02 Nov 2026 at 02:14:44 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SUI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 826.01 SUI at 0.892$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8676 (2.72 %) & Stop Loss: 0.9015 (1.08 %)

SUI SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 02:14 → 12:45 · 10 hours

Position

Entry 0.8919$

Qty 826.0085 SUI

Size 736.684$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)

Risk Setup

TP 0.8676 (+2.72%)

TP $ 20.07$

SL 0.9015 (-1.08%)

SL $ 7.93$

RR 2.53

Status win PnL +2.72% / +20.07$ MAE -0.41% MFE +2.91% 2.7R expires 02 Nov 14:14

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 240668)
#18 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7084

Quality Score
0.501
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#18 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#18 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.44×ATR
4h clear 2.01×ATR
1d clear 2.24×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
5.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 02:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/11 19:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/11 01:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7604
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 18.5%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.324
Δ 4h
▼-0.432
Δ 12h
▲+0.085
Δ 24h
▼-0.500

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 80.6%
1h 2.8%
4h 13.9%
24h 22.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 77.8% +0.07%
4h 27.8% -1.13%
24h 22.2% -2.72%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
11.1%
Expansion
11.1%
Tail ↑
+0.66
Tail ↓
+0.51
Dispersion : 0.159
Universe : 36 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 02:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3144
Score SMA
0.3084
Rank
#37 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2800
Rank Norm SMA
0.3203
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2933 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.21% · r3d: 3.63% · ema21_slope: -0.7273% · dist_ema21: -6.285%
Force Relative 25% 0.4583 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.81% · rs_3d: 3.14% · beta_24h: 1.927
Volume 20% 0.1243 rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -1.237 · trend: -44.94%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5799 ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 54.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.727% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.5011
Score SMA
0.5139
Rank
#18 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7084
Rank Norm SMA
0.5103
Calculé le
02/11/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4451 r1h: -0.700% · r4h: -1.187% · r1d: -1.50% · r3d: -0.52% · ema21_slope: -0.0199% · dist_ema21: -0.879%
Force Relative 25% 0.4434 rs_1h: -0.448% · rs_4h: -0.829% · rs_1d: -1.71% · rs_3d: 0.08% · beta_24h: 1.605
Volume 20% 0.3824 rvol_20: 1.21× · zscore_50: 0.364 · trend: -16.47%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5349 ADX: 15.8 (weak) · Chop: 50.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.754% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.4401
Score SMA
0.4733
Rank
#32 / 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4231
Rank Norm SMA
0.4555
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4559 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.359% · r1d: 0.37% · r3d: 2.27% · ema21_slope: -0.0559% · dist_ema21: 0.118%
Force Relative 25% 0.5141 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.016% · rs_1d: -0.69% · rs_3d: 1.77% · beta_24h: 1.715
Volume 20% 0.1895 rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.421 · trend: -53.65%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.2463 ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 84.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.919% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.076% (0.0096)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.332% 0.3R -0.260% 0.2R 1.3× 12
2h +0.543% 0.5R -0.406% 0.4R 1.3× 24
4h +1.035% 1.0R -0.406% 0.4R 2.6× 48
8h +1.277% 1.2R -0.406% 0.4R 3.2× 96
12h ★ +2.910% 2.7R -0.406% 0.4R 7.2× 144
24h +3.703% 3.4R -0.406% 0.4R 9.1× 288
36h +3.703% 3.4R -1.038% 1.0R 3.6× 432
48h +3.866% 3.6R -1.313% 1.2R 2.9× 576
72h +3.866% 3.6R -7.216% 6.7R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1415 min MAE in 1950 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.41
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 37% mid — — 0.77 range_high +0.70% -0.71 31/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.66 bear_high -2.08% +0.00 01/11 19:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
48%
noisy_chop 37% mid — — 0.84 range_low -0.27% -0.17 02/11 01:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bear_low
46%
noisy_chop 48% late — — 0.73 range_low +0.08% -0.11 02/11 01:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#481952
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.655 compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 37% mid 35b -1.2ATR — — 0.23 7% ↓ -0.39 above_value -1.80 — #227322 0.77 range_high +0.70% -0.71
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:17
4h
#483108
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.372 compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 40% mid 18b 0.1ATR — — 0.61 26% ↓ -0.87 above_value -1.20 — #227793 0.66 bear_high -2.08% +0.00
01/11 19:00
upd 01/11 23:11
1h anchor
#483945
↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.585 volatile_reversal bear_high
48%
noisy_chop 37% mid 5b -1.0ATR — — 1.21 44% ↑ +0.40 value -3.20 — #228149 0.84 range_low -0.27% -0.17
02/11 01:00
upd 02/11 02:08
15m
#483895
↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.424 compression bear_low
46%
noisy_chop 48% late 12b -2.3ATR — — 0.25 36% ↑ +0.28 above_value -2.31 — #228050 0.73 range_low +0.08% -0.11
02/11 01:45
upd 02/11 02:00
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 35b — 6.488×ATR p72 -1.177×ATR p61
4h ↑ up mid 18b — 4.407×ATR p63 +0.093×ATR p4
1h ↓ down mid 5b — 2.668×ATR p67 -1.034×ATR p64
15m ↓ down late 12b — 5.152×ATR p94 -2.265×ATR p96

