Short Trade on GRASS (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 392.05 GRASS at 0.581$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5661 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.601 (3.51 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 09:15:07
hyperliquid
GRASS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 09:15
→ 12:20
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 0.5806$
Qty 392.0471 GRASS
Size 227.6226$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5661 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.68$
SL 0.601 (-3.51%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.71
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +5.68$
MAE -0.45%
MFE +6.59%
1.9R
expires
02 Nov 15:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241173)
#58 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 09:00
score du 02/11/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2152
Quality Score
0.411
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#58 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#58 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.04×ATR |
| 4h | near | -2.27×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.99×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.53
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 09:02
02/11 09:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 03:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 08:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7632
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
31.0%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.007
Δ 1h
→+0.011
Δ 4h
▲+0.170
Δ 12h
▼-0.261
Δ 24h
▼-0.179
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 16.3% |
| 1h | 32.6% |
| 4h | 30.2% |
| 24h | 16.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 32.6% | -0.10% |
| 4h | 48.8% | -0.53% |
| 24h | 18.6% | -2.79% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.3%
Down ≥1σ
2.3%
Expansion
4.7%
Tail ↑
+0.58
Tail ↓
+0.29
Dispersion :
0.097
Universe :
43
(+2 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+2 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 09:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3778
Score SMA
0.4781
Rank
#20
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6200
Rank Norm SMA
0.7656
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5139 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.94% · r3d: 3.74% · ema21_slope: 0.0247% · dist_ema21: -5.628% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4500 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.92% · rs_3d: 3.26% · beta_24h: 3.540 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1851 | rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.616 · trend: -36.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4939 | ADX: 23.0 (weak) · Chop: 62.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 12.738% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.4111
Score SMA
0.5049
Rank
#58
/ 60
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2152
Rank Norm SMA
0.4128
Calculé le
02/11/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4178 | r1h: 0.922% · r4h: -0.162% · r1d: -2.99% · r3d: -2.05% · ema21_slope: -0.0927% · dist_ema21: -1.651% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4693 | rs_1h: 0.753% · rs_4h: -0.018% · rs_1d: -2.89% · rs_3d: -3.07% · beta_24h: 1.260 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5058 | rvol_20: 1.51× · zscore_50: 1.400 · trend: -12.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6394 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 40.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.458% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.2848
Score SMA
0.4638
Rank
#54
/ 55
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1269
Rank Norm SMA
0.4158
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1863 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.616% · r1d: -3.96% · r3d: -4.10% · ema21_slope: -0.3029% · dist_ema21: -4.194% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2607 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.344% · rs_1d: -3.86% · rs_3d: -4.79% · beta_24h: 1.969 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1896 | rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.581 · trend: -38.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3310 | ADX: 17.0 (weak) · Chop: 76.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7614 | ATR%: 3.716% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.514%
(0.0204)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.436% | 0.4R | -0.145% | 0.0R | 9.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.728% | 0.5R | -0.446% | 0.1R | 3.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.999% | 1.1R | -0.446% | 0.1R | 9.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.586% | 1.9R | -0.446% | 0.1R | 14.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.586% | 1.9R | -0.446% | 0.1R | 14.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.586% | 1.9R | -0.446% | 0.1R | 14.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.586% | 1.9R | -1.216% | 0.4R | 5.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.384% | 2.4R | -4.728% | 1.4R | 1.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.384% | 2.4R | -6.302% | 1.8R | 1.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 319 min
MAE in 1354 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 6 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.84
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.44 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.96 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -2.3ATR | — | 0.40 | bear_high | -2.88% | +0.04 | 02/11 03:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.57 | range_low | -0.48% | -0.13 | 02/11 08:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.58 | range_low | -0.14% | -0.08 | 02/11 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482018
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.534 | compression | bull_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 4b -0.5ATR | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.55 | 66% | ↓ -0.31 | above_value | +1.22 | — | #227342 | 0.44 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.96 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:19
|
|
4h
#485396
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | 0.354 | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 20b -1.5ATR | near -2.3ATR | — | 0.58 | 11% | ↔ -0.03 | value | -2.21 | — | #228738 | 0.40 | bear_high | -2.88% | +0.04 |
02/11 03:00
upd 02/11 07:13
|
|
1h
anchor #485972
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.512 | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid 14b -1.2ATR | near -1.0ATR | — | 1.51 | 75% | ↓ -0.57 | above_value | -3.20 | — | #229002 | 0.57 | range_low | -0.48% | -0.13 |
02/11 08:00
upd 02/11 09:10
|
|
15m
#485918
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.373 | expansion | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 2b -0.1ATR | — | — | 1.81 | 79% | ↑ +0.20 | value | -2.58 | — | #228897 | 0.58 | range_low | -0.14% | -0.08 |
02/11 08:45
upd 02/11 09:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.17×ATR | p5 | -0.501×ATR | p29 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 20b | — | 1.236×ATR | p0 | -1.526×ATR | p72 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 3.81×ATR | p72 | -1.199×ATR | p62 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.426×ATR | p39 | -0.053×ATR | p4 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.60100571
- tp_price: 0.566085
- atr: 0.00816228
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T20:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 58
- total: 61
- score: 0.3228
- delta_2h: -0.0219
- extension_atr: -0.77
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2046
- confidence: 0.95
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5806 | 0.601 | 0.5661 | 0.71 | 0.4462 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5806
- Stop Loss: 0.601
- Take Profit: 0.5661
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.601 - 0.5806 = 0.0204
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5806 - 0.5661 = 0.0145
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0145 / 0.0204 = 0.7108
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 227.6226 | 100 | 392.0471 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0204
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0204 = 392.16
Taille de position USD = 392.16 x 0.5806 = 227.69
Donc, tu peux acheter 392.16 avec un stoploss a 0.601
Avec un position size USD de 227.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 392.16 x 0.0204 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 392.16 x 0.0145 = 5.69
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.69$
Résumé
- Taille de position 392.16
- Taille de position USD 227.69
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.69
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7108
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.68 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.51 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.68 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4461 % | 12.7 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5806 | 0.601 | 0.5661 | 0.71 | 0.4462 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5806
- Stop Loss: 0.601
- Take Profit: 0.5661
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.601 - 0.5806 = 0.0204
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5806 - 0.5661 = 0.0145
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0145 / 0.0204 = 0.7108
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.514%
(0.0204)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.436% | 0.4R | -0.145% | 0.0R | 9.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.728% | 0.5R | -0.446% | 0.1R | 3.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.999% | 1.1R | -0.446% | 0.1R | 9.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.586% | 1.9R | -0.446% | 0.1R | 14.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.586% | 1.9R | -0.446% | 0.1R | 14.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.586% | 1.9R | -0.446% | 0.1R | 14.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.586% | 1.9R | -1.216% | 0.4R | 5.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.384% | 2.4R | -4.728% | 1.4R | 1.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.384% | 2.4R | -6.302% | 1.8R | 1.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 319 min
MAE in 1354 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 6 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.