Long Trade on TRUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 103.62 TRUMP at 1.737$ per unit. Take profit: 1.7805 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6599 (4.44 %)
01 Nov 2026 at 20:15:05
hyperliquid
TRUMP
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Nov 2026 20:15
→ 01:25
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 1.7371$
Qty 103.6238 TRUMP
Size 180.0048$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1.7805 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.5$
SL 1.6599 (-4.44%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.56
Status
loss
PnL
-4.44%
/ -8$
MAE -4.77%
MFE +1.47%
0.3R
expires
02 Nov 02:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 240329)
#1 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 20:00
score du 01/11/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9878
Quality Score
0.693
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-5
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-5
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.34×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 8.36×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.12
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
9.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 20:02
01/11 20:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 01/11 15:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 01/11 19:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7580
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
-3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
37.4%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→-0.012
Δ 1h
▼-0.182
Δ 4h
▲+0.223
Δ 12h
▲+0.145
Δ 24h
▼-0.341
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 51.5% |
| 1h | 9.1% |
| 4h | 54.6% |
| 24h | 36.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 54.6% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 33.3% | +0.12% |
| 24h | 27.3% | -0.58% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
3.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
3.0%
Tail ↑
+0.30
Tail ↓
+0.54
Dispersion :
0.082
Universe :
33
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
01/11 20:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.5155
Score SMA
0.3294
Rank
#4
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9400
Rank Norm SMA
0.3875
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3890 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 8.29% · r3d: 9.61% · ema21_slope: -0.7019% · dist_ema21: -1.842% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6507 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 7.27% · rs_3d: 9.12% · beta_24h: 2.219 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7230 | rvol_20: 3.24× · zscore_50: 1.260 · trend: -20.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6102 | ADX: 25.9 (trend) · Chop: 51.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.247% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6928
Score SMA
0.5257
Rank
#1
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9878
Rank Norm SMA
0.5118
Calculé le
01/11/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7920 | r1h: 1.373% · r4h: 1.385% · r1d: 9.39% · r3d: 14.36% · ema21_slope: 0.3977% · dist_ema21: 3.741% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8119 | rs_1h: 1.662% · rs_4h: 1.085% · rs_1d: 8.79% · rs_3d: 13.22% · beta_24h: -0.889 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6639 | rvol_20: 1.74× · zscore_50: 1.557 · trend: 71.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8098 | ADX: 37.2 (trend) · Chop: 23.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.887% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.6529
Score SMA
0.5056
Rank
#1
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.5635
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5147 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.088% · r1d: 8.29% · r3d: 9.61% · ema21_slope: -0.0101% · dist_ema21: 4.447% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6846 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.795% · rs_1d: 7.27% · rs_3d: 9.12% · beta_24h: 1.706 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5904 | rvol_20: 1.39× · zscore_50: 0.729 · trend: 172.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7282 | ADX: 27.4 (trend) · Chop: 35.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.869% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.444%
(0.0772)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.474% | 0.3R | -0.570% | 0.1R | 2.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.474% | 0.3R | -1.359% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.474% | 0.3R | -4.151% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.474% | 0.3R | -4.767% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.474% | 0.3R | -5.993% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.474% | 0.3R | -7.150% | 1.6R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.474% | 0.3R | -10.046% | 2.3R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.474% | 0.3R | -13.396% | 3.0R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.474% | 0.3R | -30.067% | 6.8R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 4 min
MAE in 1104 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.1
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.48 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.35 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | — | bear_high | -2.46% | +0.34 | 01/11 15:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.62 | range_low | -0.32% | +0.67 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.27 | range_low | +0.28% | +0.07 | 01/11 19:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482034
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.519 | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 64b -0.3ATR | — | — | 3.24 | 83% | ↔ +0.08 | above_value | +0.91 | — | #227347 | 0.48 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.35 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:20
|
|
4h
#481892
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.623 | expansion | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late 2b 2.1ATR | — | near 0.2ATR | 1.09 | 85% | ↔ +0.01 | above_value | +0.91 | — | #227347 | — | bear_high | -2.46% | +0.34 |
01/11 15:00
upd 01/11 19:13
|
|
1h
anchor #482293
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.466 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid 2b 1.4ATR | — | near 0.3ATR | 1.74 | 97% | ↑ +0.94 | above_value | +0.68 | — | #227501 | 0.62 | range_low | -0.32% | +0.67 |
01/11 19:00
upd 01/11 20:09
|
|
15m
#482239
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.664 | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 2b 0.9ATR | — | — | 3.24 | 97% | ↑ +0.49 | above_value | +0.91 | — | #227347 | 0.27 | range_low | +0.28% | +0.07 |
01/11 19:45
upd 01/11 20:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 64b | — | 11.045×ATR | p92 | -0.282×ATR | p11 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.176×ATR | p0 | +2.053×ATR | p93 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.761×ATR | p16 | +1.397×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.937×ATR | p13 | +0.887×ATR | p56 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1.65989763
- tp_price: 1.7805275
- atr: 0.03088095
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T07:15:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 1
- total: 54
- score: 0.7301
- delta_2h: 0.048
- extension_atr: 2.04
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9878
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:15 | 1.73710000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:15 | 1.73410000 | -0.173% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7371 | 1.6599 | 1.7805 | 0.56 | 1.1842 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.7371
- Stop Loss: 1.6599
- Take Profit: 1.7805
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6599 - 1.7371 = -0.0772
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.7371 - 1.7805 = -0.0434
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0434 / -0.0772 = 0.5622
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180.0048 | 100 | 103.6238 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0772
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0772 = -103.63
Taille de position USD = -103.63 x 1.7371 = -180.02
Donc, tu peux acheter -103.63 avec un stoploss a 1.6599
Avec un position size USD de -180.02$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -103.63 x -0.0772 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -103.63 x -0.0434 = 4.5
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.5$
Résumé
- Taille de position -103.63
- Taille de position USD -180.02
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.5
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5622
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.5 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.44 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -4.44 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.496 % | 101.17 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7371 | 1.6599 | 1.7805 | 0.56 | 1.1842 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.7371
- Stop Loss: 1.6599
- Take Profit: 1.7805
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6599 - 1.7371 = -0.0772
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.7371 - 1.7805 = -0.0434
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0434 / -0.0772 = 0.5622
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.444%
(0.0772)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.474% | 0.3R | -0.570% | 0.1R | 2.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.474% | 0.3R | -1.359% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.474% | 0.3R | -4.151% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.474% | 0.3R | -4.767% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.474% | 0.3R | -5.993% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.474% | 0.3R | -7.150% | 1.6R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.474% | 0.3R | -10.046% | 2.3R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.474% | 0.3R | -13.396% | 3.0R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.474% | 0.3R | -30.067% | 6.8R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 4 min
MAE in 1104 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.