -0.8290% · dist_ema21: -9.720% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3922 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.47% · rs_3d: -1.73% · beta_24h: 1.982 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1370 | rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -1.208 · trend: -36.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6170 | ADX: 28.5 (trend) · Chop: 53.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.596% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4303 | r1h: -0.302% · r4h: -0.829% · r1d: -0.78% · r3d: -5.29% · ema21_slope: -0.0060% · dist_ema21: -0.768% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4531 | rs_1h: -0.199% · rs_4h: -0.591% · rs_1d: -1.09% · rs_3d: -1.53% · beta_24h: 0.888 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1888 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.169 · trend: -51.29% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5078 | ADX: 10.4 (weak) · Chop: 48.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.513% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3167 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.829% · r1d: -0.78% · r3d: -5.29% · ema21_slope: -0.1770% · dist_ema21: -1.796% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4391 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.591% · rs_1d: -1.09% · rs_3d: -1.53% · beta_24h: 1.574 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1979 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.556 · trend: -23.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3973 | ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 82.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.775% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.230% | 0.3R | -0.334% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.230% | 0.3R | -0.621% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.548% | 0.8R | -0.893% | 1.2R | 0.6× | 47 |
| 8h | +0.548% | 0.8R | -1.628% | 2.2R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.893% | 1.2R | -1.628% | 2.2R | 0.6× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.850% | 3.9R | -1.628% | 2.2R | 1.8× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.850% | 3.9R | -1.628% | 2.2R | 1.8× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.278% | 4.5R | -1.628% | 2.2R | 2.0× | 575 |
| 72h | +4.666% | 6.4R | -5.251% | 7.2R | 0.9× | 864 |
computed 1 day ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.80 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.96 | 30/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.76 | bear_high | -3.03% | +0.00 | 01/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -1.5ATR | — | 0.86 | range_low | -0.69% | -0.10 | 01/11 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_low |
50%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.61 | range_low | -0.06% | -0.07 | 01/11 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#475007
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.630 | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 25b -1.9ATR | — | — | 0.34 | 4% | ↓ -0.20 | below_value | -10.15 | — | #224496 | 0.80 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.96 |
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:20
|
|
4h
#479627
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.287 | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 15b -0.9ATR | — | — | 0.48 | 28% | ↓ -0.67 | above_value | +0.32 | — | #226415 | 0.76 | bear_high | -3.03% | +0.00 |
01/11 07:00
upd 01/11 11:12
|
|
1h
anchor #480465
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.471 | compression | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 4b -1.2ATR | near -1.5ATR | — | 0.41 | 41% | ↔ -0.11 | above_value | -0.74 | — | #226776 | 0.86 | range_low | -0.69% | -0.10 |
01/11 13:00
upd 01/11 14:09
|
|
15m
#480684
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.499 | expansion | bear_low |
50%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 3b -1.9ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.27 | 15% | ↔ +0.14 | above_value | -0.74 | — | #226776 | 0.61 | range_low | -0.06% | -0.07 |
01/11 14:45
upd 01/11 15:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 25b | — | 7.095×ATR | p92 | -1.919×ATR | p84 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 3.139×ATR | p50 | -0.922×ATR | p51 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.147×ATR | p38 | -1.209×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 1.738×ATR | p4 | -1.94×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.19395
0.19189
0.19292
1793455200
1793563200
2.2163
31
0.9607
1793559600
0.19189
0.9032
1
0.2797
0
9
6
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:08 | 0.19163000 | +0.016% |
| 2 | 15:23 | 0.19163000 | +0.016% |
| 3 | 15:37 | 0.19186000 | +0.136% |
| 4 | 15:50 | 0.19186000 | +0.136% |
| 5 | 16:03 | 0.19186000 | +0.136% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1916 | 0.193 | 0.1882 | 2.43 | 0.1863 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.193 - 0.1916 = 0.0014
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1916 - 0.1882 = 0.0034
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0034 / 0.0014 = 2.4286
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1108.5289 | 100 | 5784.7355 | 11.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0014 = 5714.29
Taille de position USD = 5714.29 x 0.1916 = 1094.86
Donc, tu peux acheter 5714.29 avec un stoploss a 0.193
Avec un position size USD de 1094.86$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5714.29 x 0.0014 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5714.29 x 0.0034 = 19.43
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.43$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.77 % | 19.67 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.73 % | 8.1 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.1 $ | -0.73 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8925 % | 122.14 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1916 | 0.193 | 0.1882 | 2.43 | 0.1863 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.193 - 0.1916 = 0.0014
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1916 - 0.1882 = 0.0034
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0034 / 0.0014 = 2.4286
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1882
[entry_price] => 0.1916
[stop_loss] => 0.19314
[rr_ratio] => 2.21
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-11-01 23:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1882
[entry_price] => 0.1916
[stop_loss] => 0.19328
[rr_ratio] => 2.02
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-11-01 23:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1882
[entry_price] => 0.1916
[stop_loss] => 0.19342
[rr_ratio] => 1.87
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-11-02 00:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1882
[entry_price] => 0.1916
[stop_loss] => 0.1937
[rr_ratio] => 1.62
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-02 00:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.230% | 0.3R | -0.334% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.230% | 0.3R | -0.621% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.548% | 0.8R | -0.893% | 1.2R | 0.6× | 47 |
| 8h | +0.548% | 0.8R | -1.628% | 2.2R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.893% | 1.2R | -1.628% | 2.2R | 0.6× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.850% | 3.9R | -1.628% | 2.2R | 1.8× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.850% | 3.9R | -1.628% | 2.2R | 1.8× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.278% | 4.5R | -1.628% | 2.2R | 2.0× | 575 |
| 72h | +4.666% | 6.4R | -5.251% | 7.2R | 0.9× | 864 |
computed 1 day ago
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