Short Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 3344.48 ADA at 0.191$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1849 (3.09 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1932 (1.26 %)
Short Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 3344.48 ADA at 0.191$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1849 (3.09 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1932 (1.26 %)
Position
Entry 0.1908$
Qty 3344.4816 ADA
Size 638.2943$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1849 (+3.09%)
TP $ 19.73$
SL 0.1932 (-1.26%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2.46
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4974
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.66×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.07×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.78×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/11 19:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 02/11 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 80.6% |
| 1h | 2.8% |
| 4h | 13.9% |
| 24h | 22.2% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 77.8% | +0.07% |
| 4h | 27.8% | -1.13% |
| 24h | 22.2% | -2.72% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2426 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.11% · r3d: 1.39% · ema21_slope: -0.8349% · dist_ema21: -8.824% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4191 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.91% · rs_3d: 0.91% · beta_24h: 1.767 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2158 | rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: -0.797 · trend: -38.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6314 | ADX: 29.5 (trend) · Chop: 52.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.267% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4252 | r1h: -0.989% · r4h: -1.174% · r1d: -1.48% · r3d: -2.03% · ema21_slope: -0.0216% · dist_ema21: -1.158% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4192 | rs_1h: -0.736% · rs_4h: -0.816% · rs_1d: -1.69% · rs_3d: -1.43% · beta_24h: 1.203 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7554 | rvol_20: 3.37× · zscore_50: 1.190 · trend: 7.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5466 | ADX: 11.5 (weak) · Chop: 44.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.681% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4050 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.415% · r1d: 0.72% · r3d: 0.79% · ema21_slope: -0.1546% · dist_ema21: -0.450% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4833 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.073% · rs_1d: -0.35% · rs_3d: 0.28% · beta_24h: 1.451 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2274 | rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.216 · trend: -26.95% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3753 | ADX: 29.8 (trend) · Chop: 84.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.692% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.472% | 0.4R | -0.068% | 0.1R | 6.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.472% | 0.4R | -0.519% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.472% | 0.4R | -0.519% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.718% | 0.6R | -0.582% | 0.5R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.981% | 1.6R | -0.582% | 0.5R | 3.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.442% | 1.9R | -0.582% | 0.5R | 4.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.872% | 2.3R | -0.928% | 0.7R | 3.1× | 431 |
| 48h | +4.266% | 3.4R | -0.928% | 0.7R | 4.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.266% | 3.4R | -5.692% | 4.5R | 0.8× | 864 |
computed 4 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.80 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.89 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.76 | bear_high | -2.08% | -0.14 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.84 | range_low | -0.02% | -0.12 | 02/11 00:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_low_confirmed |
47%
|
noisy_chop 53% | late | — | — | 0.71 | range_low | +0.08% | -0.13 | 02/11 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481994
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.623 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 26b -1.8ATR | — | — | 0.83 | 30% | ↓ -0.16 | above_value | +0.25 | — | #227335 | 0.80 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.89 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:18
|
|
4h
#483138
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.411 | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid 18b -0.4ATR | — | — | 0.57 | 34% | ↓ -0.63 | above_value | +0.86 | — | #227808 | 0.76 | bear_high | -2.08% | -0.14 |
