Short Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 315706.39 PENGU at 0.00734$ per unit. Take profit: 0.007293 (0.69 %) & Stop Loss: 0.007369 (0.34 %)
Short Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 315706.39 PENGU at 0.00734$ per unit. Take profit: 0.007293 (0.69 %) & Stop Loss: 0.007369 (0.34 %)
Position
Entry 0.007344$
Qty 315706.3931 PENGU
Size 2318.5478$ (margin 100$) (leverage 23)
Risk Setup
TP 0.007293 (+0.69%)
TP $ 16.1$
SL 0.007369 (-0.34%)
SL $ 7.89$
RR 2.04
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h:
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
— |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.806891 15m : 0.79067 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 44.1% |
| 1h | 97.1% |
| 4h | 79.4% |
| 24h | 55.9% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 44.1% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 58.8% | +0.62% |
| 24h | 29.4% | +0.53% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
Quality score non disponible pour ce trade.
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.681% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.416% | 4.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.832% | 8.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +3.132% | 9.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +3.254% | 9.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +6.359% | 18.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 48h | +7.870% | 23.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 576 |
| 72h | +7.870% | 23.1R | -3.064% | 9.0R | 2.6× | 864 |
computed 3 days ago
Indicators:
78199.1
0.0054838
78628
0.806891
78047.8
0.00743367
78628
0.79067
78401.6
0.00335959
78665
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0.00715
191
0.4686
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0.2027
0.3292
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0.2259
0.4947
0.3452
0.82
0.6379
0.4453
0.0167
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0.9953
0.6289
0.5
0.5
-1
8
1
0.5946
0.6414
4.2176
0.55
1.6118
4.0159
0.6289
0.2576
0.2715
0.7
0.3845
0.4584
0.4653
0.7073
0.4453
-12.9464
10.3946
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 22:20:00 | 0.007163 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-01 23:10:00 | 0.0073 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-02 00:00:00 | 0.007306 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-02 00:25:00 | 0.007218 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 00:35:00 | 0.007218 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 01:25:00 | 0.007331 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-02 02:10:00 | 0.007267 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 02:30:00 | 0.007306 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-02 02:55:00 | 0.007261 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 03:35:00 | 0.00735 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 10:15:00 | 0.007352 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-01 13:30:00 | 0.007395 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-01 18:00:00 | 0.007291 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-01 19:00:00 | 0.00715 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-01 21:30:00 | 0.007247 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-01 22:15:00 | 0.007163 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 00:30:00 | 0.007218 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 01:15:00 | 0.007331 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-02 02:45:00 | 0.007261 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 03:30:00 | 0.00735 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 10:00:00 | 0.007066 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-30 15:00:00 | 0.007482 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-30 23:00:00 | 0.007554 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-31 05:00:00 | 0.007268 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-31 12:00:00 | 0.007246 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-31 16:00:00 | 0.007408 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-01 02:00:00 | 0.007243 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-01 13:00:00 | 0.007395 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-01 19:00:00 | 0.00715 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 03:00:00 | 0.007349 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.007344 | 0.007369 | 0.007293 | 2.04 | 0.006406 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.007369 - 0.007344 = 2.5E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.007344 - 0.007293 = 5.1E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.1E-5 / 2.5E-5 = 2.04
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2318.5478 | 100 | 315706.3931 | 23.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 2.5E-5 = 320000
Taille de position USD = 320000 x 0.007344 = 2350.08
Donc, tu peux acheter 320000 avec un stoploss a 0.007369
Avec un position size USD de 2350.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 320000 x 2.5E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 320000 x 5.1E-5 = 16.32
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.32$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.69 % | 16.1 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.34 % | 7.89 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.1 $ | 0.69 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.007344 | 0.007369 | 0.007293 | 2.04 | 0.006406 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.007369 - 0.007344 = 2.5E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.007344 - 0.007293 = 5.1E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.1E-5 / 2.5E-5 = 2.04
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.681% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.416% | 4.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.832% | 8.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +3.132% | 9.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +3.254% | 9.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +6.359% | 18.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 48h | +7.870% | 23.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 576 |
| 72h | +7.870% | 23.1R | -3.064% | 9.0R | 2.6× | 864 |
computed 3 days ago
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