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Short Trade on DOT

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02 Nov 2026 at 07:11:36 hyperliquid

Short Trade on DOT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 767.38 DOT at 0.94$ per unit. Take profit: 0.9136 (2.77 %) & Stop Loss: 0.9501 (1.12 %)

DOT SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 07:11 → 08:35 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.9396$

Qty 767.3787 DOT

Size 721.0674$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)

Risk Setup

TP 0.9136 (+2.77%)

TP $ 19.95$

SL 0.9501 (-1.12%)

SL $ 8.06$

RR 2.48

Status loss PnL -1.12% / -8.06$ MAE -1.15% MFE +1.16% 1.0R expires 02 Nov 19:11

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 240995)
#4 / 54
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7513

Quality Score
0.553
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 54
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#4 / 54
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.14×ATR
4h clear 2.05×ATR
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 07:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/11 23:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/11 05:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7624
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 25.6%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.043
Δ 4h
▲+0.145
Δ 12h
▼-0.299
Δ 24h
▼-0.267

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 59.0%
1h 41.0%
4h 23.1%
24h 15.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 56.4% +0.02%
4h 43.6% -0.38%
24h 15.4% -2.95%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.6%
Down ≥1σ
2.6%
Expansion
5.1%
Tail ↑
+0.32
Tail ↓
+0.37
Dispersion : 0.080
Universe : 39 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 07:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.5525
Score SMA
0.4918
Rank
#4 / 54
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7513
Rank Norm SMA
0.3764
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4453 r1h: -0.356% · r4h: -0.944% · r1d: -0.95% · r3d: -0.28% · ema21_slope: 0.0030% · dist_ema21: -1.079%
Force Relative 25% 0.4571 rs_1h: -0.247% · rs_4h: -0.673% · rs_1d: -0.85% · rs_3d: -0.96% · beta_24h: 1.510
Volume 20% 0.8931 rvol_20: 2.87× · zscore_50: 2.402 · trend: 65.23%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5477 ADX: 11.1 (weak) · Chop: 43.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.870% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.3966
Score SMA
0.4345
Rank
#37 / 54
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4276
Rank Norm SMA
0.2827
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3130 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.944% · r1d: -0.95% · r3d: -0.28% · ema21_slope: -0.1476% · dist_ema21: -1.840%
Force Relative 25% 0.4359 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.673% · rs_1d: -0.85% · rs_3d: -0.96% · beta_24h: 1.967
Volume 20% 0.4400 rvol_20: 1.79× · zscore_50: 0.118 · trend: -30.36%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.2616 ADX: 18.9 (weak) · Chop: 87.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.148% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.118% (0.0105)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.404% 0.4R -0.467% 0.4R 0.9× 12
2h +0.404% 0.4R -1.145% 1.0R 0.4× 24
4h +1.158% 1.0R -1.145% 1.0R 1.0× 48
8h +1.158% 1.0R -1.145% 1.0R 1.0× 96
12h ★ +1.158% 1.0R -1.145% 1.0R 1.0× 144
24h +1.410% 1.3R -1.145% 1.0R 1.2× 288
36h +1.410% 1.3R -1.145% 1.0R 1.2× 432
48h +3.902% 3.5R -3.560% 3.2R 1.1× 576
72h +3.902% 3.5R -5.993% 5.4R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 1213 min MAE in 83 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 5 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.1
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d —
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
66%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.59 bear_high -2.68% +0.40 01/11 23:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high
48%
noisy_chop 38% mid near -1.1ATR — 0.66 range_low -0.49% -0.09 02/11 05:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong balanced expansion bear_medium_confirmed
64%
noisy_chop 48% late — — 0.59 range_low -0.26% -0.08 02/11 06:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d Pas de snapshot
4h
#484244
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.395 compression bear_high
66%
noisy_chop 36% early 13b -0.8ATR — — 0.60 22% ↓ -0.67 above_value +0.04 — #228264 0.59 bear_high -2.68% +0.40
01/11 23:00
upd 02/11 03:12
1h anchor
#485077
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.626 volatile_reversal bear_high
48%
noisy_chop 38% mid 7b -0.9ATR near -1.1ATR — 1.25 57% ↑ +0.67 value -0.67 — #228623 0.66 range_low -0.49% -0.09
02/11 05:00
upd 02/11 06:09
15m
#485300
 ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong balanced 0.381 expansion bear_medium_confirmed
64%
noisy_chop 48% late 2b -1.7ATR — — 1.86 95% ↑ +0.59 value -0.67 — #228623 0.59 range_low -0.26% -0.08
02/11 06:45
upd 02/11 07:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
4h ↓ down early 13b — 1.65×ATR p0 -0.822×ATR p45
1h ↓ down mid 7b — 2.792×ATR p59 -0.903×ATR p54
15m ↑ up late 2b — 1.705×ATR p3 -1.71×ATR p91

