Short Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 3375.76 FARTCOIN at 0.119$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1128 (4.97 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1211 (2.02 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 11:12:57
hyperliquid
FARTCOIN
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 11:12
→ 23:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1187$
Qty 3375.7553 FARTCOIN
Size 400.8709$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1128 (+4.97%)
TP $ 19.92$
SL 0.1211 (-2.02%)
SL $ 8.1$
RR 2.46
Status
win
PnL
+1.87%
/ +7.5$
MAE -0.78%
MFE +2.82%
1.4R
expires
02 Nov 23:12
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241302)
#38 / 62
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 11:00
score du 02/11/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6275
Quality Score
0.504
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#38 / 62
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#38 / 62
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.11×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.95×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.48×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 11:02
02/11 11:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 03:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7640
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
50.0%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.152
Δ 4h
▲+0.244
Δ 12h
▼-0.204
Δ 24h
▲+0.144
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 15.2% |
| 1h | 37.0% |
| 4h | 60.9% |
| 24h | 19.6% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 15.2% | -0.15% |
| 4h | 60.9% | +0.12% |
| 24h | 19.6% | -1.82% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.4%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
4.4%
Tail ↑
+0.53
Tail ↓
+0.61
Dispersion :
0.084
Universe :
46
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 11:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3154
Score SMA
0.2820
Rank
#35
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3200
Rank Norm SMA
0.2011
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2759 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.29% · r3d: 2.83% · ema21_slope: -1.2429% · dist_ema21: -11.044% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4418 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.27% · rs_3d: 2.35% · beta_24h: 2.417 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1286 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -1.096 · trend: -48.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6431 | ADX: 28.0 (trend) · Chop: 49.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.689% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.5037
Score SMA
0.5058
Rank
#38
/ 62
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6275
Rank Norm SMA
0.4759
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4047 | r1h: -0.981% · r4h: -0.593% · r1d: -2.52% · r3d: -0.99% · ema21_slope: -0.0784% · dist_ema21: -1.393% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4436 | rs_1h: -0.539% · rs_4h: -0.121% · rs_1d: -1.93% · rs_3d: -0.88% · beta_24h: 1.802 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4920 | rvol_20: 1.03× · zscore_50: 0.320 · trend: 89.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5518 | ADX: 10.4 (weak) · Chop: 42.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.127% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.5019
Score SMA
0.4355
Rank
#31
/ 62
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3844
Rank Norm SMA
0.3018
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3169 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.593% · r1d: -2.52% · r3d: -0.99% · ema21_slope: -0.1339% · dist_ema21: -2.262% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4439 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.121% · rs_1d: -1.93% · rs_3d: -0.88% · beta_24h: 2.021 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6602 | rvol_20: 2.94× · zscore_50: 0.431 · trend: -19.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3282 | ADX: 19.5 (weak) · Chop: 79.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.660% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.022%
(0.0024)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.666% | 0.3R | -0.775% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.233% | 1.1R | -0.775% | 0.4R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.755% | 1.4R | -0.775% | 0.4R | 3.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.755% | 1.4R | -0.775% | 0.4R | 3.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.822% | 1.4R | -0.775% | 0.4R | 3.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.901% | 1.9R | -1.036% | 0.5R | 3.8× | 288 |
| 36h | +3.917% | 1.9R | -1.356% | 0.7R | 2.9× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.917% | 1.9R | -12.443% | 6.2R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.824% | 3.4R | -12.443% | 6.2R | 0.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2087 min
MAE in 1767 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.28
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.67 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.97 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.70 | bear_high | -2.88% | +0.26 | 02/11 03:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.76 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.04 | 02/11 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
49%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.77 | range_low | -0.66% | -0.05 | 02/11 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482028
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.478 | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 39b -1.4ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.26 | 1% | ↓ -0.21 | value | -6.29 | — | #227345 | 0.67 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.97 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:20
|
|
4h
#485402
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.390 | compression | bear_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid 20b -1.1ATR | — | — | 1.16 | 30% | ↓ -0.54 | above_value | -8.88 | — | #228741 | 0.70 | bear_high | -2.88% | +0.26 |
02/11 03:00
upd 02/11 07:14
|
|
1h
anchor #486284
