02 Nov 2026 at 05:13:00 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SOL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 6.92 SOL at 93.998$ per unit. Take profit: 91.1064 (3.08 %) & Stop Loss: 95.1546 (1.23 %)

SOL SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 05:13 → 14:35 · 9 hours

Position

Entry 93.998$

Qty 6.9167 SOL

Size 650.1527$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)

Risk Setup

TP 91.1064 (+3.08%)

TP $ 20$

SL 95.1546 (-1.23%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status win PnL +3.08% / +20$ MAE -0.97% MFE +3.37% 2.7R expires 02 Nov 17:12

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 240868)
#31 / 53
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5690

Quality Score
0.465
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#31 / 53
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#31 / 53
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.89×ATR
4h near -0.81×ATR
1d clear 1.59×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
241.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 05:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/11 23:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1)

02/11 04:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7616
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 14.0%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→-0.004
Δ 1h
→-0.031
Δ 4h
▼-0.369
Δ 12h
▼-0.204
Δ 24h
▼-0.165

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 44.7%
1h 10.5%
4h 7.9%
24h 13.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 50.0% -0.00%
4h 23.7% -1.01%
24h 13.2% -3.37%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
15.8%
Expansion
15.8%
Tail ↑
+0.47
Tail ↓
+0.73
Dispersion : 0.153
Universe : 38 (+1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 05:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3597
Score SMA
0.3651
Rank
#22 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5800
Rank Norm SMA
0.5922
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2177 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.95% · r3d: -1.17% · ema21_slope: -0.5531% · dist_ema21: -7.594%
Force Relative 25% 0.3792 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.97% · rs_3d: -1.65% · beta_24h: 1.212
Volume 20% 0.2588 rvol_20: 0.82× · zscore_50: -0.564 · trend: -16.29%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6645 ADX: 31.3 (trend) · Chop: 50.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.4820 ATR%: 4.554% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.4646
Score SMA
0.5139
Rank
#31 / 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5690
Rank Norm SMA
0.5062
Calculé le
02/11/2026 05:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4209 r1h: -0.334% · r4h: -0.636% · r1d: -1.22% · r3d: -2.60% · ema21_slope: -0.0195% · dist_ema21: -0.437%
Force Relative 25% 0.4492 rs_1h: -0.122% · rs_4h: -0.260% · rs_1d: -1.15% · rs_3d: -3.10% · beta_24h: 1.660
Volume 20% 0.1730 rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.528 · trend: -43.84%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6097 ADX: 18.9 (weak) · Chop: 44.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.713% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.4415
Score SMA
0.4891
Rank
#20 / 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7464
Rank Norm SMA
0.5414
Calculé le
02/11/2026 03:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3385 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.349% · r1d: -1.29% · r3d: -3.11% · ema21_slope: -0.1828% · dist_ema21: -1.856%
Force Relative 25% 0.4171 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.693% · rs_1d: -1.48% · rs_3d: -3.03% · beta_24h: 1.220
Volume 20% 0.2923 rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.277 · trend: 20.26%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5147 ADX: 30.7 (trend) · Chop: 68.0 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.570% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.231% (1.1566)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.030% 0.0R -0.297% 0.2R 0.1× 12
2h +0.266% 0.2R -0.543% 0.4R 0.5× 24
4h +0.362% 0.3R -0.970% 0.8R 0.4× 48
8h +2.656% 2.2R -0.970% 0.8R 2.7× 96
12h ★ +3.374% 2.7R -0.970% 0.8R 3.5× 144
24h +3.374% 2.7R -0.970% 0.8R 3.5× 288
36h +3.374% 2.7R -0.970% 0.8R 3.5× 432
48h +4.415% 3.6R -0.970% 0.8R 4.6× 576
72h +4.415% 3.6R -4.428% 3.6R 1.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 567 min MAE in 212 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 5 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.58
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 37% late — — 0.88 range_high +0.70% -0.59 31/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 39% mid near -0.8ATR — 0.87 bear_high -2.58% -0.15 01/11 23:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_medium
50%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.88 range_low -0.38% -0.07 02/11 04:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression range_low
38%
noisy_chop 38% early near 0.5ATR — 0.84 range_low -0.06% -0.03 02/11 04:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#481931
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.555 compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 37% late 35b -2.0ATR — — 0.82 40% ↓ -0.31 above_value -1.51 — #227316 0.88 range_high +0.70% -0.59
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:15
4h
#484204
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.380 compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 39% mid 18b -1.6ATR near -0.8ATR — 0.52 30% ↓ -0.22 above_value -1.69 inside #228244 0.87 bear_high -2.58% -0.15
01/11 23:00
upd 02/11 03:10
1h anchor
#484784
↓ down range range moderate balanced 0.431 volatile_reversal bear_medium
50%
noisy_chop 37% early 6b -0.5ATR — — 0.19 10% ↔ +0.07 above_value -1.62 — #228499 0.88 range_low -0.38% -0.07
02/11 04:00
upd 02/11 05:08
15m
#484732
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.532 compression range_low
38%
noisy_chop 38% early 5b -0.8ATR near 0.5ATR — 0.17 5% ↓ -0.67 above_value -1.15 — #228397 0.84 range_low -0.06% -0.03
02/11 04:45
upd 02/11 05:00
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 35b — 7.077×ATR p83 -2.013×ATR p85
4h ↓ down mid 18b — 2.768×ATR p22 -1.594×ATR p79
1h ↓ down early 6b — 2.385×ATR p37 -0.521×ATR p36
15m ↓ down early 5b — 2.014×ATR p9 -0.847×ATR p55

