Short Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1213.96 CRV at 0.277$ per unit. Take profit: 0.27 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2835 (2.38 %)
01 Nov 2026 at 18:15:06
hyperliquid
CRV
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Nov 2026 18:15
→ 00:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.2769$
Qty 1213.9569 CRV
Size 336.1811$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.27 (+2.49%)
TP $ 8.38$
SL 0.2835 (-2.38%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 1.05
Status
win
PnL
+0.75%
/ +2.51$
MAE -1.61%
MFE +1.01%
0.4R
expires
02 Nov 00:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 240094)
#45 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 18:00
score du 01/11/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4022
Quality Score
0.447
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#45 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.38 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#45 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.38 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.19×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.72×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.30
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 18:00
01/11 18:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/11 11:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/11 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7572
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
24.7%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.097
Δ 4h
▲+0.147
Δ 12h
▼-0.296
Δ 24h
▼-0.225
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 77.4% |
| 1h | 6.5% |
| 4h | 25.8% |
| 24h | 29.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 71.0% | +0.09% |
| 4h | 41.9% | -0.30% |
| 24h | 22.6% | -0.89% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
3.2%
Expansion
3.2%
Tail ↑
+0.37
Tail ↓
+0.32
Dispersion :
0.049
Universe :
31
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
01/11 18:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2371
Score SMA
0.3158
Rank
#54
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0536
Rank Norm SMA
0.3639
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1558 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.91% · r3d: -16.06% · ema21_slope: -0.6573% · dist_ema21: -16.541% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2157 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.16% · rs_3d: -11.41% · beta_24h: 2.709 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2009 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -1.145 · trend: 7.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6414 | ADX: 17.0 (weak) · Chop: 37.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.504% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.4467
Score SMA
0.4614
Rank
#45
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4022
Rank Norm SMA
0.2442
Calculé le
01/11/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3423 | r1h: -0.374% · r4h: 0.275% · r1d: -2.12% · r3d: -10.26% · ema21_slope: -0.0947% · dist_ema21: -1.500% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3920 | rs_1h: -0.284% · rs_4h: 0.365% · rs_1d: -2.49% · rs_3d: -8.72% · beta_24h: 1.448 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2294 | rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.451 · trend: -5.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6676 | ADX: 20.1 (weak) · Chop: 34.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.032% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3377
Score SMA
0.4144
Rank
#45
/ 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1071
Rank Norm SMA
0.2252
Calculé le
01/11/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1321 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.393% · r1d: -2.88% · r3d: -15.16% · ema21_slope: -0.5639% · dist_ema21: -6.052% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2185 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.154% · rs_1d: -3.19% · rs_3d: -11.39% · beta_24h: 1.332 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3215 | rvol_20: 1.00× · zscore_50: 0.298 · trend: -33.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5275 | ADX: 39.2 (trend) · Chop: 75.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.988% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.384%
(0.0066)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.120% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.477% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.611% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.015% | 0.4R | -1.611% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.062% | 0.9R | -1.611% | 0.7R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.326% | 1.0R | -1.611% | 0.7R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.114% | 2.2R | -1.611% | 0.7R | 3.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.169% | 3.0R | -1.611% | 0.7R | 4.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.086% | 3.8R | -1.842% | 0.8R | 4.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1224 min
MAE in 124 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.68
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.64 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.96 | 30/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -3.19% | -0.88 | 01/11 11:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | range_low | -0.73% | -0.20 | 01/11 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.46 | range_low | -0.05% | -0.05 | 01/11 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#474982
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.421 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 9b -2.2ATR | — | — | 0.41 | 46% | ↓ -0.23 | above_value | -0.83 | — | #224484 | 0.64 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.96 |
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:18
|
|
4h
#480738
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.752 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late 13b -3.0ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | 1.00 | 76% | ↓ -0.82 | value | -3.17 | inside | #226869 | 0.49 | bear_high | -3.19% | -0.88 |
01/11 11:00
upd 01/11 15:11
|
|
1h
anchor #481577
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.465 | expansion | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 3b -1.5ATR | — | — | 0.44 | 20% | ↑ +0.81 | above_value | -2.76 | — | #227225 | 0.42 | range_low | -0.73% | -0.20 |
01/11 17:00
upd 01/11 18:08
|
|
15m
#481526
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | 0.574 | compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 5b -0.7ATR | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.16 | 43% | ↓ -0.89 | value | -2.38 | — | #227125 | 0.46 | range_low | -0.05% | -0.05 |
01/11 17:45
upd 01/11 18:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 4.707×ATR | p65 | -2.168×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 1.985×ATR | p0 | -2.952×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.508×ATR | p0 | -1.468×ATR | p79 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.386×ATR | p0 | -0.667×ATR | p50 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.28352002
- tp_price: 0.27000675
- atr: 0.00263601
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T05:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 49
- total: 52
- score: 0.3423
- delta_2h: -0.0139
- extension_atr: -1.35
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4003
- confidence: 0.941
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2769 | 0.2835 | 0.27 | 1.05 | 0.266 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2769
- Stop Loss: 0.2835
- Take Profit: 0.27
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2835 - 0.2769 = 0.0066
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2769 - 0.27 = 0.0069
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0069 / 0.0066 = 1.0455
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 336.1811 | 100 | 1213.9569 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0066
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0066 = 1212.12
Taille de position USD = 1212.12 x 0.2769 = 335.64
Donc, tu peux acheter 1212.12 avec un stoploss a 0.2835
Avec un position size USD de 335.64$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1212.12 x 0.0066 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1212.12 x 0.0069 = 8.36
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.36$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1212.12
- Taille de position USD 335.64
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 8.36
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.0455
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 8.38 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.38 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.51 $ | 0.75 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6107 % | 67.58 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2769 | 0.2835 | 0.27 | 1.05 | 0.266 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2769
- Stop Loss: 0.2835
- Take Profit: 0.27
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2835 - 0.2769 = 0.0066
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2769 - 0.27 = 0.0069
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0069 / 0.0066 = 1.0455
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.384%
(0.0066)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.120% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.477% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.611% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.015% | 0.4R | -1.611% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.062% | 0.9R | -1.611% | 0.7R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.326% | 1.0R | -1.611% | 0.7R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.114% | 2.2R | -1.611% | 0.7R | 3.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.169% | 3.0R | -1.611% | 0.7R | 4.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.086% | 3.8R | -1.842% | 0.8R | 4.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1224 min
MAE in 124 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.