Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 57.56 NEAR at 4.089$ per unit. Take profit: 3.9872 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 4.2284 (3.4 %)
Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 57.56 NEAR at 4.089$ per unit. Take profit: 3.9872 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 4.2284 (3.4 %)
Position
Entry 4.0894$
Qty 57.5593 NEAR
Size 235.383$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 3.9872 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.88$
SL 4.2284 (-3.4%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.74
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5013
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.54×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.96×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.97×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 03:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 08:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 16.3% |
| 1h | 32.6% |
| 4h | 30.2% |
| 24h | 16.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 32.6% | -0.10% |
| 4h | 48.8% | -0.53% |
| 24h | 18.6% | -2.79% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3816 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.25% · r3d: 5.68% · ema21_slope: -0.5892% · dist_ema21: -7.318% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4569 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.27% · rs_3d: 5.19% · beta_24h: 3.404 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1258 | rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -1.416 · trend: -34.85% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5235 | ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 58.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.944% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3438 | r1h: -0.293% · r4h: -0.723% · r1d: -6.90% · r3d: -4.80% · ema21_slope: -0.2289% · dist_ema21: -2.689% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3352 | rs_1h: -0.461% · rs_4h: -0.578% · rs_1d: -6.80% · rs_3d: -5.82% · beta_24h: 2.490 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8175 | rvol_20: 2.35× · zscore_50: 2.710 · trend: 55.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7320 | ADX: 27.8 (trend) · Chop: 36.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.422% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2995 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.506% · r1d: -5.72% · r3d: -4.25% · ema21_slope: -0.1310% · dist_ema21: -4.499% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3629 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.778% · rs_1d: -5.62% · rs_3d: -4.93% · beta_24h: 2.175 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3991 | rvol_20: 1.39× · zscore_50: 0.168 · trend: -15.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4661 | ADX: 11.4 (weak) · Chop: 54.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9387 | ATR%: 3.184% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.453% | 0.4R | -0.306% | 0.1R | 4.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.389% | 0.7R | -0.306% | 0.1R | 7.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.502% | 1.3R | -0.306% | 0.1R | 14.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.040% | 1.8R | -0.306% | 0.1R | 19.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.040% | 1.8R | -0.306% | 0.1R | 19.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.600% | 1.9R | -0.306% | 0.1R | 21.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.481% | 2.5R | -0.306% | 0.1R | 27.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.674% | 2.9R | -1.091% | 0.3R | 8.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.674% | 2.9R | -4.546% | 1.3R | 2.1× | 864 |
computed 6 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.51 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.86 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near -2.0ATR | — | 0.54 | bear_high | -2.88% | -0.05 | 02/11 03:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
42%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.68 | range_low | -0.48% | -0.47 | 02/11 08:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.64 | range_low | -0.14% | -0.08 | 02/11 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481997
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.644 | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 20b -0.8ATR | — | — | 0.33 | 66% | ↓ -0.43 | above_value | -3.47 | — | #227336 | 0.51 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.86 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:19
|
|
4h
#485382
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.620 | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 10b -1.9ATR | near -2.0ATR | — | 1.39 | 43% | ↓ -0.29 | below_value | -3.33 | — | #228731 | 0.54 | bear_high | -2.88% | -0.05 |
02/11 03:00
upd 02/11 07:13
|
|
1h
anchor #485966
|
↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.498 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
42%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late 12b -1.7ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 2.35 | 92% | ↑ +0.32 | below_value | -3.83 | — | #228996 | 0.68 | range_low | -0.48% | -0.47 |
02/11 08:00
upd 02/11 09:10
|
|
15m
#485912
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.402 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 1b -0.9ATR | — | — | 2.86 | 97% | ↑ +0.24 | below_value | -3.72 | — | #228890 | 0.64 | range_low | -0.14% | -0.08 |
02/11 08:45
upd 02/11 09:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 20b | — | 3.677×ATR | p46 | -0.818×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 3.307×ATR | p43 | -1.903×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 4.477×ATR | p83 | -1.722×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.095×ATR | p0 | -0.882×ATR | p50 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:15 | 4.08940000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:15 | 4.06430000 | -0.614% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0894 | 4.2284 | 3.9872 | 0.74 | 3.551 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.2284 - 4.0894 = 0.139
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.0894 - 3.9872 = 0.1022
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1022 / 0.139 = 0.7353
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 235.383 | 100 | 57.5593 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.139 = 57.55
Taille de position USD = 57.55 x 4.0894 = 235.34
Donc, tu peux acheter 57.55 avec un stoploss a 4.2284
Avec un position size USD de 235.34$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 57.55 x 0.139 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 57.55 x 0.1022 = 5.88
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.88$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.88 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.4 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.88 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3057 % | 8.99 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0894 | 4.2284 | 3.9872 | 0.74 | 3.551 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.2284 - 4.0894 = 0.139
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.0894 - 3.9872 = 0.1022
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1022 / 0.139 = 0.7353
Array
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)
Array
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)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.453% | 0.4R | -0.306% | 0.1R | 4.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.389% | 0.7R | -0.306% | 0.1R | 7.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.502% | 1.3R | -0.306% | 0.1R | 14.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.040% | 1.8R | -0.306% | 0.1R | 19.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.040% | 1.8R | -0.306% | 0.1R | 19.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.600% | 1.9R | -0.306% | 0.1R | 21.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.481% | 2.5R | -0.306% | 0.1R | 27.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.674% | 2.9R | -1.091% | 0.3R | 8.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.674% | 2.9R | -4.546% | 1.3R | 2.1× | 864 |
computed 6 days ago
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