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.6695
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.48×ATR dur=51b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 95.15462683
  5. tp_price: 91.10643293
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.66948546620486
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-11-02T22:12:52.222144
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.66948546620486
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.0449
  14. obi_top10 : -0.0453
  15. micro_price : 94.12935381
  16. spread_pct : 0.001062
  17. mid_price : 94.1295
  18. bid_wall_price :
  19. bid_wall_size :
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.0296
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0094
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6995
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.1
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    95.891
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    94.289
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    95.09
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793433600
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793613600
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.4788
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    51
  43. balance_zone_quality: loose
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.6695
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793610000
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    94.289
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8039
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.4503
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    1
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    1
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    18
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    9
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.64626826
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
51
inside_close_ratio
0.8039
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4503

Signaux confirmants (24)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 05:13 93.99800000 0%
2 05:22 93.99800000 0%
3 05:31 93.99800000 0%
4 05:41 94.13700000 +0.148%
5 05:50 94.13700000 +0.148%
6 05:58 94.13700000 +0.148%
7 06:09 94.13400000 +0.145%
8 06:18 94.13400000 +0.145%
9 06:27 94.13400000 +0.145%
10 06:37 93.90900000 -0.095%
11 06:46 93.90900000 -0.095%
12 06:54 93.90900000 -0.095%
13 07:06 94.14200000 +0.153%
14 07:19 94.14200000 +0.153%
15 07:28 94.14200000 +0.153%
16 07:39 94.27700000 +0.297%
17 07:48 94.27700000 +0.297%
18 07:57 94.27700000 +0.297%
19 08:08 94.07100000 +0.078%
20 08:17 94.07100000 +0.078%
21 08:26 94.07100000 +0.078%
22 08:36 93.74900000 -0.265%
23 08:45 93.74900000 -0.265%
24 08:54 93.74900000 -0.265%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6995ms Confidence avant OB : 67% → 67%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.045
avg -0.030 ± 0.009
OBI Top 10 -0.045

Microstructure

Mid Price
94.1295
Micro Price
94.1294
Spread
0.0011%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
93.998 95.1546 91.1064 2.5 83.57
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 93.998
  • Stop Loss: 95.1546
  • Take Profit: 91.1064

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 95.1546 - 93.998 = 1.1566

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 93.998 - 91.1064 = 2.8916

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.8916 / 1.1566 = 2.5001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
650.1527 100 6.9167 7.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.1566

Taille de position = 8 / 1.1566 = 6.92

Taille de position USD = 6.92 x 93.998 = 650.47

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.92 avec un stoploss a 95.1546

Avec un position size USD de 650.47$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.92 x 1.1566 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.92 x 2.8916 = 20.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6.92
  • Taille de position USD 650.47
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.08 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.23 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
20 $ 3.08
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9702 % 78.85 % 18
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
93.998 95.1546 91.1064 2.5 83.57
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 93.998
  • Stop Loss: 95.1546
  • Take Profit: 91.1064

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 95.1546 - 93.998 = 1.1566

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 93.998 - 91.1064 = 2.8916

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.8916 / 1.1566 = 2.5001

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.231% (1.1566)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.030% 0.0R -0.297% 0.2R 0.1× 12
2h +0.266% 0.2R -0.543% 0.4R 0.5× 24
4h +0.362% 0.3R -0.970% 0.8R 0.4× 48
8h +2.656% 2.2R -0.970% 0.8R 2.7× 96
12h ★ +3.374% 2.7R -0.970% 0.8R 3.5× 144
24h +3.374% 2.7R -0.970% 0.8R 3.5× 288
36h +3.374% 2.7R -0.970% 0.8R 3.5× 432
48h +4.415% 3.6R -0.970% 0.8R 4.6× 576
72h +4.415% 3.6R -4.428% 3.6R 1.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 567 min MAE in 212 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 5 days ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.