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Short Trade on NEAR

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02 Nov 2026 at 10:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_score)

With 48.47 NEAR at 4.064$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 4.2294 (4.06 %)

NEAR SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 10:15 → 13:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 4.0643$

Qty 48.4656 NEAR

Size 196.9786$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 196.98$

SL 4.2294 (-4.06%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +3.07% / +6.05$ MAE -0.22% MFE +3.91% 1.0R expires 02 Nov 13:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 241224)
#25 / 60
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4786

Quality Score
0.535
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#25 / 60
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.06 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#25 / 60
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.06 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.83×ATR
4h near -1.96×ATR
1d clear 3.97×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.38
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
115.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 10:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/11 03:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/11 09:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7636
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 65.2%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.008
Δ 1h
▲+0.342
Δ 4h
▲+0.353
Δ 12h
→+0.035
Δ 24h
▲+0.225

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 82.6%
1h 60.9%
4h 84.8%
24h 19.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 82.6% +0.09%
4h 76.1% +0.38%
24h 17.4% -2.10%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.4%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
4.4%
Tail ↑
+0.51
Tail ↓
+0.36
Dispersion : 0.079
Universe : 46 (+1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 10:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3324
Score SMA
0.3438
Rank
#31 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4000
Rank Norm SMA
0.4838
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3816 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.25% · r3d: 5.68% · ema21_slope: -0.5892% · dist_ema21: -7.318%
Force Relative 25% 0.4569 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.27% · rs_3d: 5.19% · beta_24h: 3.404
Volume 20% 0.1258 rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -1.416 · trend: -34.85%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5235 ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 58.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.944% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.5351
Score SMA
0.5123
Rank
#25 / 60
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4786
Rank Norm SMA
0.4815
Calculé le
02/11/2026 10:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3222 r1h: -0.438% · r4h: -1.230% · r1d: -6.86% · r3d: -5.98% · ema21_slope: -0.2442% · dist_ema21: -2.839%
Force Relative 25% 0.3245 rs_1h: -0.322% · rs_4h: -1.091% · rs_1d: -6.63% · rs_3d: -6.78% · beta_24h: 2.482
Volume 20% 0.7275 rvol_20: 1.92× · zscore_50: 2.089 · trend: 70.50%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7454 ADX: 29.4 (trend) · Chop: 33.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.453% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4242
Score SMA
0.4390
Rank
#34 / 55
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3219
Rank Norm SMA
0.3156
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2995 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.506% · r1d: -5.72% · r3d: -4.25% · ema21_slope: -0.1310% · dist_ema21: -4.499%
Force Relative 25% 0.3629 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.778% · rs_1d: -5.62% · rs_3d: -4.93% · beta_24h: 2.175
Volume 20% 0.3991 rvol_20: 1.39× · zscore_50: 0.168 · trend: -15.59%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4661 ADX: 11.4 (weak) · Chop: 54.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.9387 ATR%: 3.184% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.062% (0.1651)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.786% 0.4R -0.224% 0.1R 8.0× 12
2h +2.556% 0.6R -0.224% 0.1R 11.4× 24
3h ★ +3.912% 1.0R -0.224% 0.1R 17.5× 36
4h +4.928% 1.2R -0.224% 0.1R 22.0× 48
8h +5.460% 1.3R -0.224% 0.1R 24.4× 96
12h +6.702% 1.7R -0.224% 0.1R 29.9× 144
24h +7.915% 2.0R -0.224% 0.1R 35.4× 288
48h +9.116% 2.2R -5.192% 1.3R 1.8× 576
72h +9.116% 2.2R -5.192% 1.3R 1.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 1039 min MAE in 9 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.38
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 34% early — — 0.51 range_high +0.70% -0.86 31/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 39% late near -2.0ATR — 0.54 bear_high -2.88% -0.05 02/11 03:00
1h ↓ down transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
42%
noisy_chop 37% late near -0.8ATR — 0.68 range_low -0.58% -0.42 02/11 09:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 39% early near 0.1ATR — 0.66 range_low -0.23% -0.09 02/11 09:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#481997
 ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.644 compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 34% early 20b -0.8ATR — — 0.33 66% ↓ -0.43 above_value -3.47 — #227336 0.51 range_high +0.70% -0.86
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:19
4h
#485382
 ↓ down range range moderate fading 0.620 compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 39% late 10b -1.9ATR near -2.0ATR — 1.39 43% ↓ -0.29 below_value -3.33 — #228731 0.54 bear_high -2.88% -0.05
02/11 03:00
upd 02/11 07:13
1h anchor
#486272
 ↓ down transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.498 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
42%
noisy_chop 37% late 13b -1.8ATR near -0.8ATR — 1.92 89% ↑ +0.45 below_value -4.07 — #229114 0.68 range_low -0.58% -0.42
02/11 09:00
upd 02/11 10:10
15m
#486208
 ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.497 expansion_after_compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 39% early 4b -0.8ATR near 0.1ATR — 0.41 58% ↑ +0.40 below_value -3.83 — #228996 0.66 range_low -0.23% -0.09
02/11 09:45
upd 02/11 10:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 20b — 3.677×ATR p46 -0.818×ATR p41
4h ↓ down late 10b — 3.307×ATR p43 -1.903×ATR p86
1h ↓ down late 13b — 4.702×ATR p88 -1.806×ATR p87
15m ↓ down early 4b — 1.473×ATR p0 -0.805×ATR p46

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 4.22936566
  2. atr: 0.05502189
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-02T18:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 59
  2. total: 60
  3. score: 0.3222
  4. confidence: 0.983

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.0643 4.2294 3.3834
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.0643
  • Stop Loss: 4.2294
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.2294 - 4.0643 = 0.1651

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.0643 - = 4.0643

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.0643 / 0.1651 = 24.6172

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
196.9786 100 48.4656 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1651

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1651 = 48.46

Taille de position USD = 48.46 x 4.0643 = 196.96

Donc, tu peux acheter 48.46 avec un stoploss a 4.2294

Avec un position size USD de 196.96$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 48.46 x 0.1651 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 48.46 x 4.0643 = 196.96

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 196.96$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 48.46
  • Taille de position USD 196.96
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 196.96
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 24.6172

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 196.98 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.06 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
6.05 $ 3.07
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2239 % 5.51 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.0643 4.2294 3.3834
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.0643
  • Stop Loss: 4.2294
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.2294 - 4.0643 = 0.1651

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.0643 - = 4.0643

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.0643 / 0.1651 = 24.6172

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.062% (0.1651)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.786% 0.4R -0.224% 0.1R 8.0× 12
2h +2.556% 0.6R -0.224% 0.1R 11.4× 24
3h ★ +3.912% 1.0R -0.224% 0.1R 17.5× 36
4h +4.928% 1.2R -0.224% 0.1R 22.0× 48
8h +5.460% 1.3R -0.224% 0.1R 24.4× 96
12h +6.702% 1.7R -0.224% 0.1R 29.9× 144
24h +7.915% 2.0R -0.224% 0.1R 35.4× 288
48h +9.116% 2.2R -5.192% 1.3R 1.8× 576
72h +9.116% 2.2R -5.192% 1.3R 1.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 1039 min MAE in 9 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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