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Short Trade on RUNE

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01 Nov 2026 at 18:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 238.81 RUNE at 0.559$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5455 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.593 (5.99 %)

RUNE SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 18:15 → 19:15 · 59 minutes

Position

Entry 0.5595$

Qty 238.814 RUNE

Size 133.6069$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.5455 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.34$

SL 0.593 (-5.99%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.42

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.34$ MAE -1.06% MFE +11.65% 2.0R expires 02 Nov 00:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 240102)
#50 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1834

Quality Score
0.343
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#50 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#50 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.00×ATR
4h clear 1.28×ATR
1d near 0.21×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.30
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 18:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

30/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

01/11 11:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

01/11 17:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7572
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 24.7%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.097
Δ 4h
▲+0.147
Δ 12h
▼-0.296
Δ 24h
▼-0.225

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 77.4%
1h 6.5%
4h 25.8%
24h 29.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 71.0% +0.09%
4h 41.9% -0.30%
24h 22.6% -0.89%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
3.2%
Expansion
3.2%
Tail ↑
+0.37
Tail ↓
+0.32
Dispersion : 0.049
Universe : 31 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 01/11 18:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4734
Score SMA
0.5659
Rank
#10 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8393
Rank Norm SMA
0.8593
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3540 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.02% · r3d: 0.97% · ema21_slope: -0.3695% · dist_ema21: -2.513%
Force Relative 25% 0.4872 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.27% · rs_3d: 5.63% · beta_24h: 1.314
Volume 20% 0.8336 rvol_20: 2.73× · zscore_50: 1.163 · trend: 118.46%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5246 ADX: 16.4 (weak) · Chop: 52.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.044% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.3434
Score SMA
0.5286
Rank
#50 / 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1834
Rank Norm SMA
0.5617
Calculé le
01/11/2026 18:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0668 r1h: -1.494% · r4h: -3.405% · r1d: -14.41% · r3d: -13.10% · ema21_slope: -0.4956% · dist_ema21: -7.831%
Force Relative 25% 0.1511 rs_1h: -1.404% · rs_4h: -3.315% · rs_1d: -14.78% · rs_3d: -11.56% · beta_24h: 2.012
Volume 20% 0.3022 rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -0.525 · trend: 52.90%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8342 ADX: 40.1 (trend) · Chop: 33.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.579% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3612
Score SMA
0.5671
Rank
#39 / 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2909
Rank Norm SMA
0.7556
Calculé le
01/11/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2644 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -5.556% · r1d: -14.54% · r3d: -6.59% · ema21_slope: 0.0086% · dist_ema21: -9.494%
Force Relative 25% 0.2073 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -5.318% · rs_1d: -14.85% · rs_3d: -2.83% · beta_24h: 0.598
Volume 20% 0.5429 rvol_20: 1.45× · zscore_50: 1.184 · trend: 34.17%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6225 ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 32.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.2810 ATR%: 5.157% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.988% (0.0335)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.126% 0.5R -1.056% 0.2R 3.0× 12
2h +8.820% 1.5R -1.056% 0.2R 8.4× 24
4h +11.151% 1.9R -1.056% 0.2R 10.6× 48
6h ★ +11.646% 2.0R -1.056% 0.2R 11.0× 72
8h +11.646% 2.0R -1.056% 0.2R 11.0× 96
12h +11.646% 2.0R -1.056% 0.2R 11.0× 144
24h +11.646% 2.0R -1.239% 0.2R 9.4× 288
48h +11.646% 2.0R -19.687% 3.3R 0.6× 576
72h +11.646% 2.0R -19.687% 3.3R 0.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 334 min MAE in 1104 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.78
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 31% early near 0.2ATR — 0.68 range_high -0.31% -0.26 30/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
47%
noisy_chop 42% late — — 0.56 bear_high -3.19% -0.25 01/11 11:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind compression bear_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 50% late near 0.0ATR — 0.40 range_low -0.73% -0.79 01/11 17:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 43% mid near 0.0ATR — 0.09 range_low -0.05% -0.57 01/11 17:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#475001
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.655 expansion bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 31% early 2b -0.3ATR near 0.2ATR — 2.73 96% ↑ +0.62 above_value +0.02 — #224493 0.68 range_high -0.31% -0.26
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:19
4h
#480754
 ↓ down range range moderate balanced 0.527 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
47%
noisy_chop 42% late 6b -1.9ATR — — 1.45 95% ↓ -0.24 below_value -4.12 — #226877 0.56 bear_high -3.19% -0.25
01/11 11:00
upd 01/11 15:12
1h anchor
#481585
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind 0.479 compression bear_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 50% late 1b -4.0ATR near 0.0ATR — 0.37 72% ↑ +0.84 below_value -5.21 inside #227233 0.40 range_low -0.73% -0.79
01/11 17:00
upd 01/11 18:08
15m
#481534
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.556 volatile_reversal bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 43% mid 3b -2.1ATR near 0.0ATR — 0.04 16% ↓ -0.66 below_value -4.69 — #227133 0.09 range_low -0.05% -0.57
01/11 17:45
upd 01/11 18:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 2b — 1.003×ATR p0 -0.325×ATR p19
4h ↓ down late 6b — 5.34×ATR p84 -1.873×ATR p78
1h ↑ up late 1b — 0.463×ATR p2 -4.04×ATR p100
15m ↓ down mid 3b — 2.135×ATR p30 -2.142×ATR p61

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.59295887
  2. tp_price: 0.5454735
  3. atr: 0.01339955
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-02T05:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 52
  2. total: 52
  3. score: 0.0668
  4. delta_2h: -0.1029
  5. extension_atr: -2.9
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1834
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5595 0.593 0.5455 0.42 0.5947
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5595
  • Stop Loss: 0.593
  • Take Profit: 0.5455

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.593 - 0.5595 = 0.0335

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5595 - 0.5455 = 0.014

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.014 / 0.0335 = 0.4179

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
133.6069 100 238.814 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0335

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0335 = 238.81

Taille de position USD = 238.81 x 0.5595 = 133.61

Donc, tu peux acheter 238.81 avec un stoploss a 0.593

Avec un position size USD de 133.61$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 238.81 x 0.0335 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 238.81 x 0.014 = 3.34

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.34$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 238.81
  • Taille de position USD 133.61
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.34
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4179

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.34 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.99 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
3.34 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0563 % 17.64 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5595 0.593 0.5455 0.42 0.5947
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5595
  • Stop Loss: 0.593
  • Take Profit: 0.5455

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.593 - 0.5595 = 0.0335

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5595 - 0.5455 = 0.014

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.014 / 0.0335 = 0.4179

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.988% (0.0335)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.126% 0.5R -1.056% 0.2R 3.0× 12
2h +8.820% 1.5R -1.056% 0.2R 8.4× 24
4h +11.151% 1.9R -1.056% 0.2R 10.6× 48
6h ★ +11.646% 2.0R -1.056% 0.2R 11.0× 72
8h +11.646% 2.0R -1.056% 0.2R 11.0× 96
12h +11.646% 2.0R -1.056% 0.2R 11.0× 144
24h +11.646% 2.0R -1.239% 0.2R 9.4× 288
48h +11.646% 2.0R -19.687% 3.3R 0.6× 576
72h +11.646% 2.0R -19.687% 3.3R 0.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 334 min MAE in 1104 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 days ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.