Short Trade on SUI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 699.03 SUI at 0.886$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8574 (3.23 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8974 (1.29 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 11:06:39
hyperliquid
SUI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 11:06
→ 23:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.886$
Qty 699.0325 SUI
Size 619.3428$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8574 (+3.23%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.8974 (-1.29%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2.51
Status
win
PnL
+2.22%
/ +13.76$
MAE -0.19%
MFE +2.79%
2.2R
expires
02 Nov 23:06
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241269)
#32 / 63
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 11:00
score du 02/11/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6148
Quality Score
0.539
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#32 / 63
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#32 / 63
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.80×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.94×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.24×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
9.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 11:00
02/11 11:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 03:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7640
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
50.0%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.152
Δ 4h
▲+0.244
Δ 12h
▼-0.204
Δ 24h
▲+0.144
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 15.2% |
| 1h | 37.0% |
| 4h | 60.9% |
| 24h | 19.6% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 15.2% | -0.15% |
| 4h | 60.9% | +0.12% |
| 24h | 19.6% | -1.82% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.4%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
4.4%
Tail ↑
+0.53
Tail ↓
+0.61
Dispersion :
0.084
Universe :
46
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 11:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3144
Score SMA
0.3084
Rank
#37
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2800
Rank Norm SMA
0.3203
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2933 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.21% · r3d: 3.63% · ema21_slope: -0.7273% · dist_ema21: -6.285% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4583 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.81% · rs_3d: 3.14% · beta_24h: 1.927 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1243 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -1.237 · trend: -44.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5799 | ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 54.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.727% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.5387
Score SMA
—
Rank
—
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6148
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4581 | r1h: -0.198% · r4h: 0.036% · r1d: -1.67% · r3d: -0.38% · ema21_slope: -0.0710% · dist_ema21: -0.726% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5050 | rs_1h: 0.244% · rs_4h: 0.508% · rs_1d: -1.08% · rs_3d: -0.28% · beta_24h: 1.482 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3573 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.150 · trend: 73.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5818 | ADX: 18.3 (weak) · Chop: 47.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.853% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.3956
Score SMA
0.4706
Rank
#40
/ 55
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3056
Rank Norm SMA
0.4471
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3687 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.770% · r1d: -2.09% · r3d: -0.03% · ema21_slope: -0.0585% · dist_ema21: -1.702% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4553 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.499% · rs_1d: -1.99% · rs_3d: -0.71% · beta_24h: 1.704 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1937 | rvol_20: 0.71× · zscore_50: -0.594 · trend: -53.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2160 | ADX: 15.5 (weak) · Chop: 89.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.927% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.287%
(0.0114)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.828% | 0.6R | -0.194% | 0.2R | 4.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.085% | 1.6R | -0.194% | 0.2R | 10.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.551% | 2.0R | -0.194% | 0.2R | 13.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.551% | 2.0R | -0.194% | 0.2R | 13.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.790% | 2.2R | -0.194% | 0.2R | 14.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.062% | 2.4R | -1.711% | 1.3R | 1.8× | 288 |
| 36h | +3.226% | 2.5R | -1.988% | 1.5R | 1.6× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.226% | 2.5R | -7.930% | 6.2R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.169% | 4.0R | -7.930% | 6.2R | 0.7× | 863 |
⏱ MFE in 2093 min
MAE in 1778 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.87
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.77 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.71 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -2.88% | +0.06 | 02/11 03:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.84 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.07 | 02/11 09:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
48%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.79 | range_low | -0.66% | +0.07 | 02/11 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481952
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.655 | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 35b -1.2ATR | — | — | 0.23 | 7% | ↓ -0.39 | above_value | -1.80 | — | #227322 | 0.77 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.71 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:17
|
|
4h
#485350
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.338 | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 20b -1.4ATR | — | — | 0.71 | 17% | ↓ -0.62 | above_value | -4.19 | — | #228715 | 0.66 | bear_high | -2.88% | +0.06 |
