01 Nov 2026 at 23:16:52 hyperliquid

Long Trade on LIT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 95.04 LIT at 3.212$ per unit. Take profit: 3.4224 (6.55 %) & Stop Loss: 3.1278 (2.62 %)

LIT LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 23:16 → 01:40 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 3.212$

Qty 95.0363 LIT

Size 305.2566$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 3.4224 (+6.55%)

TP $ 20$

SL 3.1278 (-2.62%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -2.62% / -8$ MAE -4.22% MFE +0.69% 0.3R expires 02 Nov 11:16

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 240500)
#5 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7976

Quality Score
0.621
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.62 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.62 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.18×ATR
4h near 0.17×ATR
1d clear 1.66×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
39.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 23:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/11 19:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/11 22:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7593
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

-2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro bull

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 70.3%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→-0.001
Δ 1h
▲+0.173
Δ 4h
▲+0.213
Δ 12h
▲+0.289
Δ 24h
▲+0.312

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 18.9%
1h 18.9%
4h 89.2%
24h 48.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 13.5% -0.08%
4h 56.8% +0.66%
24h 29.7% -0.06%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
18.9%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
18.9%
Tail ↑
+0.78
Tail ↓
+0.40
Dispersion : 0.116
Universe : 37 (+1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 01/11 23:16 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4134
Score SMA
0.2965
Rank
#14 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7400
Rank Norm SMA
0.2991
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3378 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.13% · r3d: 16.91% · ema21_slope: -0.8813% · dist_ema21: -1.814%
Force Relative 25% 0.6090 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.89% · rs_3d: 16.42% · beta_24h: 2.779
Volume 20% 0.3981 rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: -0.038 · trend: 4.56%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5345 ADX: 14.0 (weak) · Chop: 48.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.516% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.6211
Score SMA
0.5220
Rank
#5 / 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7976
Rank Norm SMA
0.4261
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7580 r1h: 3.276% · r4h: 2.492% · r1d: 2.61% · r3d: 10.66% · ema21_slope: 0.0369% · dist_ema21: 2.321%
Force Relative 25% 0.7737 rs_1h: 3.058% · rs_4h: 2.150% · rs_1d: 1.55% · rs_3d: 10.15% · beta_24h: 1.529
Volume 20% 0.3853 rvol_20: 1.13× · zscore_50: 0.466 · trend: -10.31%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5051 ADX: 24.5 (weak) · Chop: 62.8 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.976% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.5333
Score SMA
0.4236
Rank
#6 / 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8750
Rank Norm SMA
0.3091
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6834 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.492% · r1d: 2.61% · r3d: 10.66% · ema21_slope: 0.4205% · dist_ema21: 5.936%
Force Relative 25% 0.6968 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.150% · rs_1d: 1.55% · rs_3d: 10.15% · beta_24h: 3.790
Volume 20% 0.3450 rvol_20: 0.88× · zscore_50: 0.200 · trend: 2.94%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6093 ADX: 20.3 (weak) · Chop: 45.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.5025 ATR%: 4.493% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.621% (0.0842)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.691% 0.3R -0.274% 0.1R 2.5× 12
2h +0.691% 0.3R -1.476% 0.6R 0.5× 24
4h +0.691% 0.3R -3.668% 1.4R 0.2× 48
8h +0.691% 0.3R -4.191% 1.6R 0.2× 96
12h ★ +0.691% 0.3R -4.225% 1.6R 0.2× 144
24h +0.691% 0.3R -6.463% 2.5R 0.1× 288
36h +8.067% 3.1R -6.463% 2.5R 1.3× 432
48h +8.067% 3.1R -6.463% 2.5R 1.3× 576
72h +11.345% 4.3R -6.463% 2.5R 1.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 2138 min MAE in 783 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.54
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced normal bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.42 range_high +0.70% -0.24 31/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 42% mid — near 0.2ATR 0.50 bear_high -2.08% +0.67 01/11 19:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 32% early — near -0.2ATR 0.41 range_low +0.30% +0.22 01/11 22:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
46%
noisy_chop 39% late — — 0.34 range_low +0.74% +0.25 01/11 22:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#482064
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.504 normal bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 37% early 11b -0.2ATR — — 1.30 70% ↔ +0.14 value +1.11 — #227357 0.42 range_high +0.70% -0.24
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:21
4h
#483184
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.531 compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 42% mid 10b 1.5ATR — near 0.2ATR 0.88 76% ↓ -0.21 value +1.08 — #227831 0.50 bear_high -2.08% +0.67
01/11 19:00
upd 01/11 23:15
1h anchor
#483183
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.552 expansion_after_compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 32% early 2b 1.2ATR — near -0.2ATR 1.13 82% ↓ -0.56 value +1.08 — #227831 0.41 range_low +0.30% +0.22
01/11 22:00
upd 01/11 23:15
15m
#483083
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate balanced 0.483 volatile_reversal bull_high
46%
noisy_chop 39% late 11b 2.1ATR — — 1.30 77% ↓ -0.49 above_value +0.49 — #227725 0.34 range_low +0.74% +0.25
01/11 22:45
upd 01/11 23:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 11b — 2.272×ATR p0 -0.161×ATR p9
4h ↑ up mid 10b — 3.781×ATR p48 +1.455×ATR p75
1h ↑ up early 2b — 2.029×ATR p34 +1.226×ATR p59
15m ↑ up late 11b — 3.938×ATR p84 +2.077×ATR p83

