Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 58.08 NEAR at 4.127$ per unit. Take profit: 4.0235 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 4.2644 (3.34 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 02:15:06
hyperliquid
NEAR
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 02:15
→ 08:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 4.1267$
Qty 58.0767 NEAR
Size 239.6651$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 4.0235 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.99$
SL 4.2644 (-3.34%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.75
Status
win
PnL
+1.47%
/ +3.53$
MAE -0.73%
MFE +1.71%
0.5R
expires
02 Nov 08:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 240683)
#12 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 02:00
score du 02/11/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3545
Quality Score
0.515
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#12 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.34 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#12 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.34 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.15×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.68×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.97×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.13
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
72.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 02:00
02/11 02:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/11 19:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7604
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
18.5%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.324
Δ 4h
▼-0.432
Δ 12h
▲+0.085
Δ 24h
▼-0.500
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 80.6% |
| 1h | 2.8% |
| 4h | 13.9% |
| 24h | 22.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 77.8% | +0.07% |
| 4h | 27.8% | -1.13% |
| 24h | 22.2% | -2.72% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
11.1%
Expansion
11.1%
Tail ↑
+0.66
Tail ↓
+0.51
Dispersion :
0.159
Universe :
36
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 02:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3324
Score SMA
0.3438
Rank
#31
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4000
Rank Norm SMA
0.4838
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3816 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.25% · r3d: 5.68% · ema21_slope: -0.5892% · dist_ema21: -7.318% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4569 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.27% · rs_3d: 5.19% · beta_24h: 3.404 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1258 | rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -1.416 · trend: -34.85% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5235 | ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 58.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.944% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.5147
Score SMA
0.5126
Rank
#12
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3545
Rank Norm SMA
0.4761
Calculé le
02/11/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2733 | r1h: -3.185% · r4h: -3.843% · r1d: -6.06% · r3d: -5.15% · ema21_slope: -0.1474% · dist_ema21: -4.089% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1889 | rs_1h: -2.932% · rs_4h: -3.485% · rs_1d: -6.27% · rs_3d: -4.55% · beta_24h: 2.519 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9465 | rvol_20: 4.54× · zscore_50: 4.538 · trend: 59.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6415 | ADX: 17.0 (weak) · Chop: 38.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.421% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.4267
Score SMA
0.4391
Rank
#35
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3365
Rank Norm SMA
0.3119
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4198 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.243% · r1d: -2.49% · r3d: 3.18% · ema21_slope: -0.0749% · dist_ema21: -1.551% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4613 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.100% · rs_1d: -3.55% · rs_3d: 2.68% · beta_24h: 2.128 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1858 | rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.514 · trend: -44.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3216 | ADX: 10.1 (weak) · Chop: 70.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.984% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.337%
(0.1377)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.376% | 0.4R | -0.233% | 0.1R | 5.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.376% | 0.4R | -0.727% | 0.2R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.376% | 0.4R | -0.727% | 0.2R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.708% | 0.5R | -0.727% | 0.2R | 2.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.343% | 0.7R | -0.727% | 0.2R | 3.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.366% | 1.9R | -0.727% | 0.2R | 8.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.993% | 2.7R | -0.727% | 0.2R | 12.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.490% | 3.1R | -0.727% | 0.2R | 14.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.490% | 3.1R | -3.601% | 1.1R | 2.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1409 min
MAE in 109 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 4 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.51 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.86 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.7ATR | near 0.1ATR | 0.54 | bear_high | -2.08% | +0.04 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.67 | range_low | -0.27% | -0.58 | 02/11 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.59 | range_low | +0.08% | -0.40 | 02/11 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481997
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.644 | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 20b -0.8ATR | — | — | 0.33 | 66% | ↓ -0.43 | above_value | -3.47 | — | #227336 | 0.51 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.86 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:19
|
|
4h
#483140
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.515 | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 8b -0.7ATR | near -0.7ATR | near 0.1ATR | 0.58 | 14% | ↓ -0.72 | above_value | -0.29 | — | #227809 | 0.54 | bear_high | -2.08% | +0.04 |
01/11 19:00
upd 01/11 23:13
|
|
1h
anchor #483961
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.491 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 5b -2.9ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 4.54 | 95% | ↑ +0.30 | below_value | -3.43 | — | #228165 | 0.67 | range_low | -0.27% | -0.58 |
02/11 01:00
upd 02/11 02:09
|
|
15m
#483910
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | 0.710 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late 14b -3.9ATR | — | — | 3.49 | 97% | ↑ +0.78 | value | -1.27 | — | #228065 | 0.59 | range_low | +0.08% | -0.40 |
02/11 01:45
upd 02/11 02:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 20b | — | 3.677×ATR | p46 | -0.818×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.066×ATR | p3 | -0.727×ATR | p44 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 4.066×ATR | p81 | -2.945×ATR | p100 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 6.526×ATR | p97 | -3.924×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 4.26444891
- tp_price: 4.0235325
- atr: 0.05509957
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T13:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 49
- total: 51
- score: 0.2733
- delta_2h: -0.1505
- extension_atr: -2.62
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3616
- confidence: 0.96
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:15 | 4.12670000 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:15 | 4.13110000 | +0.107% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.1267 | 4.2644 | 4.0235 | 0.75 | 3.6097 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 4.1267
- Stop Loss: 4.2644
- Take Profit: 4.0235
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.2644 - 4.1267 = 0.1377
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.1267 - 4.0235 = 0.1032
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1032 / 0.1377 = 0.7495
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 239.6651 | 100 | 58.0767 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.1377
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1377 = 58.1
Taille de position USD = 58.1 x 4.1267 = 239.76
Donc, tu peux acheter 58.1 avec un stoploss a 4.2644
Avec un position size USD de 239.76$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 58.1 x 0.1377 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 58.1 x 0.1032 = 6
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6$
Résumé
- Taille de position 58.1
- Taille de position USD 239.76
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7495
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.34 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.53 $ | 1.47 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.727 % | 21.79 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.1267 | 4.2644 | 4.0235 | 0.75 | 3.6097 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 4.1267
- Stop Loss: 4.2644
- Take Profit: 4.0235
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.2644 - 4.1267 = 0.1377
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.1267 - 4.0235 = 0.1032
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1032 / 0.1377 = 0.7495
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.337%
(0.1377)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.376% | 0.4R | -0.233% | 0.1R | 5.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.376% | 0.4R | -0.727% | 0.2R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.376% | 0.4R | -0.727% | 0.2R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.708% | 0.5R | -0.727% | 0.2R | 2.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.343% | 0.7R | -0.727% | 0.2R | 3.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.366% | 1.9R | -0.727% | 0.2R | 8.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.993% | 2.7R | -0.727% | 0.2R | 12.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.490% | 3.1R | -0.727% | 0.2R | 14.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.490% | 3.1R | -3.601% | 1.1R | 2.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1409 min
MAE in 109 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 4 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.