Short Trade on USELESS (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1771.42 USELESS at 0.126$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1146 (8.98 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1304 (3.57 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 02:13:06
hyperliquid
USELESS
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 02:13
→ 09:50
· 7 hours
Position
Entry 0.1259$
Qty 1771.4243 USELESS
Size 223.0046$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1146 (+8.98%)
TP $ 20.02$
SL 0.1304 (-3.57%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-3.57%
/ -7.97$
MAE -4.03%
MFE +5.46%
1.5R
expires
02 Nov 14:12
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 240708)
#48 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 02:00
score du 02/11/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3102
Quality Score
0.385
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#48 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#48 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.60×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 02:02
02/11 02:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/11 19:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7604
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
18.5%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.324
Δ 4h
▼-0.432
Δ 12h
▲+0.085
Δ 24h
▼-0.500
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 80.6% |
| 1h | 2.8% |
| 4h | 13.9% |
| 24h | 22.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 77.8% | +0.07% |
| 4h | 27.8% | -1.13% |
| 24h | 22.2% | -2.72% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
11.1%
Expansion
11.1%
Tail ↑
+0.66
Tail ↓
+0.51
Dispersion :
0.159
Universe :
36
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 02:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2566
Score SMA
0.2362
Rank
#49
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0400
Rank Norm SMA
0.0595
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2152 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.37% · r3d: 2.43% · ema21_slope: -1.2271% · dist_ema21: -18.088% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2995 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.35% · rs_3d: 1.94% · beta_24h: 4.296 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2427 | rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: -0.669 · trend: -25.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4576 | ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 63.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 18.395% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.3853
Score SMA
0.4588
Rank
#48
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3102
Rank Norm SMA
0.2623
Calculé le
02/11/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3059 | r1h: -1.607% · r4h: -2.368% · r1d: -4.35% · r3d: -6.26% · ema21_slope: -0.0550% · dist_ema21: -2.796% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2975 | rs_1h: -1.354% · rs_4h: -2.010% · rs_1d: -4.56% · rs_3d: -5.67% · beta_24h: 3.222 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2334 | rvol_20: 0.71× · zscore_50: -0.184 · trend: -40.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4984 | ADX: 12.1 (weak) · Chop: 50.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.112% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.3139
Score SMA
0.3527
Rank
#52
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0192
Rank Norm SMA
0.1070
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3314 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.319% · r1d: 2.59% · r3d: 1.86% · ema21_slope: -0.6112% · dist_ema21: -2.625% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4286 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.661% · rs_1d: 1.52% · rs_3d: 1.36% · beta_24h: 4.477 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2041 | rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -0.418 · trend: -26.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2857 | ADX: 18.8 (weak) · Chop: 84.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2366 | ATR%: 5.290% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.574%
(0.0045)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.397% | 0.1R | -0.834% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.397% | 0.1R | -0.898% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.636% | 0.5R | -0.898% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.938% | 0.5R | -4.035% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.457% | 1.5R | -4.035% | 1.1R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.457% | 1.5R | -4.035% | 1.1R | 1.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +5.544% | 1.6R | -4.035% | 1.1R | 1.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +5.544% | 1.6R | -15.886% | 4.4R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.544% | 1.6R | -19.142% | 5.4R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1521 min
MAE in 476 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 4 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.16
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | — | range_high | +0.70% | -0.98 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -2.08% | -0.86 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.65 | range_low | -0.27% | -0.50 | 02/11 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.58 | range_low | +0.08% | -0.30 | 02/11 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482073
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 39b -1.4ATR | — | — | 0.84 | 20% | ↑ +0.15 | above_value | -0.56 | — | #227360 | — | range_high | +0.70% | -0.98 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:22
|
|
4h
#483193
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.482 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 15b -0.7ATR | — | — | 0.37 | 34% | ↓ -0.76 | above_value | -0.99 | — | #227834 | 0.61 | bear_high | -2.08% | -0.86 |
01/11 19:00
upd 01/11 23:15
|
|
1h
anchor #483983
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.441 | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 5b -1.3ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.71 | 48% | ↑ +0.36 | above_value | -2.62 | — | #228187 | 0.65 | range_low | -0.27% | -0.50 |
