01 Nov 2026 at 15:08:49 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 5784.74 ADA at 0.192$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1882 (1.77 %) & Stop Loss: 0.193 (0.73 %)

ADA SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 15:08 → 18:10 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.1916$

Qty 5784.7355 ADA

Size 1108.5289$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1882 (+1.77%)

TP $ 19.67$

SL 0.193 (-0.73%)

SL $ 8.1$

RR 2.43

Status loss PnL -0.73% / -8.1$ MAE -1.63% MFE +0.89% 1.2R expires 02 Nov 03:08

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 239900)
#47 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3353

Quality Score
0.451
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#47 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.73 %
TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#47 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.73 %
TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.46×ATR
4h clear 0.80×ATR
1d clear 0.72×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 15:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

30/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/11 07:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1)

01/11 13:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7560
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 7.8%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.022
Δ 4h
▼-0.278
Δ 12h
▼-0.522
Δ 24h
▼-0.484

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 66.7%
1h 10.0%
4h 3.3%
24h 26.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 43.3% +0.03%
4h 10.0% -1.37%
24h 20.0% -0.93%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
26.7%
Expansion
26.7%
Tail ↑
+0.57
Tail ↓
+0.76
Dispersion : 0.107
Universe : 30 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 01/11 15:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2692
Score SMA
0.2870
Rank
#50 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1250
Rank Norm SMA
0.2121
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1705 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.22% · r3d: -6.39% · ema21_slope: -0.8290% · dist_ema21: -9.720%
Force Relative 25% 0.3922 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.47% · rs_3d: -1.73% · beta_24h: 1.982
Volume 20% 0.1370 rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -1.208 · trend: -36.86%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6170 ADX: 28.5 (trend) · Chop: 53.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.596% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.4510
Score SMA
—
Rank
—
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3353
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
01/11/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4303 r1h: -0.302% · r4h: -0.829% · r1d: -0.78% · r3d: -5.29% · ema21_slope: -0.0060% · dist_ema21: -0.768%
Force Relative 25% 0.4531 rs_1h: -0.199% · rs_4h: -0.591% · rs_1d: -1.09% · rs_3d: -1.53% · beta_24h: 0.888
Volume 20% 0.1888 rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.169 · trend: -51.29%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5078 ADX: 10.4 (weak) · Chop: 48.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.513% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.4013
Score SMA
—
Rank
—
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4564
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
01/11/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3167 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.829% · r1d: -0.78% · r3d: -5.29% · ema21_slope: -0.1770% · dist_ema21: -1.796%
Force Relative 25% 0.4391 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.591% · rs_1d: -1.09% · rs_3d: -1.53% · beta_24h: 1.574
Volume 20% 0.1979 rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.556 · trend: -23.77%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3973 ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 82.2 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.775% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -0.731% (0.0014)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.230% 0.3R -0.334% 0.5R 0.7× 12
2h +0.230% 0.3R -0.621% 0.9R 0.4× 24
4h +0.548% 0.8R -0.893% 1.2R 0.6× 47
8h +0.548% 0.8R -1.628% 2.2R 0.3× 96
12h ★ +0.893% 1.2R -1.628% 2.2R 0.6× 143
24h +2.850% 3.9R -1.628% 2.2R 1.8× 288
36h +2.850% 3.9R -1.628% 2.2R 1.8× 432
48h +3.278% 4.5R -1.628% 2.2R 2.0× 575
72h +4.666% 6.4R -5.251% 7.2R 0.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 1411 min MAE in 316 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.92
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 38% late — — 0.80 range_high -0.31% -0.96 30/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive compression bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.76 bear_high -3.03% +0.00 01/11 07:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced compression bear_medium
58%
noisy_chop 40% mid near -1.5ATR — 0.86 range_low -0.69% -0.10 01/11 13:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_low
50%
noisy_chop 43% late near -0.7ATR — 0.61 range_low -0.06% -0.07 01/11 14:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#475007
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.630 compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 38% late 25b -1.9ATR — — 0.34 4% ↓ -0.20 below_value -10.15 — #224496 0.80 range_high -0.31% -0.96
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:20
4h
#479627
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.287 compression bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 39% mid 15b -0.9ATR — — 0.48 28% ↓ -0.67 above_value +0.32 — #226415 0.76 bear_high -3.03% +0.00
01/11 07:00
upd 01/11 11:12
1h anchor
#480465
↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.471 compression bear_medium
58%
noisy_chop 40% mid 4b -1.2ATR near -1.5ATR — 0.41 41% ↔ -0.11 above_value -0.74 — #226776 0.86 range_low -0.69% -0.10
01/11 13:00
upd 01/11 14:09
15m
#480684
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.499 expansion bear_low
50%
noisy_chop 43% late 3b -1.9ATR near -0.7ATR — 0.27 15% ↔ +0.14 above_value -0.74 — #226776 0.61 range_low -0.06% -0.07
01/11 14:45
upd 01/11 15:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 25b — 7.095×ATR p92 -1.919×ATR p84
4h ↑ up mid 15b — 3.139×ATR p50 -0.922×ATR p51
1h ↓ down mid 4b — 2.147×ATR p38 -1.209×ATR p71
15m ↑ up late 3b — 1.738×ATR p4 -1.94×ATR p89

