Short Trade on PENGU

Previous Trade Next Trade

01 Nov 2026 at 20:36:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on PENGU (BosPullback)

With 78155.53 PENGU at 0.0073$ per unit. Take profit: 0.007044 (3.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.007402 (1.4 %)

PENGU SHORT BosPullback hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 20:36 → 12:20 · 15 hours

Position

Entry 0.0073$

Qty 78155.5295 PENGU

Size 570.5354$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)

Risk Setup

TP 0.007044 (+3.51%)

TP $ 20.01$

SL 0.007402 (-1.4%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR 2.51

Status win PnL +3.51% / +20.01$ MAE -0.82% MFE +0.82% 0.6R

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: )

#31 / 69

OUT

seuil : top 15

Avg Rank 8h:

Quality Score

N/A

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#31 / 69

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

93 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

N/A

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

1.40 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#31 / 69

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

93 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

1.40 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	—
1d	clear	—

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	—	—	OK
4h	—	—	OK
1d	—	—	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

392,170 $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 20:31

Coin Market Regime V2
—

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime
	1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7582

Voir snapshot →

bear developing bear_expansion

Strategic	bear 0.55	expansion +2
Operational	bear 0.55	expansion +1
Tactical	range 0.25	compression 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 0.63

Transition risk : 0.37

Score contribution (this trade) +3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 43.4%

Macro btc_defensive

Local 4h bullish Leadership btc_leading

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state deteriorating

Δ 15m

→+0.000

Δ 1h

▼-0.055

Δ 4h

▲+0.219

Δ 12h

▲+0.101

Δ 24h

▼-0.186

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	42.4%
1h	97.0%
4h	60.6%
24h	39.4%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	42.4%	-0.02%
4h	27.3%	+0.08%
24h	27.3%	-0.40%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

0.0%

Down ≥1σ

0.0%

Expansion

0.0%

Tail ↑

+0.47

Tail ↓

+0.44

Dispersion : 0.078

Universe : 33 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M

+0 added · -0 removed

Regime confidence : 0.78

Snapshot évalué : 01/11 20:31 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Quality score non disponible pour ce trade.

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BosPullback (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -1.397% (0.0001)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.452%	0.3R	-0.178%	0.1R	2.5×	12
2h	+0.534%	0.4R	-0.685%	0.5R	0.8×	24
4h ★	+0.822%	0.6R	-0.822%	0.6R	1.0×	48
8h	+2.247%	1.6R	-0.822%	0.6R	2.7×	96
12h	+2.671%	1.9R	-0.822%	0.6R	3.3×	144
24h	+5.795%	4.2R	-0.822%	0.6R	7.1×	288
48h	+6.616%	4.7R	-0.822%	0.6R	8.1×	576
72h	+7.315%	5.2R	-3.685%	2.6R	2.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 1088 min MAE in 128 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 1.95

Prediction Score: N/A

No context market snapshot

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
confidence: 0.93
reason: bos_pullback_short|score=4|shallow|bars_since_bos=6|retests=1|break_atr=0.57|prog=0.53|zone=tested
stop_price: 0.00740236
tp_price: 0.0070441
atr:
score: 0.93
exit_rules:
confidence_pre_ob: 0.93

