02 Nov 2026 at 02:07:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 3344.48 ADA at 0.191$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1849 (3.09 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1932 (1.26 %)

ADA SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 02:07 → 14:00 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.1908$

Qty 3344.4816 ADA

Size 638.2943$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1849 (+3.09%)

TP $ 19.73$

SL 0.1932 (-1.26%)

SL $ 8.03$

RR 2.46

Status win PnL +1.57% / +10$ MAE -0.58% MFE +1.98% 1.6R expires 02 Nov 14:06 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 240682)
#6 / 50
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4974

Quality Score
0.565
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#6 / 50
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.26 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#6 / 50
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.26 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.66×ATR
4h clear 1.07×ATR
1d clear 0.78×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
4.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 02:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/11 19:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1)

02/11 00:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7604
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 18.5%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.324
Δ 4h
▼-0.432
Δ 12h
▲+0.085
Δ 24h
▼-0.500

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 80.6%
1h 2.8%
4h 13.9%
24h 22.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 77.8% +0.07%
4h 27.8% -1.13%
24h 22.2% -2.72%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
11.1%
Expansion
11.1%
Tail ↑
+0.66
Tail ↓
+0.51
Dispersion : 0.159
Universe : 36 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 02:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3154
Score SMA
0.2940
Rank
#36 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3000
Rank Norm SMA
0.2330
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2426 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.11% · r3d: 1.39% · ema21_slope: -0.8349% · dist_ema21: -8.824%
Force Relative 25% 0.4191 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.91% · rs_3d: 0.91% · beta_24h: 1.767
Volume 20% 0.2158 rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: -0.797 · trend: -38.22%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6314 ADX: 29.5 (trend) · Chop: 52.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.267% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.5654
Score SMA
—
Rank
—
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4974
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
02/11/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4252 r1h: -0.989% · r4h: -1.174% · r1d: -1.48% · r3d: -2.03% · ema21_slope: -0.0216% · dist_ema21: -1.158%
Force Relative 25% 0.4192 rs_1h: -0.736% · rs_4h: -0.816% · rs_1d: -1.69% · rs_3d: -1.43% · beta_24h: 1.203
Volume 20% 0.7554 rvol_20: 3.37× · zscore_50: 1.190 · trend: 7.01%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5466 ADX: 11.5 (weak) · Chop: 44.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.681% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.4441
Score SMA
0.4789
Rank
#27 / 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4615
Rank Norm SMA
0.4873
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4050 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.415% · r1d: 0.72% · r3d: 0.79% · ema21_slope: -0.1546% · dist_ema21: -0.450%
Force Relative 25% 0.4833 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.073% · rs_1d: -0.35% · rs_3d: 0.28% · beta_24h: 1.451
Volume 20% 0.2274 rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.216 · trend: -26.95%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3753 ADX: 29.8 (trend) · Chop: 84.3 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.692% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.258% (0.0024)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.472% 0.4R -0.068% 0.1R 6.9× 12
2h +0.472% 0.4R -0.519% 0.4R 0.9× 24
4h +0.472% 0.4R -0.519% 0.4R 0.9× 48
8h +0.718% 0.6R -0.582% 0.5R 1.2× 96
12h ★ +1.981% 1.6R -0.582% 0.5R 3.4× 144
24h +2.442% 1.9R -0.582% 0.5R 4.2× 288
36h +2.872% 2.3R -0.928% 0.7R 3.1× 431
48h +4.266% 3.4R -0.928% 0.7R 4.6× 576
72h +4.266% 3.4R -5.692% 4.5R 0.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 1527 min MAE in 1822 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.85
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 38% late — — 0.80 range_high +0.70% -0.89 31/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 36% mid — — 0.76 bear_high -2.08% -0.14 01/11 19:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong balanced expansion bear_medium
59%
noisy_chop 39% early — near 0.0ATR 0.84 range_low -0.02% -0.12 02/11 00:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bear_low_confirmed
47%
noisy_chop 53% late — — 0.71 range_low +0.08% -0.13 02/11 01:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#481994
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.623 compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 38% late 26b -1.8ATR — — 0.83 30% ↓ -0.16 above_value +0.25 — #227335 0.80 range_high +0.70% -0.89
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:18
4h
#483138
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.411 compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 36% mid 18b -0.4ATR — — 0.57 34% ↓ -0.63 above_value +0.86 — #227808 0.76 bear_high -2.08% -0.14
01/11 19:00
upd 01/11 23:13
1h anchor
#483702
↔ neutral range range strong balanced 0.606 expansion bear_medium
59%
noisy_chop 39% early 4b -0.4ATR — near 0.0ATR 0.17 7% ↓ -0.49 above_value -0.40 — #228064 0.84 range_low -0.02% -0.12
02/11 00:00
upd 02/11 01:09
15m
#483909
↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.415 normal bear_low_confirmed
47%
noisy_chop 53% late 12b -3.0ATR — — 3.60 93% ↑ +0.78 above_value -0.40 — #228064 0.71 range_low +0.08% -0.13
02/11 01:45
upd 02/11 02:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 26b — 7.441×ATR p92 -1.809×ATR p82
4h ↑ up mid 18b — 3.536×ATR p50 -0.425×ATR p20
1h ↓ down early 4b — 2.093×ATR p35 -0.426×ATR p32
15m ↓ down late 12b — 5.756×ATR p97 -2.988×ATR p98

