Short Trade on FET

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01 Nov 2026 at 15:09:29 hyperliquid

Short Trade on FET (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 3844.56 FET at 0.16$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1553 (3.24 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1625 (1.25 %)

FET SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 15:09 → 19:00 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.1605$

Qty 3844.5643 FET

Size 616.8988$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1553 (+3.24%)

TP $ 19.99$

SL 0.1625 (-1.25%)

SL $ 7.69$

RR 2.6

Status loss PnL -1.25% / -7.69$ MAE -1.76% MFE +1.61% 1.3R expires 02 Nov 03:09

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: )

#65 / 79

seuil : top 15

Avg Rank 8h:

Quality Score

N/A

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#65 / 79

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

88 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

N/A

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

1.25 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#65 / 79

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

88 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

1.25 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	—
1d	clear	—

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	—	—	OK
4h	—	—	OK
1d	—	—	OK

Décision V4

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

386,473 $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 15:00

Coin Market Regime V2
—

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7560

Voir snapshot →

bear developing bear_expansion

Strategic	bear 0.55	expansion +2
Operational	bear 0.55	expansion +1
Tactical	range 0.25	compression 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 0.63

Transition risk : 0.37

Score contribution (this trade) +3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 7.8%

Macro broad_risk_off

Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state stable

Δ 15m

→+0.000

Δ 1h

→-0.022

Δ 4h

▼-0.278

Δ 12h

▼-0.522

Δ 24h

▼-0.484

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	66.7%
1h	10.0%
4h	3.3%
24h	26.7%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	43.3%	+0.03%
4h	10.0%	-1.37%
24h	20.0%	-0.93%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

0.0%

Down ≥1σ

26.7%

Expansion

26.7%

Tail ↑

+0.57

Tail ↓

+0.76

Dispersion : 0.107

Universe : 30 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M

+0 added · -0 removed

Regime confidence : 0.78

Snapshot évalué : 01/11 15:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.2915

Score SMA

0.2885

Rank

#86 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0341

Rank Norm SMA

0.1856

Calculé le

30/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.1955	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.09% · r3d: -8.61% · ema21_slope: -0.9275% · dist_ema21: -11.744%
Force Relative	25%	0.4040	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.87% · rs_3d: -4.22% · beta_24h: 2.529
Volume	20%	0.2907	rvol_20: 1.07× · zscore_50: -0.382 · trend: -31.47%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4911	ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 61.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.724% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.246% (0.0020)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.187%	0.2R	-0.835%	0.7R	0.2×	12
2h	+0.187%	0.2R	-0.897%	0.7R	0.2×	24
4h	+0.262%	0.2R	-1.439%	1.2R	0.2×	48
8h	+0.262%	0.2R	-1.763%	1.4R	0.2×	96
12h ★	+1.608%	1.3R	-1.763%	1.4R	0.9×	143
24h	+4.461%	3.6R	-1.763%	1.4R	2.5×	287
36h	+4.854%	3.9R	-1.763%	1.4R	2.8×	432
48h	+4.854%	3.9R	-1.763%	1.4R	2.8×	576
72h	+7.009%	5.6R	-3.919%	3.1R	1.8×	864

⏱ MFE in 2080 min MAE in 315 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.74

Prediction Score: N/A

No context market snapshot

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
confidence: 0.8777
reason: down_bo width=2.42×ATR dur=33b phase=fresh
stop_price: 0.16254086
tp_price: 0.15525784
atr:
score: 0.87769160338738
exit_rules:
expires_at: 2026-11-02T08:09:20.872517
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.87769160338738

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.0718
obi_top10 : 0.131
micro_price : 0.16047639
spread_pct : 0.062344
mid_price : 0.16045
bid_wall_price : 0.16
bid_wall_size : 1610071
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 0.161
ask_wall_size : 1321391.6
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.0694
obi_top5_std : 0.0053
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 6948
aggregation_tick : 0.001
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
0.16405
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
0.16076
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
0.162405
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1793448000
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1793563200
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
2.4216
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
33
```
balance_zone_quality: tight
balance_zone_maturity: established
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.8777
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1793559600
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
0.16076
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.7879
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
0.2208
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
6
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
9
```
regime : bear_high
atr_entry : 0.00135863

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.7879

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

0.2208

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	15:09	0.16046000	-0.025%
2	15:23	0.16046000	-0.025%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6948ms Confidence avant OB : 88% → 88%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.072

avg 0.069 ± 0.005

OBI Top 10 0.131

Microstructure

Mid Price

0.1605

Micro Price

0.1605

Spread

0.0623%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price

0.1600

Size

1,610,071.00

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

0.1610

Size

1,321,391.60

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1605	0.1625	0.1553	2.6	0.148

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1605
Stop Loss: 0.1625
Take Profit: 0.1553

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.1625 - 0.1605 = 0.002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1605 - 0.1553 = 0.0052
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0052 / 0.002 = 2.6

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
616.8988	100	3844.5643	6.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.002 = 4000

Taille de position USD = 4000 x 0.1605 = 642

Donc, tu peux acheter 4000 avec un stoploss a 0.1625

Avec un position size USD de 642$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 4000 x 0.002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 4000 x 0.0052 = 20.8

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.8$

Résumé

Taille de position 4000
Taille de position USD 642
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 20.8
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.6

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
3.24 %	19.99 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
1.25 %	7.69 $

PNL	PNL %
-7.69 $	-1.25

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.352 %	108.5 %	4

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1605	0.1625	0.1553	2.6	0.148

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1605
Stop Loss: 0.1625
Take Profit: 0.1553

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.1625 - 0.1605 = 0.002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1605 - 0.1553 = 0.0052
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0052 / 0.002 = 2.6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1553
            [entry_price] => 0.1605
            [stop_loss] => 0.1627
            [rr_ratio] => 2.36
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-02 00:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1553
            [entry_price] => 0.1605
            [stop_loss] => 0.1629
            [rr_ratio] => 2.17
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-02 01:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1553
            [entry_price] => 0.1605
            [stop_loss] => 0.1631
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-02 01:20:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.246% (0.0020)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.187%	0.2R	-0.835%	0.7R	0.2×	12
2h	+0.187%	0.2R	-0.897%	0.7R	0.2×	24
4h	+0.262%	0.2R	-1.439%	1.2R	0.2×	48
8h	+0.262%	0.2R	-1.763%	1.4R	0.2×	96
12h ★	+1.608%	1.3R	-1.763%	1.4R	0.9×	143
24h	+4.461%	3.6R	-1.763%	1.4R	2.5×	287
36h	+4.854%	3.9R	-1.763%	1.4R	2.8×	432
48h	+4.854%	3.9R	-1.763%	1.4R	2.8×	576
72h	+7.009%	5.6R	-3.919%	3.1R	1.8×	864

⏱ MFE in 2080 min MAE in 315 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

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