Short Trade on FIL

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02 Nov 2026 at 02:07:42 hyperliquid

Short Trade on FIL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 665.23 FIL at 0.864$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8338 (3.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8759 (1.39 %)

FIL SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 02:07 → 14:00 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.8639$

Qty 665.2265 FIL

Size 574.6758$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)

Risk Setup

TP 0.8338 (+3.48%)

TP $ 20.02$

SL 0.8759 (-1.39%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 2.51

Status win PnL +0.71% / +4.1$ MAE -1.07% MFE +1.36% 1.0R expires 02 Nov 14:07 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: )

#17 / 53

OUT

seuil : top 15

Avg Rank 8h:

Quality Score

N/A

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#17 / 53

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

N/A

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

1.39 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#17 / 53

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

1.39 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	—
1d	clear	—

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	—	—	OK
4h	—	—	OK
1d	—	—	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

740,953 $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 02:00

Coin Market Regime V2
—

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7604

Voir snapshot →

bear developing bear_expansion

Strategic	bear 0.55	expansion +2
Operational	bear 0.55	expansion +1
Tactical	range 0.25	compression 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 0.63

Transition risk : 0.37

Score contribution (this trade) +3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 18.5%

Macro broad_risk_off

Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state deteriorating

Δ 15m

→+0.000

Δ 1h

▼-0.324

Δ 4h

▼-0.432

Δ 12h

▲+0.085

Δ 24h

▼-0.500

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	80.6%
1h	2.8%
4h	13.9%
24h	22.2%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	77.8%	+0.07%
4h	27.8%	-1.13%
24h	22.2%	-2.72%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

0.0%

Down ≥1σ

11.1%

Expansion

11.1%

Tail ↑

+0.66

Tail ↓

+0.51

Dispersion : 0.159

Universe : 36 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M

+0 added · -0 removed

Regime confidence : 0.78

Snapshot évalué : 02/11 02:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.3217

Score SMA

0.3076

Rank

#39 / 57

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3214

Rank Norm SMA

0.3261

Calculé le

31/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2356	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.26% · r3d: -4.68% · ema21_slope: -0.9792% · dist_ema21: -9.761%
Force Relative	25%	0.4560	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.01% · rs_3d: -0.03% · beta_24h: 2.406
Volume	20%	0.2652	rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: -0.425 · trend: -12.73%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5600	ADX: 23.8 (weak) · Chop: 55.3 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.853% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.389% (0.0120)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.310%	0.2R	-0.330%	0.2R	0.9×	12
2h	+0.310%	0.2R	-0.715%	0.5R	0.4×	24
4h	+0.310%	0.2R	-0.715%	0.5R	0.4×	48
8h	+0.315%	0.2R	-1.072%	0.8R	0.3×	96
12h ★	+1.357%	1.0R	-1.072%	0.8R	1.3×	144
24h	+1.387%	1.0R	-1.681%	1.2R	0.8×	288
36h	+1.387%	1.0R	-2.922%	2.1R	0.5×	432
48h	+4.542%	3.3R	-2.922%	2.1R	1.6×	576
72h	+4.542%	3.3R	-4.643%	3.3R	1.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 757 min MAE in 1957 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 0.85

Prediction Score: N/A

No context market snapshot

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
confidence: 0.9443
reason: down_bo width=2.97×ATR dur=40b phase=fresh
stop_price: 0.87590598
tp_price: 0.83381505
atr:
score: 0.94432417486972
exit_rules:
expires_at: 2026-11-02T19:07:35.019176
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.94432417486972

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : -0.0282
obi_top10 : -0.0039
micro_price : 0.86282514
spread_pct : 0.01159
mid_price : 0.86285
bid_wall_price : 0.859
bid_wall_size : 406602.5
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 0.865
ask_wall_size : 507220.5
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : -0.0303
obi_top5_std : 0.0021
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 6876
aggregation_tick : 0.001
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
0.885275
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
0.865185
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
0.87523
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1793462400
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1793602800
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
2.972
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
40
```
balance_zone_quality: tight
balance_zone_maturity: established
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.9443
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1793599200
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
0.865185
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.95
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
0.1931
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
5
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
4
```
regime : bear_high
atr_entry : 0.00675978

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.95

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

0.1931

Signaux confirmants (6)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	02:07	0.86388000	-0.002%
2	02:18	0.86388000	-0.002%
3	02:28	0.86388000	-0.002%
4	02:40	0.86426000	+0.042%
5	02:50	0.86426000	+0.042%
6	03:01	0.86426000	+0.042%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6876ms Confidence avant OB : 94% → 94%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.028

avg -0.030 ± 0.002

OBI Top 10 -0.004

Microstructure

Mid Price

0.8629

Micro Price

0.8628

Spread

0.0116%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price

0.8590

Size

406,602.50

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

0.8650

Size

507,220.50

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.8639	0.8759	0.8338	2.51	0.774

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.8639
Stop Loss: 0.8759
Take Profit: 0.8338

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.8759 - 0.8639 = 0.012
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.8639 - 0.8338 = 0.0301
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0301 / 0.012 = 2.5083

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
574.6758	100	665.2265	6.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.012

Taille de position = 8 / 0.012 = 666.67

Taille de position USD = 666.67 x 0.8639 = 575.94

Donc, tu peux acheter 666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.8759

Avec un position size USD de 575.94$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 666.67 x 0.012 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 666.67 x 0.0301 = 20.07

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.07$

Résumé

Taille de position 666.67
Taille de position USD 575.94
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 20.07
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5083

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
3.48 %	20.02 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
1.39 %	7.98 $

PNL	PNL %
4.1 $	0.71

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.0719 %	77.17 %	21

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.8639	0.8759	0.8338	2.51	0.774

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.8639
Stop Loss: 0.8759
Take Profit: 0.8338

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.8759 - 0.8639 = 0.012
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.8639 - 0.8338 = 0.0301
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0301 / 0.012 = 2.5083

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.389% (0.0120)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.310%	0.2R	-0.330%	0.2R	0.9×	12
2h	+0.310%	0.2R	-0.715%	0.5R	0.4×	24
4h	+0.310%	0.2R	-0.715%	0.5R	0.4×	48
8h	+0.315%	0.2R	-1.072%	0.8R	0.3×	96
12h ★	+1.357%	1.0R	-1.072%	0.8R	1.3×	144
24h	+1.387%	1.0R	-1.681%	1.2R	0.8×	288
36h	+1.387%	1.0R	-2.922%	2.1R	0.5×	432
48h	+4.542%	3.3R	-2.922%	2.1R	1.6×	576
72h	+4.542%	3.3R	-4.643%	3.3R	1.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 757 min MAE in 1957 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 4 days ago

Commentaires

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