Short Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 192.32 RUNE at 0.515$ per unit. Take profit: 0.502 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5565 (8.08 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 05:15:06
hyperliquid
RUNE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 05:15
→ 10:10
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.5149$
Qty 192.3229 RUNE
Size 99.0309$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.502 (+2.51%)
TP $ 2.48$
SL 0.5565 (-8.08%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.31
Status
loss
PnL
-8.08%
/ -8$
MAE -9.46%
MFE +1.00%
0.1R
expires
02 Nov 11:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 240886)
#51 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 05:00
score du 02/11/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3393
Quality Score
0.351
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#51 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#51 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.51×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.86×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.58×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.01
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 05:00
02/11 05:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 01/11 23:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7616
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
14.0%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.004
Δ 1h
→-0.031
Δ 4h
▼-0.369
Δ 12h
▼-0.204
Δ 24h
▼-0.165
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 44.7% |
| 1h | 10.5% |
| 4h | 7.9% |
| 24h | 13.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 50.0% | -0.00% |
| 4h | 23.7% | -1.01% |
| 24h | 13.2% | -3.37% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
15.8%
Expansion
15.8%
Tail ↑
+0.47
Tail ↓
+0.73
Dispersion :
0.153
Universe :
38
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 05:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3091
Score SMA
0.4976
Rank
#38
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2600
Rank Norm SMA
0.7593
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1589 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.91% · r3d: -10.45% · ema21_slope: -0.4554% · dist_ema21: -13.010% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1523 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -12.93% · rs_3d: -10.94% · beta_24h: 0.836 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6890 | rvol_20: 2.00× · zscore_50: 0.729 · trend: 104.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5704 | ADX: 16.0 (weak) · Chop: 46.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.767% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.3509
Score SMA
0.5195
Rank
#51
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3393
Rank Norm SMA
0.5240
Calculé le
02/11/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1396 | r1h: -3.364% · r4h: -2.057% · r1d: -18.37% · r3d: -22.54% · ema21_slope: -0.8323% · dist_ema21: -6.415% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0900 | rs_1h: -3.152% · rs_4h: -1.682% · rs_1d: -18.30% · rs_3d: -23.04% · beta_24h: 3.040 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3295 | rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.397 · trend: 66.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9078 | ADX: 48.9 (trend) · Chop: 36.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8592 | ATR%: 3.423% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.3620
Score SMA
0.5456
Rank
#42
/ 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0980
Rank Norm SMA
0.6985
Calculé le
02/11/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1992 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.989% · r1d: -16.90% · r3d: -22.49% · ema21_slope: -0.4193% · dist_ema21: -14.181% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2392 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.645% · rs_1d: -17.09% · rs_3d: -22.41% · beta_24h: 0.064 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7178 | rvol_20: 1.87× · zscore_50: 1.476 · trend: 100.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6589 | ADX: 19.1 (weak) · Chop: 19.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.129% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.079%
(0.0416)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.480% | 0.1R | -1.055% | 0.1R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.002% | 0.1R | -4.875% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.002% | 0.1R | -6.510% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.002% | 0.1R | -9.464% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.002% | 0.1R | -10.008% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.002% | 0.1R | -10.008% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.002% | 0.1R | -16.302% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.002% | 0.1R | -30.054% | 3.7R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.002% | 0.1R | -31.060% | 3.8R | 0.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 64 min
MAE in 1209 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 5 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.26
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.84 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
42%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -2.68% | -0.94 | 01/11 23:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
47%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.36 | range_low | -0.38% | -0.96 | 02/11 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.13 | range_low | -0.06% | +0.24 | 02/11 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481985
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.588 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 1b -1.6ATR | — | — | 2.00 | 94% | ↑ +0.72 | below_value | -5.37 | — | #227332 | 0.66 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.84 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:18
|
|
4h
#484240
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.527 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
42%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late 9b -2.4ATR | — | — | 1.87 | 97% | ↔ +0.00 | below_value | -6.76 | inside | #228262 | 0.51 | bear_high | -2.68% | -0.94 |
01/11 23:00
upd 02/11 03:12
|
|
1h
anchor #484802
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.475 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
47%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late 1b -1.8ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.39 | 76% | ↑ +0.48 | below_value | -6.82 | — | #228517 | 0.36 | range_low | -0.38% | -0.96 |
02/11 04:00
upd 02/11 05:09
|
|
15m
#484750
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.489 | expansion | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 4b -1.0ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.17 | 54% | ↓ -0.40 | below_value | -5.94 | — | #228415 | 0.13 | range_low | -0.06% | +0.24 |
02/11 04:45
upd 02/11 05:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 3.278×ATR | p14 | -1.566×ATR | p74 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 6.6×ATR | p88 | -2.377×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.814×ATR | p12 | -1.806×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.444×ATR | p59 | -0.969×ATR | p32 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.5565167
- tp_price: 0.502047
- atr: 0.01663868
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T16:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 52
- total: 53
- score: 0.1404
- delta_2h: -0.189
- extension_atr: -1.69
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3417
- confidence: 0.981
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:15 | 0.51492000 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 06:15 | 0.51871000 | +0.74% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5149 | 0.5565 | 0.502 | 0.31 | 0.603 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5149
- Stop Loss: 0.5565
- Take Profit: 0.502
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5565 - 0.5149 = 0.0416
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5149 - 0.502 = 0.0129
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0129 / 0.0416 = 0.3101
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99.0309 | 99.0309 | 192.3229 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0416
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0416 = 192.31
Taille de position USD = 192.31 x 0.5149 = 99.02
Donc, tu peux acheter 192.31 avec un stoploss a 0.5565
Avec un position size USD de 99.02$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 192.31 x 0.0416 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 192.31 x 0.0129 = 2.48
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.48$
Résumé
- Taille de position 192.31
- Taille de position USD 99.02
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.48
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3101
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 2.48 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.08 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -8.08 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -8.2618 % | 102.26 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5149 | 0.5565 | 0.502 | 0.31 | 0.603 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5149
- Stop Loss: 0.5565
- Take Profit: 0.502
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5565 - 0.5149 = 0.0416
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5149 - 0.502 = 0.0129
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0129 / 0.0416 = 0.3101
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.502
[entry_price] => 0.5149
[stop_loss] => 0.56066
[rr_ratio] => 0.28
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-11-02 15:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.079%
(0.0416)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.480% | 0.1R | -1.055% | 0.1R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.002% | 0.1R | -4.875% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.002% | 0.1R | -6.510% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.002% | 0.1R | -9.464% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.002% | 0.1R | -10.008% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.002% | 0.1R | -10.008% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.002% | 0.1R | -16.302% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.002% | 0.1R | -30.054% | 3.7R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.002% | 0.1R | -31.060% | 3.8R | 0.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 64 min
MAE in 1209 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 5 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.