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
timeframe : 1h
state : pullback_down
confidence : 0.52
trend_strength : -0.1705
trend_persistence : 0.5
high_delta_atr : -0.2133
low_delta_atr : -1.5258
current_swing_amp_atr : 4.2176
current_swing_speed : 0.70294
current_swing_efficiency : 0.6414
retracement_ratio : 1.6118
extension_ratio : 1.4848
compression_score : 1.191
swing_entropy : 1
breakout_strength : -0.3774
distance_to_last_high_atr : -2.1165
distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.9032
pivot_count : 24
swing_count : 23
market_structure_v2
last_pivot_kind: low
last_pivot_price:
```
0.00715
```
last_pivot_index:
```
143
```
trend_analyzer_1h
direction : down
phase : early_expansion
structure : bearish_transition
breakout_state : breakout_retest
quality : volatile
strength : moderate
exhaustion : low
momentum_type : grind
volatility_regime : expansion
htf_context : unknown
risk_state : mid_range
confidence : 0.508
state : down_early_expansion_grind
trend_analyzer_1h
scores_direction_score:
```
0.3761
```
scores_strength_score:
```
0.6498
```
scores_quality_score:
```
0.2748
```
scores_cleanliness_score:
```
0.1981
```
scores_structural_quality:
```
0.3375
```
scores_pullback_score:
```
1
```
scores_exhaustion_score:
```
0.2238
```
scores_continuation_score:
```
0.4583
```
scores_structure_score:
```
0.3452
```
scores_volatility_expansion:
```
0.7558
```
scores_momentum_type_score:
```
0.6289
```
scores_risk_score:
```
0.3984
```
trend_analyzer_1h
features_ema20_slope:
```
-0.0446
```
features_ema50_slope:
```
-0.0394
```
features_ema_alignment_score:
```
0.3333
```
features_price_vs_ema20:
```
0.0269
```
features_price_vs_ema50:
```
-0.503
```
features_recent_hh_hl_score:
```
0.5
```
features_recent_lh_ll_score:
```
0.5
```
features_last_bos_direction:
```
-1
```
features_bars_since_last_bos:
```
6
```
features_candle_overlap_ratio:
```
1
```
features_wick_ratio:
```
0.6038
```
features_trend_efficiency:
```
0.6414
```
features_impulse_strength:
```
4.2176
```
features_directional_candle_ratio:
```
0.55
```
features_pullback_depth_ratio:
```
1.6118
```
features_pullback_depth_atr:
```
4.0159
```
features_extension_from_mean:
```
-0.503
```
features_impulse_decay_score:
```
0.2576
```
features_opposing_wick_pressure:
```
0.3071
```
features_volatility_percentile:
```
0.6
```
features_volatility_delta:
```
0.2937
```
features_body_ratio:
```
0.4225
```
features_closes_position_ratio:
```
0.4964
```
features_slope_consistency:
```
0.6952
```
features_range_position:
```
0.3984
```
features_distance_to_recent_high:
```
-15.7037
```
features_distance_to_recent_low:
```
10.3993
```
features_had_recent_range:
```
1
```
features_had_recent_compression:
```
0
```
features_post_break_hl_count:
```
0
```
features_htf_trend_strength:
features_htf_compression_score:
features_htf_entropy_score:
features_htf_hh_hl_score:
features_htf_state_str:
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.0636
obi_top10 : 0.0114
micro_price : 0.00729018
spread_pct : 0.027439
mid_price : 0.00729
bid_wall_price : 0.00728
bid_wall_size : 29224997.6
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 0.00732
ask_wall_size : 32623337
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.0586
obi_top5_std : 0.0071
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7428
aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
error :
strategy_details
strategy : bos_pullback
ms_state_1h : pullback_down
strategy_details

pivots_1h_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-28 01:00:00
    [price] => 0.007863
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-28 07:00:00
    [price] => 0.007715
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-28 11:00:00
    [price] => 0.00785
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-28 14:00:00
    [price] => 0.007628
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-28 20:00:00
    [price] => 0.008071
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-29 02:00:00
    [price] => 0.007533
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-29 05:00:00
    [price] => 0.007838
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-29 08:00:00
    [price] => 0.007563
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-29 16:00:00
    [price] => 0.00824
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-29 20:00:00
    [price] => 0.00698
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-29 21:00:00
    [price] => 0.007325
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-30 00:00:00
    [price] => 0.006621
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-30 15:00:00
    [price] => 0.007482
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-30 18:00:00
    [price] => 0.007145
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-30 23:00:00
    [price] => 0.007554
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_15:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-31 12:00:00
    [price] => 0.007246
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_16:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-31 16:00:00
    [price] => 0.007408
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_17:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-11-01 02:00:00
    [price] => 0.007243
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_18:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-11-01 13:00:00
    [price] => 0.007395
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_19:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-11-01 19:00:00
    [price] => 0.00715
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

strategy_details

pivots_15m_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-11-01 01:30:00
    [price] => 0.007309
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-11-01 02:30:00
    [price] => 0.007243
    [kind] => low
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-11-01 06:00:00
    [price] => 0.007333
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-11-01 07:15:00
    [price] => 0.007256
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-11-01 08:45:00
    [price] => 0.007329
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-11-01 09:30:00
    [price] => 0.007261
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-11-01 10:15:00
    [price] => 0.007352
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_15m_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-11-01 10:30:00
    [price] => 0.007293
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-11-01 11:45:00
    [price] => 0.007359
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-11-01 12:15:00
    [price] => 0.007301
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-11-01 13:30:00
    [price] => 0.007395
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_15m_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-11-01 19:00:00
    [price] => 0.00715
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-11-01 21:30:00
    [price] => 0.007247
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-11-01 22:15:00
    [price] => 0.007163
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-11-02 00:00:00
    [price] => 0.007306
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_15m_15:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-11-02 00:15:00
    [price] => 0.007218
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

bos_level_long : 0
bos_level_short : 0.007243
strategy_details
levels_hl_price:
```
0.00715
```
levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-11-01 19:00:00
levels_hh_price:
```
0.007395
```
levels_lh_price:
```
0.007395
```
levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-11-01 13:00:00
levels_ll_price:
```
0.00715
```
strategy_details
demand_zone_top:
```
0.007203
```
demand_zone_bottom:
```
0.00715
```
demand_zone_mid:
```
0.0071765
```
demand_zone_freshness: tested
demand_zone_strength:
```
0.5888
```
strategy_details
supply_zone_top:
```
0.007395
```
supply_zone_bottom:
```
0.007293
```
supply_zone_mid:
```
0.007344
```
supply_zone_freshness: tested
supply_zone_strength:
```
0.8717
```
regimes
1H : bear_high
15m : range_medium