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.8505
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.04×ATR dur=33b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.9500751
  5. tp_price: 0.91358726
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.85050677632101
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-11-03T00:11:28.193573
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.85050677632101
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : -0.0185
  10. obi_top10 : 0.0599
  11. micro_price : 0.94258428
  12. spread_pct : 0.106157
  13. mid_price : 0.9425
  14. bid_wall_price :
  15. bid_wall_size :
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price : 0.946
  18. ask_wall_size : 583241.6
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : -0.022
  22. obi_top5_std : 0.0024
  23. pressure_side : neutral
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 7061
  26. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    0.957175
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    0.94143
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    0.9493025
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1793505600
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1793620800
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    2.0379
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    33
  38. balance_zone_quality: tight
  39. balance_zone_maturity: established
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.8505
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1793617200
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    0.94143
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.9091
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    1
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    0.2304
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    1
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    9
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    5
  54. regime : bear_high
  55. atr_entry : 0.00772596
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
33
inside_close_ratio
0.9091
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.2304

Signaux confirmants (10)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 07:11 0.93965000 +0.005%
2 07:22 0.93965000 +0.005%
3 07:32 0.93965000 +0.005%
4 07:42 0.93922000 -0.04%
5 07:51 0.93922000 -0.04%
6 08:00 0.93922000 -0.04%
7 08:11 0.93687000 -0.291%
8 08:20 0.93687000 -0.291%
9 08:29 0.93687000 -0.291%
10 08:39 0.93794000 -0.177%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7061ms Confidence avant OB : 85% → 85%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.019
avg -0.022 ± 0.002
OBI Top 10 0.060

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.9425
Micro Price
0.9426
Spread
0.1062%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.9460
Size
583,241.60

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.9396 0.9501 0.9136 2.48 0.8507
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.9396
  • Stop Loss: 0.9501
  • Take Profit: 0.9136

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.9501 - 0.9396 = 0.0105

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.9396 - 0.9136 = 0.026

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.026 / 0.0105 = 2.4762

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
721.0674 100 767.3787 7.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0105

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0105 = 761.9

Taille de position USD = 761.9 x 0.9396 = 715.88

Donc, tu peux acheter 761.9 avec un stoploss a 0.9501

Avec un position size USD de 715.88$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 761.9 x 0.0105 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 761.9 x 0.026 = 19.81

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.81$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 761.9
  • Taille de position USD 715.88
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.81
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4762

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.77 % 19.95 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.12 % 8.06 $
PNL PNL %
-8.06 $ -1.12
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.1452 % 102.48 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.9396 0.9501 0.9136 2.48 0.8507
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.9396
  • Stop Loss: 0.9501
  • Take Profit: 0.9136

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.9501 - 0.9396 = 0.0105

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.9396 - 0.9136 = 0.026

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.026 / 0.0105 = 2.4762

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.118% (0.0105)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.404% 0.4R -0.467% 0.4R 0.9× 12
2h +0.404% 0.4R -1.145% 1.0R 0.4× 24
4h +1.158% 1.0R -1.145% 1.0R 1.0× 48
8h +1.158% 1.0R -1.145% 1.0R 1.0× 96
12h ★ +1.158% 1.0R -1.145% 1.0R 1.0× 144
24h +1.410% 1.3R -1.145% 1.0R 1.2× 288
36h +1.410% 1.3R -1.145% 1.0R 1.2× 432
48h +3.902% 3.5R -3.560% 3.2R 1.1× 576
72h +3.902% 3.5R -5.993% 5.4R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 1213 min MAE in 83 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 5 days ago

Commentaires

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