Web3Way Logo

Short Trade on INIT

Previous Trade Next Trade
02 Nov 2026 at 06:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 503.09 INIT at 0.152$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1486 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1683 (10.43 %)

INIT SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 06:15 → 08:45 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.1524$

Qty 503.0905 INIT

Size 76.6911$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1486 (+2.49%)

TP $ 1.91$

SL 0.1683 (-10.43%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.24

Status win PnL +2.49% / +1.91$ MAE -7.07% MFE +10.64% 1.0R expires 02 Nov 12:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 240958)
#53 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0074

Quality Score
0.201
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#53 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.43 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#53 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.43 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.83×ATR
4h near 0.42×ATR
1d clear 2.18×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.21
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 06:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/11 23:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/11 05:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7620
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 29.9%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h mixed Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state recovering
Δ 15m
→-0.008
Δ 1h
▲+0.159
Δ 4h
▲+0.114
Δ 12h
▲+0.052
Δ 24h
▼-0.244

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 74.4%
1h 23.1%
4h 35.9%
24h 12.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 74.4% +0.04%
4h 46.2% -0.21%
24h 12.8% -3.22%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
5.1%
Expansion
5.1%
Tail ↑
+0.25
Tail ↓
+0.69
Dispersion : 0.111
Universe : 39 (+1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 06:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.6456
Score SMA
0.7819
Rank
#1 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.9984
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8086 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.87% · r3d: -14.30% · ema21_slope: 3.2422% · dist_ema21: 18.230%
Force Relative 25% 0.6374 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.85% · rs_3d: -14.79% · beta_24h: 1.177
Volume 20% 0.4859 rvol_20: 0.86× · zscore_50: 0.429 · trend: 102.46%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9764 ADX: 57.2 (trend) · Chop: 19.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 14.567% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.2012
Score SMA
0.5284
Rank
#53 / 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0074
Rank Norm SMA
0.5137
Calculé le
02/11/2026 06:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0129 r1h: -2.918% · r4h: -8.844% · r1d: -19.36% · r3d: -32.39% · ema21_slope: -0.5956% · dist_ema21: -14.445%
Force Relative 25% 0.0085 rs_1h: -2.797% · rs_4h: -8.600% · rs_1d: -19.29% · rs_3d: -32.58% · beta_24h: 1.105
Volume 20% 0.5087 rvol_20: 1.50× · zscore_50: 0.772 · trend: 23.21%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6925 ADX: 23.1 (weak) · Chop: 27.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5323 ATR%: 4.403% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.2422
Score SMA
0.5598
Rank
#51 / 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0290
Rank Norm SMA
0.6886
Calculé le
02/11/2026 03:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2250 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -10.283% · r1d: -9.52% · r3d: -25.82% · ema21_slope: -0.4759% · dist_ema21: -12.597%
Force Relative 25% 0.1895 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -9.627% · rs_1d: -9.71% · rs_3d: -25.74% · beta_24h: -0.594
Volume 20% 0.3140 rvol_20: 1.20× · zscore_50: -0.279 · trend: -34.85%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4303 ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 66.4 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.129% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -10.433% (0.0159)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.295% 0.0R -7.067% 0.7R 0.0× 12
2h +0.610% 0.1R -7.067% 0.7R 0.1× 24
4h +4.856% 0.5R -7.067% 0.7R 0.7× 48
6h ★ +10.637% 1.0R -7.067% 0.7R 1.5× 72
8h +10.637% 1.0R -7.067% 0.7R 1.5× 96
12h +12.946% 1.2R -7.067% 0.7R 1.8× 144
24h +16.056% 1.5R -7.067% 0.7R 2.3× 288
48h +20.532% 2.0R -7.067% 0.7R 2.9× 576
72h +20.532% 2.0R -7.067% 0.7R 2.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 1209 min MAE in 14 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 5 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.08
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
73%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.35 range_high +0.70% +1.00 31/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 41% late near 0.4ATR — 0.17 bear_high -2.68% -1.00 01/11 23:00
1h ↓ down range range strong fading compression bear_high_confirmed
52%
choppy 52% late — — 0.13 range_low -0.49% -0.99 02/11 05:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind compression bear_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 50% late — — 0.04 range_low -0.17% -0.82 02/11 05:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#482040
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced 0.711 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
73%
noisy_chop 37% early 4b 0.9ATR — — 0.86 97% ↑ +0.87 value -4.83 — #227349 0.35 range_high +0.70% +1.00
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:20
4h
#484276
 ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.542 compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 41% late 4b -1.7ATR near 0.4ATR — 1.20 86% ↓ -0.30 below_value -9.03 — #228280 0.17 bear_high -2.68% -1.00
01/11 23:00
upd 02/11 03:13
1h anchor
#485094
 ↓ down range range strong fading 0.694 compression bear_high_confirmed
52%
choppy 52% late 17b -4.3ATR — — 1.50 68% ↑ +0.29 below_value -10.77 — #228640 0.13 range_low -0.49% -0.99
02/11 05:00
upd 02/11 06:09
15m
#485040
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind 0.617 compression bear_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 50% late 24b -3.4ATR — — 2.18 97% ↔ -0.09 below_value -9.97 — #228535 0.04 range_low -0.17% -0.82
02/11 05:45
upd 02/11 06:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 2.635×ATR p14 +0.893×ATR p54
4h ↓ down late 4b — 2.608×ATR p29 -1.733×ATR p82
1h ↓ down late 17b — 6.929×ATR p98 -4.251×ATR p100
15m ↓ down late 24b — 11.834×ATR p100 -3.417×ATR p93

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.16834171
  2. tp_price: 0.148629
  3. atr: 0.00636068
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-02T17:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 53
  2. total: 53
  3. score: 0.0128
  4. delta_2h: -0.062
  5. extension_atr: -2.8
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0074
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1524 0.1683 0.1486 0.24 0.1757
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1524
  • Stop Loss: 0.1683
  • Take Profit: 0.1486

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1683 - 0.1524 = 0.0159

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1524 - 0.1486 = 0.0038

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0038 / 0.0159 = 0.239

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
76.6911 76.6911 503.0905 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0159

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0159 = 503.14

Taille de position USD = 503.14 x 0.1524 = 76.68

Donc, tu peux acheter 503.14 avec un stoploss a 0.1683

Avec un position size USD de 76.68$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 503.14 x 0.0159 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 503.14 x 0.0038 = 1.91

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.91$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 503.14
  • Taille de position USD 76.68
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 1.91
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.239

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 1.91 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
10.43 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
1.91 $ 2.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-7.0669 % 67.74 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1524 0.1683 0.1486 0.24 0.1757
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1524
  • Stop Loss: 0.1683
  • Take Profit: 0.1486

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1683 - 0.1524 = 0.0159

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1524 - 0.1486 = 0.0038

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0038 / 0.0159 = 0.239

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -10.433% (0.0159)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.295% 0.0R -7.067% 0.7R 0.0× 12
2h +0.610% 0.1R -7.067% 0.7R 0.1× 24
4h +4.856% 0.5R -7.067% 0.7R 0.7× 48
6h ★ +10.637% 1.0R -7.067% 0.7R 1.5× 72
8h +10.637% 1.0R -7.067% 0.7R 1.5× 96
12h +12.946% 1.2R -7.067% 0.7R 1.8× 144
24h +16.056% 1.5R -7.067% 0.7R 2.3× 288
48h +20.532% 2.0R -7.067% 0.7R 2.9× 576
72h +20.532% 2.0R -7.067% 0.7R 2.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 1209 min MAE in 14 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 5 days ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.