Short Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_score)
With 14652.55 MON at 0.0185$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01901 (2.98 %)
Short Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_score)
With 14652.55 MON at 0.0185$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01901 (2.98 %)
Position
Entry 0.01846$
Qty 14652.5514 MON
Size 270.5008$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 270.49$
SL 0.01901 (-2.98%)
SL $ 8.06$
RR
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3118
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.84×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.70×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 09:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 82.6% |
| 1h | 60.9% |
| 4h | 84.8% |
| 24h | 19.6% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 82.6% | +0.09% |
| 4h | 76.1% | +0.38% |
| 24h | 17.4% | -2.10% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1828 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.49% · r3d: 1.09% · ema21_slope: -0.9420% · dist_ema21: -11.864% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3072 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.51% · rs_3d: 0.61% · beta_24h: 2.029 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1384 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.924 · trend: -69.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4758 | ADX: 24.9 (weak) · Chop: 66.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.430% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3382 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.608% · r1d: -5.50% · r3d: -6.68% · ema21_slope: -0.1856% · dist_ema21: -1.901% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3669 | rs_1h: 0.116% · rs_4h: -0.470% · rs_1d: -5.26% · rs_3d: -7.48% · beta_24h: 1.890 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3301 | rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: -0.287 · trend: 31.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7476 | ADX: 29.7 (trend) · Chop: 34.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.031% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3375 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.281% · r1d: -1.29% · r3d: -1.12% · ema21_slope: -0.2710% · dist_ema21: -1.876% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4068 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.061% · rs_1d: -2.35% · rs_3d: -1.63% · beta_24h: 1.869 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1657 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.514 · trend: -51.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3206 | ADX: 25.6 (trend) · Chop: 86.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.683% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.409% | 0.5R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 9.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.907% | 0.6R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 13.0× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +2.952% | 1.0R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 20.2× | 36 |
| 4h | +3.673% | 1.2R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 25.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.103% | 1.7R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 34.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.046% | 2.0R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 41.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.263% | 3.1R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 63.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.263% | 3.1R | -3.191% | 1.1R | 2.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.263% | 3.1R | -3.191% | 1.1R | 2.9× | 864 |
computed 6 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.59 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.96 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.70 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.33 | 02/11 09:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
49%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.1ATR | near -0.3ATR | 0.62 | range_low | -0.23% | -0.02 | 02/11 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482058
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.537 | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 30b -1.8ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.31 | 13% | ↓ -0.65 | below_value | -14.06 | — | #227355 | 0.59 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.96 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:21
|
| 4h | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
1h
anchor #486296
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.633 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 11b -1.9ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.75 | 33% | ↔ +0.10 | below_value | -16.34 | — | #229138 | 0.70 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.33 |
02/11 09:00
upd 02/11 10:11
|
|
15m
#486232
|
↓ down | range | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.292 | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
49%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 5b -0.2ATR | near 0.1ATR | near -0.3ATR | 0.38 | 45% | ↑ +0.39 | — | — | — | — | 0.62 | range_low | -0.23% | -0.02 |
02/11 09:45
upd 02/11 10:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 30b | — | 9.232×ATR | p100 | -1.801×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 4.66×ATR | p93 | -1.876×ATR | p89 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.169×ATR | p3 | -0.169×ATR | p10 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01846 | 0.01901 | 0.01666 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01901 - 0.01846 = 0.00055
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01846 - = 0.01846
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.01846 / 0.00055 = 33.5636
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 270.5008 | 100 | 14652.5514 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00055 = 14545.45
Taille de position USD = 14545.45 x 0.01846 = 268.51
Donc, tu peux acheter 14545.45 avec un stoploss a 0.01901
Avec un position size USD de 268.51$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 14545.45 x 0.00055 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 14545.45 x 0.01846 = 268.51
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 268.51$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 270.49 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.98 % | 8.06 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.5 $ | 2.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1463 % | 4.91 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01846 | 0.01901 | 0.01666 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01901 - 0.01846 = 0.00055
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01846 - = 0.01846
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.01846 / 0.00055 = 33.5636
Array
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.409% | 0.5R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 9.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.907% | 0.6R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 13.0× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +2.952% | 1.0R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 20.2× | 36 |
| 4h | +3.673% | 1.2R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 25.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.103% | 1.7R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 34.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.046% | 2.0R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 41.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.263% | 3.1R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 63.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.263% | 3.1R | -3.191% | 1.1R | 2.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.263% | 3.1R | -3.191% | 1.1R | 2.9× | 864 |
computed 6 days ago
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