Short Trade on CHIP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 6078.1 CHIP at 0.0418$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03852 (7.87 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04313 (3.16 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 02:12:24
hyperliquid
CHIP
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 02:12
→ 14:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.04181$
Qty 6078.1036 CHIP
Size 254.1377$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.03852 (+7.87%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.04313 (-3.16%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.49
Status
win
PnL
+6.24%
/ +15.85$
MAE -1.07%
MFE +6.68%
2.1R
expires
02 Nov 14:12
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 240502)
#38 / 53
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 23:00
score du 01/11/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2165
Quality Score
0.489
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#38 / 53
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.16 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#38 / 53
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.16 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.60×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.11×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
736,896 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 02:02
02/11 02:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/11 19:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7604
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
18.5%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.324
Δ 4h
▼-0.432
Δ 12h
▲+0.085
Δ 24h
▼-0.500
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 80.6% |
| 1h | 2.8% |
| 4h | 13.9% |
| 24h | 22.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 77.8% | +0.07% |
| 4h | 27.8% | -1.13% |
| 24h | 22.2% | -2.72% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
11.1%
Expansion
11.1%
Tail ↑
+0.66
Tail ↓
+0.51
Dispersion :
0.159
Universe :
36
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 02:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3407
Score SMA
0.4565
Rank
#29
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4400
Rank Norm SMA
0.7096
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3652 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.28% · r3d: 0.72% · ema21_slope: -0.2833% · dist_ema21: -6.928% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5483 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.26% · rs_3d: 0.23% · beta_24h: 3.373 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1621 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.879 · trend: -34.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4107 | ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 64.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 14.827% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.4893
Score SMA
0.5304
Rank
#38
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2165
Rank Norm SMA
0.4638
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5202 | r1h: 0.878% · r4h: -0.051% · r1d: 2.81% · r3d: 1.01% · ema21_slope: 0.0159% · dist_ema21: 0.481% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5454 | rs_1h: 0.660% · rs_4h: -0.393% · rs_1d: 1.75% · rs_3d: 0.51% · beta_24h: 1.035 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1546 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.681 · trend: -73.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4396 | ADX: 11.0 (weak) · Chop: 57.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.402% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.3603
Score SMA
0.4933
Rank
#50
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0481
Rank Norm SMA
0.4689
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3281 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.403% · r1d: 2.45% · r3d: 0.66% · ema21_slope: -0.4202% · dist_ema21: -2.022% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5031 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.616% · rs_1d: 1.51% · rs_3d: 0.28% · beta_24h: 2.841 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1617 | rvol_20: 0.14× · zscore_50: -0.575 · trend: -82.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2378 | ADX: 14.2 (weak) · Chop: 85.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6805 | ATR%: 3.959% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.157%
(0.0013)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.483% | 0.2R | -1.074% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.517% | 0.2R | -1.074% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.033% | 0.6R | -1.074% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.219% | 2.0R | -1.074% | 0.3R | 5.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +6.683% | 2.1R | -1.074% | 0.3R | 6.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.527% | 2.4R | -1.074% | 0.3R | 7.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +7.527% | 2.4R | -3.124% | 1.0R | 2.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +8.268% | 2.6R | -3.124% | 1.0R | 2.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.268% | 2.6R | -5.855% | 1.9R | 1.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 747 min
MAE in 1827 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 4 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.23
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
29%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | — | range_high | +0.70% | -0.99 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -2.08% | -0.67 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 1h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 15m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482070
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.633 | compression | range_high |
29%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 14b -0.5ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.26 | 29% | ↓ -0.20 | below_value | -12.75 | — | #227359 | — | range_high | +0.70% | -0.99 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:21
