01 Nov 2026 at 23:13:13 hyperliquid

Long Trade on HYPE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 5.84 HYPE at 88.835$ per unit. Take profit: 92.2576 (3.85 %) & Stop Loss: 87.466 (1.54 %)

HYPE LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 23:13 → 01:10 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 88.835$

Qty 5.8436 HYPE

Size 519.1122$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)

Risk Setup

TP 92.2576 (+3.85%)

TP $ 20$

SL 87.466 (-1.54%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -1.54% / -8$ MAE -4.19% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 02 Nov 11:13

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 240487)
#49 / 53
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3620

Quality Score
0.462
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#49 / 53
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.54 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#49 / 53
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.54 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.37×ATR
4h clear 1.10×ATR
1d near 0.37×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
251.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 23:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/11 15:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/11 21:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7592
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

-2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro bull

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 70.4%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→-0.012
Δ 1h
▲+0.086
Δ 4h
▲+0.148
Δ 12h
▲+0.348
Δ 24h
▲+0.116

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 50.0%
1h 97.2%
4h 77.8%
24h 52.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 50.0% +0.00%
4h 58.3% +0.62%
24h 27.8% +0.36%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
13.9%
Down ≥1σ
2.8%
Expansion
16.7%
Tail ↑
+0.67
Tail ↓
+0.61
Dispersion : 0.125
Universe : 36 (+2 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+2 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 01/11 23:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.5131
Score SMA
0.5291
Rank
#5 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9200
Rank Norm SMA
0.8524
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6098 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.10% · r3d: -1.25% · ema21_slope: 0.0875% · dist_ema21: 5.455%
Force Relative 25% 0.6053 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.12% · rs_3d: -1.74% · beta_24h: 0.014
Volume 20% 0.2594 rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.742 · trend: 31.68%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7200 ADX: 26.4 (trend) · Chop: 36.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.1893 ATR%: 5.432% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.4620
Score SMA
0.5718
Rank
#49 / 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3620
Rank Norm SMA
0.6750
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5500 r1h: 0.929% · r4h: 0.858% · r1d: 1.17% · r3d: -4.42% · ema21_slope: -0.0140% · dist_ema21: 0.874%
Force Relative 25% 0.5007 rs_1h: 0.710% · rs_4h: 0.516% · rs_1d: 0.11% · rs_3d: -4.92% · beta_24h: 1.082
Volume 20% 0.3947 rvol_20: 1.47× · zscore_50: 0.035 · trend: -22.04%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4655 ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 60.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.881% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.5044
Score SMA
0.6255
Rank
#11 / 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8750
Rank Norm SMA
0.8908
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6213 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.858% · r1d: 1.17% · r3d: -4.42% · ema21_slope: 0.0568% · dist_ema21: 1.259%
Force Relative 25% 0.5900 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.516% · rs_1d: 0.11% · rs_3d: -4.92% · beta_24h: 1.894
Volume 20% 0.1785 rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.322 · trend: -55.05%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3491 ADX: 19.1 (weak) · Chop: 76.5 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.248% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.541% (1.3690)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.003% 0.0R -1.275% 0.8R 0.0× 12
2h +0.003% 0.0R -1.624% 1.1R 0.0× 24
4h +0.003% 0.0R -3.976% 2.6R 0.0× 48
8h +0.003% 0.0R -3.976% 2.6R 0.0× 96
12h ★ +0.003% 0.0R -4.193% 2.7R 0.0× 144
24h +0.003% 0.0R -7.131% 4.6R 0.0× 288
36h +0.003% 0.0R -7.131% 4.6R 0.0× 432
48h +0.003% 0.0R -8.820% 5.7R 0.0× 576
72h +0.003% 0.0R -8.820% 5.7R 0.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 6 min MAE in 1391 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate fading expansion bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 35% early — near 0.4ATR 0.46 range_high +0.70% +0.85 31/10 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong grind compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — — bear_high -2.46% -0.28 01/11 15:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 33% early — near 0.4ATR 0.46 range_low +0.09% -0.08 01/11 21:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_medium_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 40% late — near -1.5ATR 0.48 range_low +0.74% +0.06 01/11 22:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#482024
↑ up range range moderate fading 0.527 expansion bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 35% early 8b 1.0ATR — near 0.4ATR 0.44 24% ↑ +0.28 above_value -5.47 — #227344 0.46 range_high +0.70% +0.85
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:20
4h
#481886
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong grind 0.776 compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 39% mid 19b 0.1ATR — — 0.26 38% ↓ -0.89 above_value -5.47 — #227344 — bear_high -2.46% -0.28
01/11 15:00
upd 01/11 19:13
1h anchor
#482846
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.634 normal bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 33% early 4b 0.0ATR — near 0.4ATR 0.83 36% ↑ +0.35 above_value -5.50 — #227712 0.46 range_low +0.09% -0.08
01/11 21:00
upd 01/11 22:09
15m
#483070
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.592 normal bull_medium_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 40% late 7b 2.0ATR — near -1.5ATR 1.94 86% ↔ -0.01 above_value -5.50 — #227712 0.48 range_low +0.74% +0.06
01/11 22:45
upd 01/11 23:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 8b — 2.826×ATR p5 +0.962×ATR p51
4h ↓ down mid 19b — 4.693×ATR p75 +0.104×ATR p7
1h ↑ up early 4b — 1.225×ATR p0 +0.041×ATR p4
15m ↑ up late 7b — 3.008×ATR p67 +2.005×ATR p96

