Short Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 516.3 ETHFI at 0.589$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5742 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6044 (2.63 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 09:15:08
hyperliquid
ETHFI
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 09:15
→ 14:10
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.5889$
Qty 516.3026 ETHFI
Size 304.0506$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5742 (+2.5%)
TP $ 7.59$
SL 0.6044 (-2.63%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.95
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +7.59$
MAE -1.41%
MFE +3.63%
1.4R
expires
02 Nov 15:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241171)
#4 / 60
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 09:00
score du 02/11/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5546
Quality Score
0.565
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 60
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 60
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -2.11×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.84×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.42×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.53
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 09:01
02/11 09:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 03:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 08:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7632
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
31.0%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.007
Δ 1h
→+0.011
Δ 4h
▲+0.170
Δ 12h
▼-0.261
Δ 24h
▼-0.179
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 16.3% |
| 1h | 32.6% |
| 4h | 30.2% |
| 24h | 16.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 32.6% | -0.10% |
| 4h | 48.8% | -0.53% |
| 24h | 18.6% | -2.79% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.3%
Down ≥1σ
2.3%
Expansion
4.7%
Tail ↑
+0.58
Tail ↓
+0.29
Dispersion :
0.097
Universe :
43
(+2 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+2 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 09:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2999
Score SMA
0.3010
Rank
#44
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2321
Rank Norm SMA
0.2969
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3095 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.43% · r3d: -8.42% · ema21_slope: -0.5000% · dist_ema21: -5.235% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4801 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.18% · rs_3d: -3.76% · beta_24h: 2.611 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1291 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -1.211 · trend: -42.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4082 | ADX: 13.6 (weak) · Chop: 63.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.275% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.5646
Score SMA
0.5184
Rank
#4
/ 60
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5546
Rank Norm SMA
0.5610
Calculé le
02/11/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3647 | r1h: -0.095% · r4h: -0.942% · r1d: -4.78% · r3d: -1.82% · ema21_slope: -0.1817% · dist_ema21: -2.240% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3903 | rs_1h: -0.263% · rs_4h: -0.797% · rs_1d: -4.68% · rs_3d: -2.84% · beta_24h: 1.679 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 5.39× · zscore_50: 5.170 · trend: 158.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7662 | ADX: 33.2 (trend) · Chop: 39.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.102% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4340
Score SMA
0.4774
Rank
#29
/ 55
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4564
Rank Norm SMA
0.5259
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3176 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.832% · r1d: -4.38% · r3d: -2.40% · ema21_slope: -0.1293% · dist_ema21: -4.240% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3879 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.560% · rs_1d: -4.28% · rs_3d: -3.08% · beta_24h: 1.976 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3715 | rvol_20: 1.31× · zscore_50: -0.029 · trend: -17.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4498 | ADX: 16.6 (weak) · Chop: 61.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.838% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.632%
(0.0155)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.858% | 0.3R | -0.878% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.858% | 0.3R | -1.406% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.199% | 0.8R | -1.406% | 0.5R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.625% | 1.4R | -1.406% | 0.5R | 2.6× | 71 |
| 8h | +3.625% | 1.4R | -1.406% | 0.5R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.625% | 1.4R | -1.406% | 0.5R | 2.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.625% | 1.4R | -1.406% | 0.5R | 2.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.021% | 2.3R | -1.756% | 0.7R | 3.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.021% | 2.3R | -5.687% | 2.2R | 1.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 304 min
MAE in 89 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 6 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.07
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.56 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.47 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.64 | bear_high | -2.88% | +0.00 | 02/11 03:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -2.1ATR | — | 0.72 | range_low | -0.48% | -0.40 | 02/11 08:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.56 | range_low | -0.14% | -0.14 | 02/11 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#485469
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.641 | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 33b -0.8ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.23 | 11% | ↓ -0.46 | value | -2.77 | — | #228736 | 0.56 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.47 |
31/10 20:00
upd 02/11 07:19
|
|
4h
#485392
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.395 | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 10b -2.0ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 1.31 | 43% | ↓ -0.39 | value | -2.77 | — | #228736 | 0.64 | bear_high | -2.88% | +0.00 |
02/11 03:00
upd 02/11 07:13
|
|
1h
anchor #485970
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.609 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 10b -1.9ATR | near -2.1ATR | — | 5.39 | 98% | ↑ +0.71 | value | -3.69 | — | #229000 | 0.72 | range_low | -0.48% | -0.40 |
02/11 08:00
upd 02/11 09:10
|
|
15m
#485916
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.282 | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid 1b -1.2ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 4.62 | 100% | ↑ +0.78 | below_value | -3.27 | — | #228895 | 0.56 | range_low | -0.14% | -0.14 |
02/11 08:45
upd 02/11 09:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 33b | — | 3.671×ATR | p35 | -0.78×ATR | p49 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 3.216×ATR | p38 | -1.973×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 4.011×ATR | p85 | -1.937×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.9×ATR | p0 | -1.241×ATR | p62 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.60439479
- tp_price: 0.5741775
- atr: 0.00619792
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T20:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 56
- total: 61
- score: 0.3477
- delta_2h: -0.0162
- extension_atr: -2.11
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.616
- confidence: 0.917
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5889 | 0.6044 | 0.5742 | 0.95 | 0.6204 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5889
- Stop Loss: 0.6044
- Take Profit: 0.5742
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6044 - 0.5889 = 0.0155
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5889 - 0.5742 = 0.0147
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0147 / 0.0155 = 0.9484
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 304.0506 | 100 | 516.3026 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0155
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0155 = 516.13
Taille de position USD = 516.13 x 0.5889 = 303.95
Donc, tu peux acheter 516.13 avec un stoploss a 0.6044
Avec un position size USD de 303.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 516.13 x 0.0155 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 516.13 x 0.0147 = 7.59
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.59$
Résumé
- Taille de position 516.13
- Taille de position USD 303.95
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.59
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9484
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 7.59 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.63 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 7.59 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.406 % | 53.42 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5889 | 0.6044 | 0.5742 | 0.95 | 0.6204 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5889
- Stop Loss: 0.6044
- Take Profit: 0.5742
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6044 - 0.5889 = 0.0155
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5889 - 0.5742 = 0.0147
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0147 / 0.0155 = 0.9484
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.632%
(0.0155)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.858% | 0.3R | -0.878% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.858% | 0.3R | -1.406% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.199% | 0.8R | -1.406% | 0.5R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.625% | 1.4R | -1.406% | 0.5R | 2.6× | 71 |
| 8h | +3.625% | 1.4R | -1.406% | 0.5R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.625% | 1.4R | -1.406% | 0.5R | 2.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.625% | 1.4R | -1.406% | 0.5R | 2.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.021% | 2.3R | -1.756% | 0.7R | 3.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.021% | 2.3R | -5.687% | 2.2R | 1.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 304 min
MAE in 89 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 6 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.