Short Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 3531.21 ADA at 0.19$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1847 (2.99 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1927 (1.21 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 10:39:32
hyperliquid
ADA
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 10:39
→ 22:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1904$
Qty 3531.2137 ADA
Size 672.3078$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1847 (+2.99%)
TP $ 20.13$
SL 0.1927 (-1.21%)
SL $ 8.12$
RR 2.48
Status
win
PnL
+1.47%
/ +9.85$
MAE -0.53%
MFE +2.24%
1.9R
expires
02 Nov 22:39
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241223)
#6 / 63
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 10:00
score du 02/11/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7160
Quality Score
0.621
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#6 / 63
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.21 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 63
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.21 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.25×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.13×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.78×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
5.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 10:30
02/11 10:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 03:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) 02/11 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7638
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
53.6%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.018
Δ 4h
▲+0.288
Δ 12h
→+0.007
Δ 24h
→+0.018
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 30.4% |
| 1h | 41.3% |
| 4h | 65.2% |
| 24h | 19.6% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 30.4% | -0.06% |
| 4h | 65.2% | +0.12% |
| 24h | 19.6% | -1.58% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
6.5%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
6.5%
Tail ↑
+0.55
Tail ↓
+0.43
Dispersion :
0.083
Universe :
46
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 10:31
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3154
Score SMA
0.2940
Rank
#36
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3000
Rank Norm SMA
0.2330
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2426 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.11% · r3d: 1.39% · ema21_slope: -0.8349% · dist_ema21: -8.824% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4191 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.91% · rs_3d: 0.91% · beta_24h: 1.767 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2158 | rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: -0.797 · trend: -38.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6314 | ADX: 29.5 (trend) · Chop: 52.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.267% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.6209
Score SMA
0.5016
Rank
#6
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7160
Rank Norm SMA
0.4258
Calculé le
02/11/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4419 | r1h: -0.409% · r4h: -0.393% · r1d: -1.70% · r3d: -1.26% · ema21_slope: -0.0534% · dist_ema21: -0.770% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4470 | rs_1h: -0.293% · rs_4h: -0.255% · rs_1d: -1.47% · rs_3d: -2.06% · beta_24h: 1.346 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9707 | rvol_20: 3.74× · zscore_50: 2.560 · trend: 180.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5497 | ADX: 13.2 (weak) · Chop: 45.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.718% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4261
Score SMA
0.4772
Rank
#33
/ 55
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4880
Rank Norm SMA
0.4856
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3463 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.047% · r1d: -1.38% · r3d: -1.21% · ema21_slope: -0.1434% · dist_ema21: -1.699% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4506 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.319% · rs_1d: -1.28% · rs_3d: -1.89% · beta_24h: 1.438 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3056 | rvol_20: 1.02× · zscore_50: -0.200 · trend: -23.32% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3227 | ADX: 30.0 (trend) · Chop: 91.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.679% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.208%
(0.0023)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.814% | 0.7R | -0.525% | 0.4R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.087% | 0.9R | -0.525% | 0.4R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.127% | 1.8R | -0.525% | 0.4R | 4.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.237% | 1.9R | -0.525% | 0.4R | 4.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.237% | 1.9R | -0.525% | 0.4R | 4.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.668% | 2.2R | -1.140% | 0.9R | 2.3× | 288 |
| 36h | +4.065% | 3.4R | -1.140% | 0.9R | 3.6× | 432 |
| 48h | +4.065% | 3.4R | -5.914% | 4.9R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.065% | 3.4R | -5.914% | 4.9R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2120 min
MAE in 1310 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.1
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.80 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.89 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.76 | bear_high | -2.88% | -0.04 | 02/11 03:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.84 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.10 | 02/11 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
29%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.78 | range_low | -0.13% | +0.04 | 02/11 10:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481994
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.623 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 26b -1.8ATR | — | — | 0.83 | 30% | ↓ -0.16 | above_value | +0.25 | — | #227335 | 0.80 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.89 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:18
|
|
4h
#485380
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.502 | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late 14b -1.6ATR | near 0.1ATR | — | 1.02 | 39% | ↔ -0.01 | above_value | -1.69 | — | #228730 | 0.76 | bear_high | -2.88% | -0.04 |
02/11 03:00
upd 02/11 07:13
|
|
1h
anchor #486270