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.7906
  3. reason: up_bo width=1.93×ATR dur=30b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 3.12782164
  5. tp_price: 3.4224459
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.79059455829721
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-11-02T16:16:44.677288
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.79059455829721
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.0645
  14. obi_top10 : -0.0127
  15. micro_price : 3.22047
  16. spread_pct : 0.062131
  17. mid_price : 3.22
  18. bid_wall_price : 3.18
  19. bid_wall_size : 13138.8
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 3.26
  22. ask_wall_size : 15182
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.0607
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0096
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7002
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    3.1934
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    3.07455
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    3.133975
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793487600
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793592000
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    1.9315
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    30
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7906
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793588400
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    3.1934
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.6333
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.3023
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    10
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    1
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.06153358
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
30
inside_close_ratio
0.6333
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3023

Signaux confirmants (11)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 23:16 3.21200000 0%
2 23:28 3.21200000 0%
3 23:41 3.20370000 -0.258%
4 23:51 3.20370000 -0.258%
5 00:01 3.20370000 -0.258%
6 00:13 3.22010000 +0.252%
7 00:23 3.22010000 +0.252%
8 00:34 3.22010000 +0.252%
9 00:45 3.21720000 +0.162%
10 00:55 3.21720000 +0.162%
11 01:08 3.21720000 +0.162%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7002ms Confidence avant OB : 79% → 79%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.065
avg -0.061 ± 0.010
OBI Top 10 -0.013

Microstructure

Mid Price
3.2200
Micro Price
3.2205
Spread
0.0621%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
3.1800
Size
13,138.80

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
3.2600
Size
15,182.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.212 3.1278 3.4224 2.5 3.1853
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.212
  • Stop Loss: 3.1278
  • Take Profit: 3.4224

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.1278 - 3.212 = -0.0842

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.212 - 3.4224 = -0.2104

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2104 / -0.0842 = 2.4988

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
305.2566 100 95.0363 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0842

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0842 = -95.01

Taille de position USD = -95.01 x 3.212 = -305.17

Donc, tu peux acheter -95.01 avec un stoploss a 3.1278

Avec un position size USD de -305.17$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -95.01 x -0.0842 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -95.01 x -0.2104 = 19.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -95.01
  • Taille de position USD -305.17
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4988

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
6.55 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.62 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -2.62
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.9452 % 112.35 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.212 3.1278 3.4224 2.5 3.1853
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.212
  • Stop Loss: 3.1278
  • Take Profit: 3.4224

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.1278 - 3.212 = -0.0842

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.212 - 3.4224 = -0.2104

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2104 / -0.0842 = 2.4988

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.4224
            [entry_price] => 3.212
            [stop_loss] => 3.11938
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-02 06:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.4224
            [entry_price] => 3.212
            [stop_loss] => 3.11096
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-02 07:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.4224
            [entry_price] => 3.212
            [stop_loss] => 3.10254
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-02 07:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.621% (0.0842)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.691% 0.3R -0.274% 0.1R 2.5× 12
2h +0.691% 0.3R -1.476% 0.6R 0.5× 24
4h +0.691% 0.3R -3.668% 1.4R 0.2× 48
8h +0.691% 0.3R -4.191% 1.6R 0.2× 96
12h ★ +0.691% 0.3R -4.225% 1.6R 0.2× 144
24h +0.691% 0.3R -6.463% 2.5R 0.1× 288
36h +8.067% 3.1R -6.463% 2.5R 1.3× 432
48h +8.067% 3.1R -6.463% 2.5R 1.3× 576
72h +11.345% 4.3R -6.463% 2.5R 1.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 2138 min MAE in 783 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

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