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.997
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.50×ATR dur=45b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_moderate(+0.05)
  4. stop_price: 87.46597039
  5. tp_price: 92.25757402
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.8770397815472
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-11-02T16:13:05.559463
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.8770397815472
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.3049
  14. obi_top10 : 0.3049
  15. micro_price : 88.54544275
  16. spread_pct : 0.012423
  17. mid_price : 88.5475
  18. bid_wall_price :
  19. bid_wall_size :
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.294
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0289
  27. pressure_side : bid
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7166
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.1
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    88.5035
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    86.582
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    87.54275
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793433600
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793592000
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.5026
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    45
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.877
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793588400
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    88.5035
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.9556
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.4318
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    1
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    1
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    5
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    5
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.76779607
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
45
inside_close_ratio
0.9556
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4318

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 23:13 88.83500000 0%
2 23:25 88.83500000 0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7166ms Confidence avant OB : 88% → 100%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.305
avg 0.294 ± 0.029
OBI Top 10 0.305

Microstructure

Mid Price
88.5475
Micro Price
88.5454
Spread
0.0124%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
88.835 87.466 92.2576 2.5 77.382
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 88.835
  • Stop Loss: 87.466
  • Take Profit: 92.2576

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 87.466 - 88.835 = -1.369

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 88.835 - 92.2576 = -3.4226

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.4226 / -1.369 = 2.5001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
519.1122 100 5.8436 5.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -1.369

Taille de position = 8 / -1.369 = -5.84

Taille de position USD = -5.84 x 88.835 = -518.8

Donc, tu peux acheter -5.84 avec un stoploss a 87.466

Avec un position size USD de -518.8$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -5.84 x -1.369 = 7.99

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -5.84 x -3.4226 = 19.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -5.84
  • Taille de position USD -518.8
  • Perte potentielle 7.99
  • Gain potentiel 19.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.85 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.54 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.54
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.6244 % 105.41 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
88.835 87.466 92.2576 2.5 77.382
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 88.835
  • Stop Loss: 87.466
  • Take Profit: 92.2576

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 87.466 - 88.835 = -1.369

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 88.835 - 92.2576 = -3.4226

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.4226 / -1.369 = 2.5001

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 92.2576
            [entry_price] => 88.835
            [stop_loss] => 87.3291
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-02 06:20:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 92.2576
            [entry_price] => 88.835
            [stop_loss] => 87.1922
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-02 06:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 92.2576
            [entry_price] => 88.835
            [stop_loss] => 87.0553
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-02 06:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 92.2576
            [entry_price] => 88.835
            [stop_loss] => 86.7815
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-02 06:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.541% (1.3690)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.003% 0.0R -1.275% 0.8R 0.0× 12
2h +0.003% 0.0R -1.624% 1.1R 0.0× 24
4h +0.003% 0.0R -3.976% 2.6R 0.0× 48
8h +0.003% 0.0R -3.976% 2.6R 0.0× 96
12h ★ +0.003% 0.0R -4.193% 2.7R 0.0× 144
24h +0.003% 0.0R -7.131% 4.6R 0.0× 288
36h +0.003% 0.0R -7.131% 4.6R 0.0× 432
48h +0.003% 0.0R -8.820% 5.7R 0.0× 576
72h +0.003% 0.0R -8.820% 5.7R 0.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 6 min MAE in 1391 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.