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.517 | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid 2b -1.0ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | 3.74 | 97% | ↑ +0.72 | above_value | -1.95 | — | #229112 | 0.84 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.10 |
02/11 09:00
upd 02/11 10:10
|
|
15m
#486398
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.624 | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
29%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 2b 0.3ATR | — | — | 0.68 | 88% | ↑ +0.94 | above_value | -1.95 | — | #229112 | 0.78 | range_low | -0.13% | +0.04 |
02/11 10:15
upd 02/11 10:31
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 26b | — | 7.441×ATR | p92 | -1.809×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 1.903×ATR | p3 | -1.64×ATR | p80 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.4×ATR | p2 | -0.994×ATR | p67 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.721×ATR | p11 | +0.317×ATR | p24 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8217
- reason: down_bo width=2.97×ATR dur=30b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.19265551
- tp_price: 0.18472622
- atr:
- score: 0.82167253212921
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T03:39:24.965009
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.82167253212921
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0251
- obi_top10 : 0.0635
- micro_price : 0.19035338
- spread_pct : 0.052549
- mid_price : 0.19035
- bid_wall_price : 0.189
- bid_wall_size : 10161347
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.191
- ask_wall_size : 11396874.4
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0251
- obi_top5_std : 0.0001
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6809
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.19453
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.19051
- balance_zone_mid:
0.19252
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793527200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793631600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9666
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
30
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8217
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793628000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.19051
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8667
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.0886
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bear_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.00135511 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
30
inside_close_ratio
0.8667
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0886
Signaux confirmants (15)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:39 | 0.19039000 | -0.005% |
| 2 | 10:48 | 0.19039000 | -0.005% |
| 3 | 10:56 | 0.19039000 | -0.005% |
| 4 | 11:10 | 0.18991000 | -0.257% |
| 5 | 11:21 | 0.18991000 | -0.257% |
| 6 | 11:31 | 0.18991000 | -0.257% |
| 7 | 12:12 | 0.19020000 | -0.105% |
| 8 | 12:21 | 0.19020000 | -0.105% |
| 9 | 12:30 | 0.19020000 | -0.105% |
| 10 | 12:40 | 0.18847000 | -1.014% |
| 11 | 12:49 | 0.18847000 | -1.014% |
| 12 | 12:58 | 0.18847000 | -1.014% |
| 13 | 13:12 | 0.18867000 | -0.909% |
| 14 | 13:23 | 0.18867000 | -0.909% |
| 15 | 13:34 | 0.18867000 | -0.909% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6809ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
82%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.025
avg 0.025
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.064
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1904
Micro Price
0.1904
Spread
0.0525%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1890
Size
10,161,347.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1910
Size
11,396,874.40
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1904 | 0.1927 | 0.1847 | 2.48 | 0.1712 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1904
- Stop Loss: 0.1927
- Take Profit: 0.1847
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1927 - 0.1904 = 0.0023
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1904 - 0.1847 = 0.0057
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0057 / 0.0023 = 2.4783
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 672.3078 | 100 | 3531.2137 | 7.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0023
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0023 = 3478.26
Taille de position USD = 3478.26 x 0.1904 = 662.26
Donc, tu peux acheter 3478.26 avec un stoploss a 0.1927
Avec un position size USD de 662.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3478.26 x 0.0023 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3478.26 x 0.0057 = 19.83
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.83$
Résumé
- Taille de position 3478.26
- Taille de position USD 662.26
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.83
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4783
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.99 % | 20.13 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.21 % | 8.12 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 9.85 $ | 1.47 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5252 % | 43.48 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1904 | 0.1927 | 0.1847 | 2.48 | 0.1712 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1904
- Stop Loss: 0.1927
- Take Profit: 0.1847
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1927 - 0.1904 = 0.0023
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1904 - 0.1847 = 0.0057
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0057 / 0.0023 = 2.4783
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.208%
(0.0023)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.814% | 0.7R | -0.525% | 0.4R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.087% | 0.9R | -0.525% | 0.4R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.127% | 1.8R | -0.525% | 0.4R | 4.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.237% | 1.9R | -0.525% | 0.4R | 4.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.237% | 1.9R | -0.525% | 0.4R | 4.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.668% | 2.2R | -1.140% | 0.9R | 2.3× | 288 |
| 36h | +4.065% | 3.4R | -1.140% | 0.9R | 3.6× | 432 |
| 48h | +4.065% | 3.4R | -5.914% | 4.9R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.065% | 3.4R | -5.914% | 4.9R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2120 min
MAE in 1310 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
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