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.8125
  3. reason: down_bo width=1.83×ATR dur=35b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.193242
  5. tp_price: 0.18486999
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.81251265769812
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-11-02T19:06:56.259591
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.81251265769812
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.0049
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0155
  15. micro_price : 0.19097157
  16. spread_pct : 0.052383
  17. mid_price : 0.19095
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.19
  19. bid_wall_size : 9693629
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.192
  22. ask_wall_size : 9890597.2
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.0069
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.002
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7207
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.194255
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.19198
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.1931175
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793480400
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793602800
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    1.8273
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    35
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8125
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793599200
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.19198
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8286
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.9076
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    3
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    8
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00124503
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
35
inside_close_ratio
0.8286
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.9076

Signaux confirmants (33)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 02:07 0.19085000 +0.026%
2 02:17 0.19085000 +0.026%
3 02:27 0.19085000 +0.026%
4 02:39 0.19045000 -0.183%
5 02:50 0.19045000 -0.183%
6 03:00 0.19045000 -0.183%
7 03:14 0.19092000 +0.063%
8 03:24 0.19092000 +0.063%
9 03:35 0.19104000 +0.126%
10 03:45 0.19104000 +0.126%
11 03:54 0.19104000 +0.126%
12 04:06 0.19135000 +0.288%
13 04:15 0.19135000 +0.288%
14 04:24 0.19135000 +0.288%
15 04:36 0.19095000 +0.079%
16 04:45 0.19095000 +0.079%
17 04:54 0.19095000 +0.079%
18 05:05 0.19095000 +0.079%
19 05:17 0.19051000 -0.152%
20 05:25 0.19051000 -0.152%
21 05:35 0.19062000 -0.094%
22 05:44 0.19062000 -0.094%
23 05:53 0.19062000 -0.094%
24 06:03 0.19062000 -0.094%
25 06:13 0.19058000 -0.115%
26 06:21 0.19058000 -0.115%
27 06:31 0.19058000 -0.115%
28 06:40 0.19052000 -0.147%
29 06:49 0.19052000 -0.147%
30 06:58 0.19052000 -0.147%
31 07:12 0.19081000 +0.005%
32 07:22 0.19081000 +0.005%
33 07:33 0.19081000 +0.005%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7207ms Confidence avant OB : 81% → 81%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.005
avg -0.007 ± 0.002
OBI Top 10 0.016

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1910
Micro Price
0.1910
Spread
0.0524%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.1900
Size
9,693,629.00

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.1920
Size
9,890,597.20

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1908 0.1932 0.1849 2.46 0.1782
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1908
  • Stop Loss: 0.1932
  • Take Profit: 0.1849

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1932 - 0.1908 = 0.0024

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1908 - 0.1849 = 0.0059

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0059 / 0.0024 = 2.4583

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
638.2943 100 3344.4816 6.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0024

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0024 = 3333.33

Taille de position USD = 3333.33 x 0.1908 = 636

Donc, tu peux acheter 3333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.1932

Avec un position size USD de 636$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3333.33 x 0.0024 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3333.33 x 0.0059 = 19.67

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.67$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3333.33
  • Taille de position USD 636
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.67
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4583

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.09 % 19.73 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.26 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
10 $ 1.57
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5818 % 46.25 % 25
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1908 0.1932 0.1849 2.46 0.1782
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1908
  • Stop Loss: 0.1932
  • Take Profit: 0.1849

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1932 - 0.1908 = 0.0024

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1908 - 0.1849 = 0.0059

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0059 / 0.0024 = 2.4583

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.258% (0.0024)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.472% 0.4R -0.068% 0.1R 6.9× 12
2h +0.472% 0.4R -0.519% 0.4R 0.9× 24
4h +0.472% 0.4R -0.519% 0.4R 0.9× 48
8h +0.718% 0.6R -0.582% 0.5R 1.2× 96
12h ★ +1.981% 1.6R -0.582% 0.5R 3.4× 144
24h +2.442% 1.9R -0.582% 0.5R 4.2× 288
36h +2.872% 2.3R -0.928% 0.7R 3.1× 431
48h +4.266% 3.4R -0.928% 0.7R 4.6× 576
72h +4.266% 3.4R -5.692% 4.5R 0.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 1527 min MAE in 1822 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 4 days ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.