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.9607
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.22×ATR dur=31b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.19301295
  5. tp_price: 0.18817263
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.96071415563816
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-11-02T08:08:40.802057
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.96071415563816
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.014
  14. obi_top10 : -0.0012
  15. micro_price : 0.19150288
  16. spread_pct : 0.052219
  17. mid_price : 0.19155
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.19
  19. bid_wall_size : 11265502
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.192
  22. ask_wall_size : 9197724
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.0139
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0001
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7115
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.19395
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.19189
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.19292
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793455200
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793563200
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.2163
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    31
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.9607
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793559600
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.19189
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.9032
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.2797
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    9
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    6
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00092946
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
31
inside_close_ratio
0.9032
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.2797

Signaux confirmants (5)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 15:08 0.19163000 +0.016%
2 15:23 0.19163000 +0.016%
3 15:37 0.19186000 +0.136%
4 15:50 0.19186000 +0.136%
5 16:03 0.19186000 +0.136%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7115ms Confidence avant OB : 96% → 96%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.014
avg -0.014 ± 0.000
OBI Top 10 -0.001

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1916
Micro Price
0.1915
Spread
0.0522%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.1900
Size
11,265,502.00

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.1920
Size
9,197,724.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1916 0.193 0.1882 2.43 0.1863
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1916
  • Stop Loss: 0.193
  • Take Profit: 0.1882

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.193 - 0.1916 = 0.0014

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1916 - 0.1882 = 0.0034

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0034 / 0.0014 = 2.4286

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1108.5289 100 5784.7355 11.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0014

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0014 = 5714.29

Taille de position USD = 5714.29 x 0.1916 = 1094.86

Donc, tu peux acheter 5714.29 avec un stoploss a 0.193

Avec un position size USD de 1094.86$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5714.29 x 0.0014 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5714.29 x 0.0034 = 19.43

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.43$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5714.29
  • Taille de position USD 1094.86
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.43
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4286

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.77 % 19.67 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.73 % 8.1 $
PNL PNL %
-8.1 $ -0.73
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8925 % 122.14 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1916 0.193 0.1882 2.43 0.1863
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1916
  • Stop Loss: 0.193
  • Take Profit: 0.1882

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.193 - 0.1916 = 0.0014

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1916 - 0.1882 = 0.0034

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0034 / 0.0014 = 2.4286

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1882
            [entry_price] => 0.1916
            [stop_loss] => 0.19314
            [rr_ratio] => 2.21
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 23:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1882
            [entry_price] => 0.1916
            [stop_loss] => 0.19328
            [rr_ratio] => 2.02
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 23:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1882
            [entry_price] => 0.1916
            [stop_loss] => 0.19342
            [rr_ratio] => 1.87
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-02 00:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1882
            [entry_price] => 0.1916
            [stop_loss] => 0.1937
            [rr_ratio] => 1.62
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-02 00:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -0.731% (0.0014)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.230% 0.3R -0.334% 0.5R 0.7× 12
2h +0.230% 0.3R -0.621% 0.9R 0.4× 24
4h +0.548% 0.8R -0.893% 1.2R 0.6× 47
8h +0.548% 0.8R -1.628% 2.2R 0.3× 96
12h ★ +0.893% 1.2R -1.628% 2.2R 0.6× 143
24h +2.850% 3.9R -1.628% 2.2R 1.8× 288
36h +2.850% 3.9R -1.628% 2.2R 1.8× 432
48h +3.278% 4.5R -1.628% 2.2R 2.0× 575
72h +4.666% 6.4R -5.251% 7.2R 0.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 1411 min MAE in 316 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.