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Long Trade on LIT

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01 Nov 2026 at 23:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 52.81 LIT at 3.212$ per unit. Take profit: 3.2923 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.0605 (4.72 %)

LIT LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 23:15 → 05:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 3.212$

Qty 52.8067 LIT

Size 169.6151$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 3.2923 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.24$

SL 3.0605 (-4.72%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.53

Status loss PnL -2.61% / -4.43$ MAE -3.67% MFE +0.69% 0.2R expires 02 Nov 05:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 240500)
#5 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7976

Quality Score
0.621
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-5
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-5
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.25×ATR
4h near 0.18×ATR
1d clear 1.66×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
expanding
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.62
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
39.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 23:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

01/11 15:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/11 21:00

Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7592
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

-2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro bull

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 70.4%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→-0.012
Δ 1h
▲+0.086
Δ 4h
▲+0.148
Δ 12h
▲+0.348
Δ 24h
▲+0.116

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 50.0%
1h 97.2%
4h 77.8%
24h 52.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 50.0% +0.00%
4h 58.3% +0.62%
24h 27.8% +0.36%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
13.9%
Down ≥1σ
2.8%
Expansion
16.7%
Tail ↑
+0.67
Tail ↓
+0.61
Dispersion : 0.125
Universe : 36 (+2 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+2 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 01/11 23:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4134
Score SMA
0.2965
Rank
#14 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7400
Rank Norm SMA
0.2991
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3378 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.13% · r3d: 16.91% · ema21_slope: -0.8813% · dist_ema21: -1.814%
Force Relative 25% 0.6090 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.89% · rs_3d: 16.42% · beta_24h: 2.779
Volume 20% 0.3981 rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: -0.038 · trend: 4.56%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5345 ADX: 14.0 (weak) · Chop: 48.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.516% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.6211
Score SMA
0.5220
Rank
#5 / 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7976
Rank Norm SMA
0.4261
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7580 r1h: 3.276% · r4h: 2.492% · r1d: 2.61% · r3d: 10.66% · ema21_slope: 0.0369% · dist_ema21: 2.321%
Force Relative 25% 0.7737 rs_1h: 3.058% · rs_4h: 2.150% · rs_1d: 1.55% · rs_3d: 10.15% · beta_24h: 1.529
Volume 20% 0.3853 rvol_20: 1.13× · zscore_50: 0.466 · trend: -10.31%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5051 ADX: 24.5 (weak) · Chop: 62.8 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.976% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.5333
Score SMA
0.4236
Rank
#6 / 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8750
Rank Norm SMA
0.3091
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6834 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.492% · r1d: 2.61% · r3d: 10.66% · ema21_slope: 0.4205% · dist_ema21: 5.936%
Force Relative 25% 0.6968 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.150% · rs_1d: 1.55% · rs_3d: 10.15% · beta_24h: 3.790
Volume 20% 0.3450 rvol_20: 0.88× · zscore_50: 0.200 · trend: 2.94%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6093 ADX: 20.3 (weak) · Chop: 45.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.5025 ATR%: 4.493% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.717% (0.1515)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.691% 0.2R -0.274% 0.1R 2.5× 12
2h +0.691% 0.2R -1.476% 0.3R 0.5× 24
4h +0.691% 0.2R -3.668% 0.8R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +0.691% 0.2R -3.668% 0.8R 0.2× 72
8h +0.691% 0.2R -4.191% 0.9R 0.2× 96
12h +0.691% 0.2R -4.225% 0.9R 0.2× 144
24h +0.691% 0.2R -6.463% 1.4R 0.1× 288
48h +8.067% 1.7R -6.463% 1.4R 1.3× 576
72h +11.345% 2.4R -6.463% 1.4R 1.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 44 min MAE in 784 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.5
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced normal bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.42 range_high +0.70% -0.24 31/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced normal range_high
38%
noisy_chop 38% early — near 0.2ATR — bear_high -2.46% +0.07 01/11 15:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 29% mid near -1.1ATR — 0.41 range_low +0.09% -0.06 01/11 21:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
46%
noisy_chop 39% late — — 0.34 range_low +0.74% +0.25 01/11 22:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#482064
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.504 normal bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 37% early 11b -0.2ATR — — 1.30 70% ↔ +0.14 value +1.11 — #227357 0.42 range_high +0.70% -0.24
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:21
4h
#481912
 ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.473 normal range_high
38%
noisy_chop 38% early 9b 0.9ATR — near 0.2ATR 0.44 51% ↓ -0.36 value +1.11 — #227357 — bear_high -2.46% +0.07
01/11 15:00
upd 01/11 19:14
1h anchor
#482859
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.565 compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 29% mid 13b -0.4ATR near -1.1ATR — 0.13 11% ↓ -0.58 above_value +0.49 — #227725 0.41 range_low +0.09% -0.06
01/11 21:00
upd 01/11 22:10
15m
#483083
 ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate balanced 0.483 volatile_reversal bull_high
46%
noisy_chop 39% late 11b 2.1ATR — — 1.30 77% ↓ -0.49 above_value +0.49 — #227725 0.34 range_low +0.74% +0.25
01/11 22:45
upd 01/11 23:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 11b — 2.272×ATR p0 -0.161×ATR p9
4h ↑ up early 9b — 3.158×ATR p45 +0.867×ATR p51
1h ↓ down mid 13b — 3.259×ATR p65 -0.381×ATR p21
15m ↑ up late 11b — 3.938×ATR p84 +2.077×ATR p83

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 3.06050404
  2. tp_price: 3.2923
  3. atr: 0.06059838
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-02T10:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 54
  3. score: 0.7111
  4. delta_2h: 0.0748
  5. extension_atr: 0.69
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7976
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.212 3.0605 3.2923 0.53 3.1502
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.212
  • Stop Loss: 3.0605
  • Take Profit: 3.2923

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.0605 - 3.212 = -0.1515

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.212 - 3.2923 = -0.0803

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0803 / -0.1515 = 0.53

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
169.6151 100 52.8067 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.1515

Taille de position = 8 / -0.1515 = -52.81

Taille de position USD = -52.81 x 3.212 = -169.63

Donc, tu peux acheter -52.81 avec un stoploss a 3.0605

Avec un position size USD de -169.63$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -52.81 x -0.1515 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -52.81 x -0.0803 = 4.24

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.24$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -52.81
  • Taille de position USD -169.63
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.24
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.53

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.72 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-4.43 $ -2.61
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.6675 % 77.76 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.212 3.0605 3.2923 0.53 3.1502
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.212
  • Stop Loss: 3.0605
  • Take Profit: 3.2923

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.0605 - 3.212 = -0.1515

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.212 - 3.2923 = -0.0803

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0803 / -0.1515 = 0.53

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.717% (0.1515)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.691% 0.2R -0.274% 0.1R 2.5× 12
2h +0.691% 0.2R -1.476% 0.3R 0.5× 24
4h +0.691% 0.2R -3.668% 0.8R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +0.691% 0.2R -3.668% 0.8R 0.2× 72
8h +0.691% 0.2R -4.191% 0.9R 0.2× 96
12h +0.691% 0.2R -4.225% 0.9R 0.2× 144
24h +0.691% 0.2R -6.463% 1.4R 0.1× 288
48h +8.067% 1.7R -6.463% 1.4R 1.3× 576
72h +11.345% 2.4R -6.463% 1.4R 1.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 44 min MAE in 784 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.