01/11 19:00
upd 01/11 23:13
|
|
1h
anchor #483702
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.606 | expansion | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 4b -0.4ATR | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.17 | 7% | ↓ -0.49 | above_value | -0.40 | — | #228064 | 0.84 | range_low | -0.02% | -0.12 |
02/11 00:00
upd 02/11 01:09
|
|
15m
#483909
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.415 | normal | bear_low_confirmed |
47%
|
noisy_chop 53% | late 12b -3.0ATR | — | — | 3.60 | 93% | ↑ +0.78 | above_value | -0.40 | — | #228064 | 0.71 | range_low | +0.08% | -0.13 |
02/11 01:45
upd 02/11 02:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 26b | — | 7.441×ATR | p92 | -1.809×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 18b | — | 3.536×ATR | p50 | -0.425×ATR | p20 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.093×ATR | p35 | -0.426×ATR | p32 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 5.756×ATR | p97 | -2.988×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.194255
0.19198
0.1931175
1793480400
1793602800
1.8273
35
0.8125
1793599200
0.19198
0.8286
1
0.9076
0
3
8
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (33)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:07 | 0.19085000 | +0.026% |
| 2 | 02:17 | 0.19085000 | +0.026% |
| 3 | 02:27 | 0.19085000 | +0.026% |
| 4 | 02:39 | 0.19045000 | -0.183% |
| 5 | 02:50 | 0.19045000 | -0.183% |
| 6 | 03:00 | 0.19045000 | -0.183% |
| 7 | 03:14 | 0.19092000 | +0.063% |
| 8 | 03:24 | 0.19092000 | +0.063% |
| 9 | 03:35 | 0.19104000 | +0.126% |
| 10 | 03:45 | 0.19104000 | +0.126% |
| 11 | 03:54 | 0.19104000 | +0.126% |
| 12 | 04:06 | 0.19135000 | +0.288% |
| 13 | 04:15 | 0.19135000 | +0.288% |
| 14 | 04:24 | 0.19135000 | +0.288% |
| 15 | 04:36 | 0.19095000 | +0.079% |
| 16 | 04:45 | 0.19095000 | +0.079% |
| 17 | 04:54 | 0.19095000 | +0.079% |
| 18 | 05:05 | 0.19095000 | +0.079% |
| 19 | 05:17 | 0.19051000 | -0.152% |
| 20 | 05:25 | 0.19051000 | -0.152% |
| 21 | 05:35 | 0.19062000 | -0.094% |
| 22 | 05:44 | 0.19062000 | -0.094% |
| 23 | 05:53 | 0.19062000 | -0.094% |
| 24 | 06:03 | 0.19062000 | -0.094% |
| 25 | 06:13 | 0.19058000 | -0.115% |
| 26 | 06:21 | 0.19058000 | -0.115% |
| 27 | 06:31 | 0.19058000 | -0.115% |
| 28 | 06:40 | 0.19052000 | -0.147% |
| 29 | 06:49 | 0.19052000 | -0.147% |
| 30 | 06:58 | 0.19052000 | -0.147% |
| 31 | 07:12 | 0.19081000 | +0.005% |
| 32 | 07:22 | 0.19081000 | +0.005% |
| 33 | 07:33 | 0.19081000 | +0.005% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1908 | 0.1932 | 0.1849 | 2.46 | 0.1782 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1932 - 0.1908 = 0.0024
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1908 - 0.1849 = 0.0059
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0059 / 0.0024 = 2.4583
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 638.2943 | 100 | 3344.4816 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0024 = 3333.33
Taille de position USD = 3333.33 x 0.1908 = 636
Donc, tu peux acheter 3333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.1932
Avec un position size USD de 636$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3333.33 x 0.0024 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3333.33 x 0.0059 = 19.67
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.67$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.09 % | 19.73 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.26 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 10 $ | 1.57 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5818 % | 46.25 % | 25 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1908 | 0.1932 | 0.1849 | 2.46 | 0.1782 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1932 - 0.1908 = 0.0024
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1908 - 0.1849 = 0.0059
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0059 / 0.0024 = 2.4583
Array
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)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.472% | 0.4R | -0.068% | 0.1R | 6.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.472% | 0.4R | -0.519% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.472% | 0.4R | -0.519% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.718% | 0.6R | -0.582% | 0.5R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.981% | 1.6R | -0.582% | 0.5R | 3.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.442% | 1.9R | -0.582% | 0.5R | 4.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.872% | 2.3R | -0.928% | 0.7R | 3.1× | 431 |
| 48h | +4.266% | 3.4R | -0.928% | 0.7R | 4.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.266% | 3.4R | -5.692% | 4.5R | 0.8× | 864 |
computed 4 days ago
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