Short Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 17592.86 MON at 0.0185$ per unit. Take profit: 0.018 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01892 (2.49 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 10:15:12
hyperliquid
MON
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 10:15
→ 12:20
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.01846$
Qty 17592.8573 MON
Size 324.7817$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.018 (+2.49%)
TP $ 8.09$
SL 0.01892 (-2.49%)
SL $ 8.09$
RR 1
Status
win
PnL
+2.49%
/ +8.09$
MAE -0.15%
MFE +4.86%
2.0R
expires
02 Nov 16:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241247)
#57 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 10:00
score du 02/11/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3118
Quality Score
0.458
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#57 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#57 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.84×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.70×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.38
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 10:02
02/11 10:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 09:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7636
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
65.2%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.008
Δ 1h
▲+0.342
Δ 4h
▲+0.353
Δ 12h
→+0.035
Δ 24h
▲+0.225
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 82.6% |
| 1h | 60.9% |
| 4h | 84.8% |
| 24h | 19.6% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 82.6% | +0.09% |
| 4h | 76.1% | +0.38% |
| 24h | 17.4% | -2.10% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.4%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
4.4%
Tail ↑
+0.51
Tail ↓
+0.36
Dispersion :
0.079
Universe :
46
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 10:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2307
Score SMA
0.2531
Rank
#51
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.1253
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1828 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.49% · r3d: 1.09% · ema21_slope: -0.9420% · dist_ema21: -11.864% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3072 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.51% · rs_3d: 0.61% · beta_24h: 2.029 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1384 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.924 · trend: -69.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4758 | ADX: 24.9 (weak) · Chop: 66.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.430% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.4580
Score SMA
0.4915
Rank
#57
/ 60
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3118
Rank Norm SMA
0.3667
Calculé le
02/11/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3382 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.608% · r1d: -5.50% · r3d: -6.68% · ema21_slope: -0.1856% · dist_ema21: -1.901% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3669 | rs_1h: 0.116% · rs_4h: -0.470% · rs_1d: -5.26% · rs_3d: -7.48% · beta_24h: 1.890 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3301 | rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: -0.287 · trend: 31.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7476 | ADX: 29.7 (trend) · Chop: 34.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.031% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.3842
Score SMA
0.4448
Rank
#48
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1442
Rank Norm SMA
0.3525
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3375 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.281% · r1d: -1.29% · r3d: -1.12% · ema21_slope: -0.2710% · dist_ema21: -1.876% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4068 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.061% · rs_1d: -2.35% · rs_3d: -1.63% · beta_24h: 1.869 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1657 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.514 · trend: -51.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3206 | ADX: 25.6 (trend) · Chop: 86.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.683% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.492%
(0.0005)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.409% | 0.6R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 9.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.907% | 0.8R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 13.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.673% | 1.5R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 25.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.865% | 2.0R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 33.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +5.103% | 2.1R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 34.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.046% | 2.4R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 41.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.263% | 3.7R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 63.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.263% | 3.7R | -3.191% | 1.3R | 2.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.263% | 3.7R | -3.191% | 1.3R | 2.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 949 min
MAE in 29 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.78
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.59 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.96 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.70 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.33 | 02/11 09:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
49%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.1ATR | near -0.3ATR | 0.62 | range_low | -0.23% | -0.02 | 02/11 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482058
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.537 | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 30b -1.8ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.31 | 13% | ↓ -0.65 | below_value | -14.06 | — | #227355 | 0.59 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.96 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:21
|
| 4h | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
1h
anchor #486296
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.633 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 11b -1.9ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.75 | 33% | ↔ +0.10 | below_value | -16.34 | — | #229138 | 0.70 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.33 |
02/11 09:00
upd 02/11 10:11
|
|
15m
#486232
|
↓ down | range | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.292 | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
49%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 5b -0.2ATR | near 0.1ATR | near -0.3ATR | 0.38 | 45% | ↑ +0.39 | — | — | — | — | 0.62 | range_low | -0.23% | -0.02 |
02/11 09:45
upd 02/11 10:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 30b | — | 9.232×ATR | p100 | -1.801×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 4.66×ATR | p93 | -1.876×ATR | p89 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.169×ATR | p3 | -0.169×ATR | p10 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.01891573
- tp_price: 0.01799948
- atr: 0.00018189
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T21:15:12+00:00
Details
- rank: 57
- total: 60
- score: 0.3411
- delta_2h: -0.0765
- extension_atr: -1.73
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.306
- confidence: 0.949
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01846 | 0.01892 | 0.018 | 1 | 0.01697 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01846
- Stop Loss: 0.01892
- Take Profit: 0.018
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01892 - 0.01846 = 0.00046
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01846 - 0.018 = 0.00046
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00046 / 0.00046 = 1
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 324.7817 | 100 | 17592.8573 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00046
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00046 = 17391.3
Taille de position USD = 17391.3 x 0.01846 = 321.04
Donc, tu peux acheter 17391.3 avec un stoploss a 0.01892
Avec un position size USD de 321.04$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 17391.3 x 0.00046 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 17391.3 x 0.00046 = 8
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8$
Résumé
- Taille de position 17391.3
- Taille de position USD 321.04
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 8
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 8.09 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 8.09 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 8.09 $ | 2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1463 % | 5.87 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01846 | 0.01892 | 0.018 | 1 | 0.01697 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01846
- Stop Loss: 0.01892
- Take Profit: 0.018
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01892 - 0.01846 = 0.00046
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01846 - 0.018 = 0.00046
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00046 / 0.00046 = 1
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.492%
(0.0005)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.409% | 0.6R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 9.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.907% | 0.8R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 13.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.673% | 1.5R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 25.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.865% | 2.0R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 33.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +5.103% | 2.1R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 34.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.046% | 2.4R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 41.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.263% | 3.7R | -0.146% | 0.1R | 63.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.263% | 3.7R | -3.191% | 1.3R | 2.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.263% | 3.7R | -3.191% | 1.3R | 2.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 949 min
MAE in 29 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.