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.470 | expansion | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early 1b -0.5ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.57 | 32% | ↑ +0.34 | above_value | -0.11 | — | #229126 | 0.76 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.04 |
02/11 09:00
upd 02/11 10:10
|
|
15m
#486547
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.504 | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
49%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 5b -1.6ATR | — | — | 1.24 | 98% | ↔ -0.11 | above_value | -0.11 | — | #229126 | 0.77 | range_low | -0.66% | -0.05 |
02/11 10:45
upd 02/11 11:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 39b | — | 8.105×ATR | p88 | -1.416×ATR | p70 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 20b | — | 3.695×ATR | p45 | -1.102×ATR | p65 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 0.999×ATR | p0 | -0.526×ATR | p31 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 2.796×ATR | p39 | -1.568×ATR | p87 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7728
- reason: down_bo width=2.16×ATR dur=57b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.12111984
- tp_price: 0.1128254
- atr:
- score: 0.77283143365323
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T04:12:49.192297
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.77283143365323
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.128
- obi_top10 : 0.1333
- micro_price : 0.11872172
- spread_pct : 0.05056
- mid_price : 0.1187
- bid_wall_price : 0.118
- bid_wall_size : 4601032.28
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1444
- obi_top5_std : 0.0184
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7132
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.12239
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.11959
- balance_zone_mid:
0.12099
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793433600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793635200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.1565
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
57
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7728
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793631600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.11959
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8596
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.6469
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
12
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00129842 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
57
inside_close_ratio
0.8596
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6469
Signaux confirmants (14)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:12 | 0.11875000 | +0.042% |
| 2 | 11:23 | 0.11875000 | +0.042% |
| 3 | 11:34 | 0.11875000 | +0.042% |
| 4 | 11:43 | 0.11939000 | +0.581% |
| 5 | 11:52 | 0.11939000 | +0.581% |
| 6 | 12:03 | 0.11939000 | +0.581% |
| 7 | 12:14 | 0.11880000 | +0.084% |
| 8 | 12:23 | 0.11880000 | +0.084% |
| 9 | 12:33 | 0.11880000 | +0.084% |
| 10 | 12:42 | 0.11749000 | -1.019% |
| 11 | 12:51 | 0.11749000 | -1.019% |
| 12 | 13:01 | 0.11749000 | -1.019% |
| 13 | 13:14 | 0.11802000 | -0.573% |
| 14 | 13:25 | 0.11802000 | -0.573% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7132ms
Confidence avant OB :
77%
→
77%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.128
avg 0.144
± 0.018
OBI Top 10
0.133
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1187
Micro Price
0.1187
Spread
0.0506%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1180
Size
4,601,032.28
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1187 | 0.1211 | 0.1128 | 2.46 | 0.1091 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1187
- Stop Loss: 0.1211
- Take Profit: 0.1128
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1211 - 0.1187 = 0.0024
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1187 - 0.1128 = 0.0059
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0059 / 0.0024 = 2.4583
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 400.8709 | 100 | 3375.7553 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0024
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0024 = 3333.33
Taille de position USD = 3333.33 x 0.1187 = 395.67
Donc, tu peux acheter 3333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.1211
Avec un position size USD de 395.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3333.33 x 0.0024 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3333.33 x 0.0059 = 19.67
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.67$
Résumé
- Taille de position 3333.33
- Taille de position USD 395.67
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.67
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4583
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.97 % | 19.92 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.02 % | 8.1 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 7.5 $ | 1.87 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7751 % | 38.34 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1187 | 0.1211 | 0.1128 | 2.46 | 0.1091 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1187
- Stop Loss: 0.1211
- Take Profit: 0.1128
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1211 - 0.1187 = 0.0024
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1187 - 0.1128 = 0.0059
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0059 / 0.0024 = 2.4583
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.022%
(0.0024)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.666% | 0.3R | -0.775% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.233% | 1.1R | -0.775% | 0.4R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.755% | 1.4R | -0.775% | 0.4R | 3.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.755% | 1.4R | -0.775% | 0.4R | 3.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.822% | 1.4R | -0.775% | 0.4R | 3.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.901% | 1.9R | -1.036% | 0.5R | 3.8× | 288 |
| 36h | +3.917% | 1.9R | -1.356% | 0.7R | 2.9× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.917% | 1.9R | -12.443% | 6.2R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.824% | 3.4R | -12.443% | 6.2R | 0.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2087 min
MAE in 1767 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.