Short Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1191.93 CRV at 0.272$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2654 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.279 (2.5 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 10:15:12
hyperliquid
CRV
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 10:15
→ 14:10
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 0.2722$
Qty 1191.9324 CRV
Size 324.4917$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2654 (+2.5%)
TP $ 8.11$
SL 0.279 (-2.5%)
SL $ 8.11$
RR 1
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +8.11$
MAE -0.29%
MFE +3.48%
1.4R
expires
02 Nov 16:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241208)
#42 / 60
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 10:00
score du 02/11/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1782
Quality Score
0.496
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#42 / 60
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.50 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#42 / 60
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.50 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.82×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.57×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.38
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 10:00
02/11 10:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 03:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7636
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
65.2%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.008
Δ 1h
▲+0.342
Δ 4h
▲+0.353
Δ 12h
→+0.035
Δ 24h
▲+0.225
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 82.6% |
| 1h | 60.9% |
| 4h | 84.8% |
| 24h | 19.6% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 82.6% | +0.09% |
| 4h | 76.1% | +0.38% |
| 24h | 17.4% | -2.10% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.4%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
4.4%
Tail ↑
+0.51
Tail ↓
+0.36
Dispersion :
0.079
Universe :
46
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 10:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2343
Score SMA
0.2956
Rank
#50
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0200
Rank Norm SMA
0.2761
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1608 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.60% · r3d: -8.97% · ema21_slope: -0.8103% · dist_ema21: -16.516% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2113 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.62% · rs_3d: -9.45% · beta_24h: 2.365 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1721 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -1.159 · trend: -12.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6586 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 37.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.336% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.4964
Score SMA
0.4568
Rank
#42
/ 60
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1782
Rank Norm SMA
0.2191
Calculé le
02/11/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3396 | r1h: -0.845% · r4h: -0.011% · r1d: -4.37% · r3d: -4.72% · ema21_slope: -0.1428% · dist_ema21: -1.113% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3745 | rs_1h: -0.729% · rs_4h: 0.128% · rs_1d: -4.14% · rs_3d: -5.52% · beta_24h: 1.780 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5261 | rvol_20: 1.62× · zscore_50: 0.837 · trend: 18.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6380 | ADX: 25.3 (trend) · Chop: 47.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.047% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.3483
Score SMA
0.4049
Rank
#50
/ 55
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1051
Rank Norm SMA
0.1811
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1922 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.579% · r1d: -4.66% · r3d: -5.42% · ema21_slope: -0.4925% · dist_ema21: -5.728% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2607 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.308% · rs_1d: -4.56% · rs_3d: -6.11% · beta_24h: 1.279 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1779 | rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.332 · trend: -58.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5991 | ADX: 40.9 (trend) · Chop: 68.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.758% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.498%
(0.0068)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.896% | 0.4R | -0.294% | 0.1R | 3.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.271% | 0.5R | -0.294% | 0.1R | 4.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.803% | 1.1R | -0.294% | 0.1R | 9.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.475% | 1.4R | -0.294% | 0.1R | 11.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.475% | 1.4R | -0.294% | 0.1R | 11.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.232% | 1.7R | -0.294% | 0.1R | 14.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.497% | 1.8R | -0.294% | 0.1R | 15.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.517% | 3.0R | -3.542% | 1.4R | 2.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.517% | 3.0R | -3.600% | 1.4R | 2.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 934 min
MAE in 29 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 6 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.01
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.64 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.95 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.88% | -0.18 | 02/11 03:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.13 | 02/11 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
50%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | 0.55 | range_low | -0.23% | -0.01 | 02/11 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481958
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.482 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 10b -2.2ATR | — | — | 0.41 | 45% | ↓ -0.34 | value | -2.05 | — | #227324 | 0.64 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.95 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:17
|
|
4h
#485354
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.753 | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 17b -3.2ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.48 | 10% | ↓ -0.67 | value | -5.44 | inside | #228717 | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.88% | -0.18 |
02/11 03:00
upd 02/11 07:12
|
|
1h
anchor #486254
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.504 | expansion | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid 2b -1.1ATR | — | — | 1.62 | 75% | ↔ -0.13 | above_value | -4.41 | — | #229097 | 0.42 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.13 |
02/11 09:00
upd 02/11 10:09
|
|
15m
#486191
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.583 | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
50%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 3b -0.2ATR | near -0.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | 0.28 | 39% | ↑ +0.58 | above_value | -3.87 | — | #228981 | 0.55 | range_low | -0.23% | -0.01 |
02/11 09:45
upd 02/11 10:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 5.043×ATR | p65 | -2.208×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 2.8×ATR | p21 | -3.156×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 0.719×ATR | p0 | -1.122×ATR | p62 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.637×ATR | p38 | -0.244×ATR | p20 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.27895179
- tp_price: 0.265434
- atr: 0.00268472
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T21:15:12+00:00
Details
- rank: 58
- total: 60
- score: 0.3396
- delta_2h: -0.0143
- extension_atr: -0.98
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.178
- confidence: 0.966
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2722 | 0.279 | 0.2654 | 1 | 0.235 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2722
- Stop Loss: 0.279
- Take Profit: 0.2654
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.279 - 0.2722 = 0.0068
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2722 - 0.2654 = 0.0068
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0068 / 0.0068 = 1
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 324.4917 | 100 | 1191.9324 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0068
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0068 = 1176.47
Taille de position USD = 1176.47 x 0.2722 = 320.24
Donc, tu peux acheter 1176.47 avec un stoploss a 0.279
Avec un position size USD de 320.24$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1176.47 x 0.0068 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1176.47 x 0.0068 = 8
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1176.47
- Taille de position USD 320.24
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 8
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 8.11 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 8.11 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 8.11 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2939 % | 11.76 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2722 | 0.279 | 0.2654 | 1 | 0.235 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2722
- Stop Loss: 0.279
- Take Profit: 0.2654
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.279 - 0.2722 = 0.0068
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2722 - 0.2654 = 0.0068
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0068 / 0.0068 = 1
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.498%
(0.0068)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.896% | 0.4R | -0.294% | 0.1R | 3.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.271% | 0.5R | -0.294% | 0.1R | 4.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.803% | 1.1R | -0.294% | 0.1R | 9.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.475% | 1.4R | -0.294% | 0.1R | 11.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.475% | 1.4R | -0.294% | 0.1R | 11.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.232% | 1.7R | -0.294% | 0.1R | 14.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.497% | 1.8R | -0.294% | 0.1R | 15.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.517% | 3.0R | -3.542% | 1.4R | 2.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.517% | 3.0R | -3.600% | 1.4R | 2.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 934 min
MAE in 29 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 6 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.