02/11 03:00
upd 02/11 07:11
|
|
1h
anchor #486252
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.407 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 1b -0.7ATR | — | — | 1.47 | 70% | ↑ +0.53 | above_value | -0.30 | — | #229095 | 0.84 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.07 |
02/11 09:00
upd 02/11 10:09
|
|
15m
#486514
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.427 | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
48%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 5b -0.4ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.45 | 81% | ↑ +0.43 | above_value | -0.30 | — | #229095 | 0.79 | range_low | -0.66% | +0.07 |
02/11 10:45
upd 02/11 11:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 35b | — | 6.488×ATR | p72 | -1.177×ATR | p61 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 20b | — | 3.374×ATR | p41 | -1.419×ATR | p70 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 0.929×ATR | p2 | -0.722×ATR | p49 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0.723×ATR | p0 | -0.395×ATR | p31 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8325
- reason: down_bo width=2.86×ATR dur=50b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.89744439
- tp_price: 0.85738902
- atr:
- score: 0.83251964800238
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T04:06:31.318077
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83251964800238
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.2535
- obi_top10 : 0.0643
- micro_price : 0.88460871
- spread_pct : 0.011305
- mid_price : 0.88465
- bid_wall_price : 0.878
- bid_wall_size : 1076073.5
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.1371
- obi_top5_std : 0.1641
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7223
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.90703
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.886415
- balance_zone_mid:
0.8967225
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793458800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793635200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8557
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
50
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8325
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793631600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.886415
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.88
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.0575
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00721891 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
50
inside_close_ratio
0.88
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0575
Signaux confirmants (12)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:06 | 0.88600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:19 | 0.88600000 | 0% |
| 3 | 11:28 | 0.88600000 | 0% |
| 4 | 11:40 | 0.88586000 | -0.016% |
| 5 | 11:49 | 0.88586000 | -0.016% |
| 6 | 11:58 | 0.88586000 | -0.016% |
| 7 | 12:38 | 0.87522000 | -1.217% |
| 8 | 12:47 | 0.87522000 | -1.217% |
| 9 | 12:56 | 0.87522000 | -1.217% |
| 10 | 13:09 | 0.87685000 | -1.033% |
| 11 | 13:21 | 0.87685000 | -1.033% |
| 12 | 13:31 | 0.87685000 | -1.033% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7223ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.254
avg -0.137
± 0.164
OBI Top 10
0.064
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.8847
Micro Price
0.8846
Spread
0.0113%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.8780
Size
1,076,073.50
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.886 | 0.8974 | 0.8574 | 2.51 | 0.804 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.886
- Stop Loss: 0.8974
- Take Profit: 0.8574
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8974 - 0.886 = 0.0114
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.886 - 0.8574 = 0.0286
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0286 / 0.0114 = 2.5088
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 619.3428 | 100 | 699.0325 | 6.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0114
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0114 = 701.75
Taille de position USD = 701.75 x 0.886 = 621.75
Donc, tu peux acheter 701.75 avec un stoploss a 0.8974
Avec un position size USD de 621.75$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 701.75 x 0.0114 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 701.75 x 0.0286 = 20.07
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.07$
Résumé
- Taille de position 701.75
- Taille de position USD 621.75
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.07
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5088
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.23 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.29 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 13.76 $ | 2.22 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1941 % | 15.09 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.886 | 0.8974 | 0.8574 | 2.51 | 0.804 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.886
- Stop Loss: 0.8974
- Take Profit: 0.8574
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8974 - 0.886 = 0.0114
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.886 - 0.8574 = 0.0286
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0286 / 0.0114 = 2.5088
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.287%
(0.0114)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.828% | 0.6R | -0.194% | 0.2R | 4.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.085% | 1.6R | -0.194% | 0.2R | 10.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.551% | 2.0R | -0.194% | 0.2R | 13.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.551% | 2.0R | -0.194% | 0.2R | 13.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.790% | 2.2R | -0.194% | 0.2R | 14.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.062% | 2.4R | -1.711% | 1.3R | 1.8× | 288 |
| 36h | +3.226% | 2.5R | -1.988% | 1.5R | 1.6× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.226% | 2.5R | -7.930% | 6.2R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.169% | 4.0R | -7.930% | 6.2R | 0.7× | 863 |
⏱ MFE in 2093 min
MAE in 1778 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.