Short Trade on XPL (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 4439.51 XPL at 0.0701$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06891 (1.74 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07193 (2.57 %)
Short Trade on XPL (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 4439.51 XPL at 0.0701$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06891 (1.74 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07193 (2.57 %)
Position
Entry 0.07013$
Qty 4439.5117 XPL
Size 311.343$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06891 (+1.74%)
TP $ 5.42$
SL 0.07193 (-2.57%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.68
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0401
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.99×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.57×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.29×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_pullback_v1 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_pullback_v1 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 01/11 19:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 25.0% |
| 1h | 2.8% |
| 4h | 13.9% |
| 24h | 22.2% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 25.0% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 27.8% | -1.13% |
| 24h | 22.2% | -2.72% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2395 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -12.60% · r3d: -2.00% · ema21_slope: -0.5980% · dist_ema21: -9.628% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2790 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -13.62% · rs_3d: -2.49% · beta_24h: 1.599 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9734 | rvol_20: 4.93× · zscore_50: 2.600 · trend: 100.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4360 | ADX: 16.3 (weak) · Chop: 62.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.819% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3416 | r1h: 0.172% · r4h: 0.628% · r1d: -2.99% · r3d: -7.50% · ema21_slope: -0.3424% · dist_ema21: -2.052% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4179 | rs_1h: 0.214% · rs_4h: 0.679% · rs_1d: -3.57% · rs_3d: -7.26% · beta_24h: 1.739 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1809 | rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -0.287 · trend: -73.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6259 | ADX: 41.6 (trend) · Chop: 65.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.988% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3801 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.460% · r1d: -14.30% · r3d: -7.00% · ema21_slope: -0.1131% · dist_ema21: -6.071% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3190 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.118% · rs_1d: -15.36% · rs_3d: -7.51% · beta_24h: 1.266 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2967 | rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.083 · trend: 26.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6988 | ADX: 23.9 (weak) · Chop: 37.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3910 | ATR%: 4.827% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.374% | 0.2R | -0.837% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.424% | 0.2R | -0.837% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.962% | 0.8R | -0.837% | 0.3R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.962% | 0.8R | -1.319% | 0.5R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.750% | 1.9R | -1.330% | 0.5R | 3.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +11.322% | 4.4R | -1.330% | 0.5R | 8.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +14.272% | 5.6R | -1.330% | 0.5R | 10.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +14.272% | 5.6R | -1.330% | 0.5R | 10.7× | 864 |
computed 4 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.53 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.66 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.54 | bear_high | -2.08% | -0.41 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.49 | range_low | -0.02% | -0.56 | 02/11 00:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.3ATR | near 0.0ATR | 0.12 | range_low | +0.06% | +0.03 | 02/11 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482046
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.391 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late 37b -1.1ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 4.93 | 99% | ↑ +0.22 | value | -1.57 | — | #227351 | 0.53 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.66 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:21
|
|
4h
#483172
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.516 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid 5b -1.3ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.39 | 75% | ↔ -0.00 | above_value | -1.51 | — | #227825 | 0.54 | bear_high | -2.08% | -0.41 |
01/11 19:00
upd 01/11 23:14
|
|
1h
anchor #483719
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.497 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 5b -1.5ATR | — | — | 0.30 | 56% | ↓ -0.68 | above_value | -1.75 | — | #228080 | 0.49 | range_low | -0.02% | -0.56 |
02/11 00:00
upd 02/11 01:10
|
|
15m
#483873
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.462 | compression | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 3b -0.7ATR | near 0.3ATR | near 0.0ATR | 0.99 | 39% | ↔ +0.08 | above_value | -1.75 | — | #228080 | 0.12 | range_low | +0.06% | +0.03 |
02/11 01:30
upd 02/11 01:47
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 37b | — | 7.073×ATR | p92 | -1.1×ATR | p68 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 4.301×ATR | p60 | -1.345×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 1.007×ATR | p2 | -1.465×ATR | p73 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.294×ATR | p3 | -0.708×ATR | p47 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-01 11:30:00
[1] => 0.071488
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-01 13:45:00
[1] => 0.07545
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-01 19:00:00
[1] => 0.070486
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-01 21:15:00
[1] => 0.070519
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-01 23:30:00
[1] => 0.071651
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 00:15:00
[1] => 0.069608
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 01:15:00
[1] => 0.071535
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 04:00:00
[1] => 0.071932
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 05:00:00
[1] => 0.070528
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 06:45:00
[1] => 0.070012
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.505143746872
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.16854253556532
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.73701651145516
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 04:00:00
[1] => 0.077556
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 11:00:00
[1] => 0.075013
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 00:00:00
[1] => 0.082438
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 12:00:00
[1] => 0.081811
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 13:00:00
[1] => 0.07933
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 20:00:00
[1] => 0.083153
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-01 04:00:00
[1] => 0.086431
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-01 11:00:00
[1] => 0.071488
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 00:00:00
[1] => 0.069608
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 04:00:00
[1] => 0.071932
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.8295056442195
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4481094127112
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3386967015285
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:00 | 0.07013000 | 0% |
| 2 | 02:15 | 0.07040600 | +0.394% |
| 3 | 02:45 | 0.07024700 | +0.167% |
| 4 | 03:00 | 0.07038000 | +0.356% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 11:30:00 | 0.071488 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-01 13:45:00 | 0.07545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-01 19:00:00 | 0.070486 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-01 21:15:00 | 0.070519 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-01 23:30:00 | 0.071651 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-02 00:15:00 | 0.069608 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 01:15:00 | 0.071535 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-02 04:00:00 | 0.071932 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-02 05:00:00 | 0.070528 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 06:45:00 | 0.070012 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 04:00:00 | 0.077556 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-30 11:00:00 | 0.075013 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-31 00:00:00 | 0.082438 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-31 12:00:00 | 0.081811 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-31 13:00:00 | 0.07933 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-31 20:00:00 | 0.083153 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-01 04:00:00 | 0.086431 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-01 11:00:00 | 0.071488 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 00:00:00 | 0.069608 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 04:00:00 | 0.071932 | ↑ High |
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07013 | 0.07193 | 0.06891 | 0.68 | 0.05291 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07193 - 0.07013 = 0.0018
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07013 - 0.06891 = 0.00122
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00122 / 0.0018 = 0.6778
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 311.343 | 100 | 4439.5117 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0018 = 4444.44
Taille de position USD = 4444.44 x 0.07013 = 311.69
Donc, tu peux acheter 4444.44 avec un stoploss a 0.07193
Avec un position size USD de 311.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4444.44 x 0.0018 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4444.44 x 0.00122 = 5.42
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.42$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.74 % | 5.42 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.57 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.42 $ | 1.74 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.837 % | 32.61 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07013 | 0.07193 | 0.06891 | 0.68 | 0.05291 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07193 - 0.07013 = 0.0018
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07013 - 0.06891 = 0.00122
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00122 / 0.0018 = 0.6778
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.374% | 0.2R | -0.837% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.424% | 0.2R | -0.837% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.962% | 0.8R | -0.837% | 0.3R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.962% | 0.8R | -1.319% | 0.5R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.750% | 1.9R | -1.330% | 0.5R | 3.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +11.322% | 4.4R | -1.330% | 0.5R | 8.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +14.272% | 5.6R | -1.330% | 0.5R | 10.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +14.272% | 5.6R | -1.330% | 0.5R | 10.7× | 864 |
computed 4 days ago
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