|
|
4h
#483190
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.468 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early 18b -0.6ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.17 | 5% | ↓ -0.83 | below_value | -13.13 | — | #227833 | 0.49 | bear_high | -2.08% | -0.67 |
01/11 19:00
upd 01/11 23:15
|
| 1h anchor | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 0.724×ATR | p0 | -0.519×ATR | p28 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 18b | — | 1.824×ATR | p0 | -0.626×ATR | p37 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7631
- reason: down_bo width=2.24×ATR dur=61b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.0431282
- tp_price: 0.0385215
- atr:
- score: 0.76308161261772
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T19:12:16.705848
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76308161261772
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0054
- obi_top10 : 0.01
- micro_price : 0.04186636
- spread_pct : 0.071685
- mid_price : 0.041865
- bid_wall_price : 0.0415
- bid_wall_size : 1263650
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0422
- ask_wall_size : 1304062
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0097
- obi_top5_std : 0.0064
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7116
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.043733
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.042405
- balance_zone_mid:
0.043069
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793386800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793602800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2433
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
61
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7631
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793599200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.042405
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7049
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.0017
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
14
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00059198 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
61
inside_close_ratio
0.7049
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0017
Signaux confirmants (14)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:12 | 0.04181200 | +0.005% |
| 2 | 02:22 | 0.04181200 | +0.005% |
| 3 | 02:34 | 0.04181200 | +0.005% |
| 4 | 02:44 | 0.04171200 | -0.234% |
| 5 | 02:54 | 0.04171200 | -0.234% |
| 6 | 03:08 | 0.04171200 | -0.234% |
| 7 | 03:20 | 0.04187900 | +0.165% |
| 8 | 03:30 | 0.04187900 | +0.165% |
| 9 | 03:40 | 0.04167000 | -0.335% |
| 10 | 03:50 | 0.04167000 | -0.335% |
| 11 | 03:59 | 0.04167000 | -0.335% |
| 12 | 04:11 | 0.04175900 | -0.122% |
| 13 | 04:20 | 0.04175900 | -0.122% |
| 14 | 04:30 | 0.04175900 | -0.122% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7116ms
Confidence avant OB :
76%
→
76%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.005
avg -0.010
± 0.006
OBI Top 10
0.010
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0419
Micro Price
0.0419
Spread
0.0717%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0415
Size
1,263,650.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0422
Size
1,304,062.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04181 | 0.04313 | 0.03852 | 2.49 | 0.03326 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04181
- Stop Loss: 0.04313
- Take Profit: 0.03852
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04313 - 0.04181 = 0.00132
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04181 - 0.03852 = 0.00329
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00329 / 0.00132 = 2.4924
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 254.1377 | 100 | 6078.1036 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00132
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00132 = 6060.61
Taille de position USD = 6060.61 x 0.04181 = 253.39
Donc, tu peux acheter 6060.61 avec un stoploss a 0.04313
Avec un position size USD de 253.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6060.61 x 0.00132 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6060.61 x 0.00329 = 19.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.94$
Résumé
- Taille de position 6060.61
- Taille de position USD 253.39
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.94
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4924
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.87 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.16 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.85 $ | 6.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0739 % | 34.02 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04181 | 0.04313 | 0.03852 | 2.49 | 0.03326 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04181
- Stop Loss: 0.04313
- Take Profit: 0.03852
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04313 - 0.04181 = 0.00132
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04181 - 0.03852 = 0.00329
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00329 / 0.00132 = 2.4924
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.157%
(0.0013)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.483% | 0.2R | -1.074% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.517% | 0.2R | -1.074% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.033% | 0.6R | -1.074% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.219% | 2.0R | -1.074% | 0.3R | 5.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +6.683% | 2.1R | -1.074% | 0.3R | 6.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.527% | 2.4R | -1.074% | 0.3R | 7.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +7.527% | 2.4R | -3.124% | 1.0R | 2.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +8.268% | 2.6R | -3.124% | 1.0R | 2.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.268% | 2.6R | -5.855% | 1.9R | 1.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 747 min
MAE in 1827 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 4 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.