02/11 01:00
upd 02/11 02:10
|
|
15m
#483932
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.599 | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 12b -2.3ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.40 | 46% | ↑ +0.20 | above_value | -1.50 | — | #228087 | 0.58 | range_low | +0.08% | -0.30 |
02/11 01:45
upd 02/11 02:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 39b | — | 9.328×ATR | — | -1.378×ATR | p62 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 15b | — | 1.566×ATR | p0 | -0.728×ATR | p39 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.875×ATR | p54 | -1.306×ATR | p66 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 4.759×ATR | p83 | -2.343×ATR | p92 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.6295
- reason: down_bo width=2.90×ATR dur=42b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 0.13040614
- tp_price: 0.11459965
- atr:
- score: 0.72951348549501
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T19:12:59.108739
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.72951348549501
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2507
- obi_top10 : 0.3236
- micro_price : 0.12592947
- spread_pct : 0.135178
- mid_price : 0.125845
- bid_wall_price : 0.125
- bid_wall_size : 684321.6
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.127
- ask_wall_size : 535602
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2503
- obi_top5_std : 0.0007
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6840
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.133825
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.12648
- balance_zone_mid:
0.1301525
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793455200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793602800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8958
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
42
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7295
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793599200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.12648
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9048
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.2326
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00253642 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
42
inside_close_ratio
0.9048
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.2326
Signaux confirmants (9)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:13 | 0.12589000 | -0.008% |
| 2 | 02:23 | 0.12589000 | -0.008% |
| 3 | 02:35 | 0.12589000 | -0.008% |
| 4 | 02:45 | 0.12592000 | +0.016% |
| 5 | 02:55 | 0.12592000 | +0.016% |
| 6 | 03:09 | 0.12592000 | +0.016% |
| 7 | 03:41 | 0.12618000 | +0.222% |
| 8 | 03:50 | 0.12618000 | +0.222% |
| 9 | 04:00 | 0.12618000 | +0.222% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6840ms
Confidence avant OB :
73%
→
63%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.251
avg 0.250
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.324
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1258
Micro Price
0.1259
Spread
0.1352%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1250
Size
684,321.60
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1270
Size
535,602.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1259 | 0.1304 | 0.1146 | 2.51 | 0.1359 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1259
- Stop Loss: 0.1304
- Take Profit: 0.1146
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1304 - 0.1259 = 0.0045
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1259 - 0.1146 = 0.0113
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0113 / 0.0045 = 2.5111
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 223.0046 | 100 | 1771.4243 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0045
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0045 = 1777.78
Taille de position USD = 1777.78 x 0.1259 = 223.82
Donc, tu peux acheter 1777.78 avec un stoploss a 0.1304
Avec un position size USD de 223.82$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1777.78 x 0.0045 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1777.78 x 0.0113 = 20.09
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.09$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1777.78
- Taille de position USD 223.82
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.09
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5111
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.98 % | 20.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.57 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.97 $ | -3.57 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.6458 % | 102 % | 20 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1259 | 0.1304 | 0.1146 | 2.51 | 0.1359 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1259
- Stop Loss: 0.1304
- Take Profit: 0.1146
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1304 - 0.1259 = 0.0045
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1259 - 0.1146 = 0.0113
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0113 / 0.0045 = 2.5111
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.574%
(0.0045)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.397% | 0.1R | -0.834% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.397% | 0.1R | -0.898% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.636% | 0.5R | -0.898% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.938% | 0.5R | -4.035% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.457% | 1.5R | -4.035% | 1.1R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.457% | 1.5R | -4.035% | 1.1R | 1.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +5.544% | 1.6R | -4.035% | 1.1R | 1.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +5.544% | 1.6R | -15.886% | 4.4R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.544% | 1.6R | -19.142% | 5.4R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1521 min
MAE in 476 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 4 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.