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.8752
  3. reason: down_bo width=1.91×ATR dur=52b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.90154513
  5. tp_price: 0.86764717
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.87524549585905
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-11-02T19:14:36.480341
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.87524549585905
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.0248
  14. obi_top10 : -0.003
  15. micro_price : 0.89197625
  16. spread_pct : 0.011212
  17. mid_price : 0.89195
  18. bid_wall_price :
  19. bid_wall_size :
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.899
  22. ask_wall_size : 1061199.8
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.0521
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0205
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6998
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.90703
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.89478
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.900905
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793419200
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793602800
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    1.9137
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    52
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8752
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793599200
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.89478
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8462
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.4562
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    7
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    18
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00640134
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
52
inside_close_ratio
0.8462
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4562

Signaux confirmants (23)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 02:14 0.89186000 -0.004%
2 02:24 0.89186000 -0.004%
3 02:37 0.89031000 -0.178%
4 02:47 0.89031000 -0.178%
5 02:57 0.89031000 -0.178%
6 03:11 0.89326000 +0.152%
7 03:22 0.89326000 +0.152%
8 03:33 0.89326000 +0.152%
9 03:43 0.89225000 +0.039%
10 03:52 0.89225000 +0.039%
11 04:03 0.89225000 +0.039%
12 04:13 0.89144000 -0.052%
13 04:22 0.89144000 -0.052%
14 04:33 0.89144000 -0.052%
15 04:43 0.88881000 -0.346%
16 04:52 0.88881000 -0.346%
17 05:02 0.88881000 -0.346%
18 05:14 0.88510000 -0.762%
19 05:23 0.88510000 -0.762%
20 05:33 0.88510000 -0.762%
21 05:42 0.88571000 -0.694%
22 05:51 0.88571000 -0.694%
23 06:00 0.88571000 -0.694%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6998ms Confidence avant OB : 88% → 88%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.025
avg -0.052 ± 0.021
OBI Top 10 -0.003

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.8920
Micro Price
0.8920
Spread
0.0112%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.8990
Size
1,061,199.80

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.8919 0.9015 0.8676 2.53 0.843
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.8919
  • Stop Loss: 0.9015
  • Take Profit: 0.8676

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.9015 - 0.8919 = 0.0095999999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.8919 - 0.8676 = 0.0243

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0243 / 0.0095999999999999 = 2.5313

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
736.684 100 826.0085 7.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0095999999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0095999999999999 = 833.33

Taille de position USD = 833.33 x 0.8919 = 743.25

Donc, tu peux acheter 833.33 avec un stoploss a 0.9015

Avec un position size USD de 743.25$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 833.33 x 0.0095999999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 833.33 x 0.0243 = 20.25

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.25$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 833.33
  • Taille de position USD 743.25
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.25
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5313

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.72 % 20.07 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.08 % 7.93 $
PNL PNL %
20.07 $ 2.72
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4059 % 37.71 % 19
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.8919 0.9015 0.8676 2.53 0.843
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.8919
  • Stop Loss: 0.9015
  • Take Profit: 0.8676

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.9015 - 0.8919 = 0.0095999999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.8919 - 0.8676 = 0.0243

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0243 / 0.0095999999999999 = 2.5313

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.076% (0.0096)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.332% 0.3R -0.260% 0.2R 1.3× 12
2h +0.543% 0.5R -0.406% 0.4R 1.3× 24
4h +1.035% 1.0R -0.406% 0.4R 2.6× 48
8h +1.277% 1.2R -0.406% 0.4R 3.2× 96
12h ★ +2.910% 2.7R -0.406% 0.4R 7.2× 144
24h +3.703% 3.4R -0.406% 0.4R 9.1× 288
36h +3.703% 3.4R -1.038% 1.0R 3.6× 432
48h +3.866% 3.6R -1.313% 1.2R 2.9× 576
72h +3.866% 3.6R -7.216% 6.7R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1415 min MAE in 1950 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 4 days ago

Commentaires

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