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	20:36	0.00730000	0%
2	23:25	0.00730600	+0.082%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down

Confidence 52%

Trend

Trend Strength

-0.171

Persistence

0.500

High Δ ATR

-0.213

Low Δ ATR

-1.526

Current Swing

Amp ATR

4.218

Speed

0.703

Efficiency

0.641

Structure

Retracement

1.612

Extension

1.485

Compression

1.191

Entropy

1.000

Breakout Str.

-0.377

Dist High ATR

-2.117

Dist Low ATR

1.903

24 pivots · 23 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 0.0072 @ bar 143

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_early_expansion_grind

Confidence 51%

Context

phase early_expansion

structure bearish_transition

breakout breakout_retest

quality volatile

strength moderate

exhaustion low

momentum grind

volatility expansion

risk mid_range

htf unknown

Scores

0.376

0.650

0.275

0.198

0.338

1.000

0.224

0.458

0.345

0.756

0.629

0.398

Features

Ema20 Slope

-0.045

Ema50 Slope

-0.039

Ema Alignment Score

0.333

Price Vs Ema20

0.027

Price Vs Ema50

-0.503

Recent Hh Hl Score

0.500

Recent Lh Ll Score

0.500

Last Bos Direction

-1.000

Bars Since Last Bos

6.000

Candle Overlap Ratio

1.000

Wick Ratio

0.604

Trend Efficiency

0.641

Impulse Strength

4.218

Directional Candle Ratio

0.550

Pullback Depth Ratio

1.612

Pullback Depth Atr

4.016

Extension From Mean

-0.503

Impulse Decay Score

0.258

Opposing Wick Pressure

0.307

Volatility Percentile

0.600

Volatility Delta

0.294

Body Ratio

0.423

Closes Position Ratio

0.496

Slope Consistency

0.695

Range Position

0.398

Distance To Recent High

-15.704

Distance To Recent Low

10.399

Had Recent Range

1.000

Had Recent Compression

0.000

Post Break Hl Count

0.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7428ms Confidence avant OB : 93% → 93%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.064

avg 0.059 ± 0.007

OBI Top 10 0.011

Microstructure

Mid Price

0.0073

Micro Price

0.0073

Spread

0.0274%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price

0.0073

Size

29,224,997.60

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

0.0073

Size

32,623,337.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.0073	0.007402	0.007044	2.51	0.006362

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.0073
Stop Loss: 0.007402
Take Profit: 0.007044

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.007402 - 0.0073 = 0.000102
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.0073 - 0.007044 = 0.000256
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000256 / 0.000102 = 2.5098

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
570.5354	100	78155.5295	6.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.000102

Taille de position = 8 / 0.000102 = 78431.37

Taille de position USD = 78431.37 x 0.0073 = 572.55

Donc, tu peux acheter 78431.37 avec un stoploss a 0.007402

Avec un position size USD de 572.55$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 78431.37 x 0.000102 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 78431.37 x 0.000256 = 20.08

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.08$

Résumé

Taille de position 78431.37
Taille de position USD 572.55
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 20.08
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5098

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
3.51 %	20.01 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
1.4 %	7.97 $

PNL	PNL %
20.01 $	3.51

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.8219 %	58.82 %	9

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.0073	0.007402	0.007044	2.51	0.006362

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.0073
Stop Loss: 0.007402
Take Profit: 0.007044

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.007402 - 0.0073 = 0.000102
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.0073 - 0.007044 = 0.000256
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000256 / 0.000102 = 2.5098

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BosPullback (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -1.397% (0.0001)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.452%	0.3R	-0.178%	0.1R	2.5×	12
2h	+0.534%	0.4R	-0.685%	0.5R	0.8×	24
4h ★	+0.822%	0.6R	-0.822%	0.6R	1.0×	48
8h	+2.247%	1.6R	-0.822%	0.6R	2.7×	96
12h	+2.671%	1.9R	-0.822%	0.6R	3.3×	144
24h	+5.795%	4.2R	-0.822%	0.6R	7.1×	288
48h	+6.616%	4.7R	-0.822%	0.6R	8.1×	576
72h	+7.315%	5.2R	-3.685%	2.6R	2.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 1088 min MAE in 128 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.