Short Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 456.7 INIT at 0.15$ per unit. Take profit: 0.146 (2.47 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1673 (11.76 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 09:15:06
hyperliquid
INIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 09:15
→ 09:50
· 34 minutes
Position
Entry 0.1497$
Qty 456.7005 INIT
Size 68.3863$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.146 (+2.47%)
TP $ 1.69$
SL 0.1673 (-11.76%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 0.21
Status
win
PnL
+2.47%
/ +1.69$
MAE -1.83%
MFE +10.23%
0.9R
expires
02 Nov 15:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241181)
#60 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 09:00
score du 02/11/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0603
Quality Score
0.320
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#60 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#60 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.79×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.16×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.18×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.53
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 09:02
02/11 09:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 03:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 08:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7632
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
31.0%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.007
Δ 1h
→+0.011
Δ 4h
▲+0.170
Δ 12h
▼-0.261
Δ 24h
▼-0.179
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 16.3% |
| 1h | 32.6% |
| 4h | 30.2% |
| 24h | 16.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 32.6% | -0.10% |
| 4h | 48.8% | -0.53% |
| 24h | 18.6% | -2.79% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.3%
Down ≥1σ
2.3%
Expansion
4.7%
Tail ↑
+0.58
Tail ↓
+0.29
Dispersion :
0.097
Universe :
43
(+2 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+2 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 09:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.6456
Score SMA
0.7819
Rank
#1
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.9984
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8086 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.87% · r3d: -14.30% · ema21_slope: 3.2422% · dist_ema21: 18.230% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6374 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.85% · rs_3d: -14.79% · beta_24h: 1.177 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4859 | rvol_20: 0.86× · zscore_50: 0.429 · trend: 102.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9764 | ADX: 57.2 (trend) · Chop: 19.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 14.567% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.3196
Score SMA
0.5273
Rank
#60
/ 60
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0603
Rank Norm SMA
0.5097
Calculé le
02/11/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0967 | r1h: -1.423% · r4h: -0.270% · r1d: -23.50% · r3d: -26.95% · ema21_slope: -0.8226% · dist_ema21: -9.650% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1811 | rs_1h: -1.591% · rs_4h: -0.125% · rs_1d: -23.40% · rs_3d: -27.97% · beta_24h: 1.264 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5637 | rvol_20: 1.27× · zscore_50: 0.619 · trend: 132.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6811 | ADX: 21.7 (weak) · Chop: 28.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3742 | ATR%: 4.878% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.3502
Score SMA
0.5569
Rank
#48
/ 55
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0746
Rank Norm SMA
0.6786
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2341 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.696% · r1d: -18.32% · r3d: -27.98% · ema21_slope: -0.5013% · dist_ema21: -13.781% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2057 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.424% · rs_1d: -18.22% · rs_3d: -28.67% · beta_24h: -0.811 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7513 | rvol_20: 3.47× · zscore_50: 0.902 · trend: 18.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5218 | ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: 56.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.541% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -11.757%
(0.0176)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.140% | 0.3R | -1.830% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +5.932% | 0.5R | -1.830% | 0.2R | 3.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +9.025% | 0.8R | -1.830% | 0.2R | 4.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +10.234% | 0.9R | -1.830% | 0.2R | 5.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +11.202% | 1.0R | -1.830% | 0.2R | 6.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +12.151% | 1.0R | -1.830% | 0.2R | 6.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +14.689% | 1.3R | -1.830% | 0.2R | 8.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +19.098% | 1.6R | -1.830% | 0.2R | 10.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +19.098% | 1.6R | -1.830% | 0.2R | 10.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1294 min
MAE in 14 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 6 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.94
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
73%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.35 | range_high | +0.70% | +1.00 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.17 | bear_high | -2.88% | -1.00 | 02/11 03:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.13 | range_low | -0.48% | -0.97 | 02/11 08:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.05 | range_low | -0.14% | -0.28 | 02/11 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482040
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.711 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
73%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 4b 0.9ATR | — | — | 0.86 | 97% | ↑ +0.87 | value | -4.83 | — | #227349 | 0.35 | range_high | +0.70% | +1.00 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:20
|
|
4h
#485412
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.546 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 5b -1.8ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 3.47 | 96% | ↔ +0.09 | below_value | -8.63 | — | #228746 | 0.17 | bear_high | -2.88% | -1.00 |
02/11 03:00
upd 02/11 07:14
|
|
1h
anchor #485979
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.502 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late 2b -2.2ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 1.27 | 78% | ↑ +0.78 | below_value | -8.96 | — | #229009 | 0.13 | range_low | -0.48% | -0.97 |
02/11 08:00
upd 02/11 09:11
|
|
15m
#485925
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.349 | expansion | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 9b -0.8ATR | — | — | 0.72 | 91% | ↑ +0.83 | below_value | -8.54 | — | #228905 | 0.05 | range_low | -0.14% | -0.28 |
02/11 08:45
upd 02/11 09:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.635×ATR | p14 | +0.893×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 2.838×ATR | p33 | -1.777×ATR | p83 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.546×ATR | p2 | -2.166×ATR | p90 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 2.953×ATR | p56 | -0.751×ATR | p43 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.16725695
- tp_price: 0.1459965
- atr: 0.00700678
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T20:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 61
- total: 61
- score: 0.1291
- delta_2h: -0.0412
- extension_atr: -2.27
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0603
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1497 | 0.1673 | 0.146 | 0.21 | 0.1115 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1497
- Stop Loss: 0.1673
- Take Profit: 0.146
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1673 - 0.1497 = 0.0176
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1497 - 0.146 = 0.0037
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0037 / 0.0176 = 0.2102
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68.3863 | 68.3863 | 456.7005 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0176
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0176 = 454.55
Taille de position USD = 454.55 x 0.1497 = 68.05
Donc, tu peux acheter 454.55 avec un stoploss a 0.1673
Avec un position size USD de 68.05$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 454.55 x 0.0176 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 454.55 x 0.0037 = 1.68
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.68$
Résumé
- Taille de position 454.55
- Taille de position USD 68.05
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 1.68
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2102
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.47 % | 1.69 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.76 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.69 $ | 2.47 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.8303 % | 15.57 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1497 | 0.1673 | 0.146 | 0.21 | 0.1115 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1497
- Stop Loss: 0.1673
- Take Profit: 0.146
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1673 - 0.1497 = 0.0176
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1497 - 0.146 = 0.0037
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0037 / 0.0176 = 0.2102
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -11.757%
(0.0176)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.140% | 0.3R | -1.830% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +5.932% | 0.5R | -1.830% | 0.2R | 3.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +9.025% | 0.8R | -1.830% | 0.2R | 4.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +10.234% | 0.9R | -1.830% | 0.2R | 5.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +11.202% | 1.0R | -1.830% | 0.2R | 6.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +12.151% | 1.0R | -1.830% | 0.2R | 6.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +14.689% | 1.3R | -1.830% | 0.2R | 8.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +19.098% | 1.6R | -1.830% | 0.2R | 10.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +19.098% | 1.6R | -1.830% | 0.2R | 10.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1294 min
MAE in 14 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 6 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.