Short Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 16380.02 MON at 0.0182$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01779 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01874 (2.68 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 11:15:10
hyperliquid
MON
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 11:15
→ 14:15
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.01825$
Qty 16380.0164 MON
Size 298.9025$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.01779 (+2.52%)
TP $ 7.53$
SL 0.01874 (-2.68%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 0.94
Status
win
PnL
+2.52%
/ +7.53$
MAE -0.72%
MFE +3.77%
1.4R
expires
02 Nov 17:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241312)
#58 / 62
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 11:00
score du 02/11/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2698
Quality Score
0.450
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#58 / 62
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.68 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#58 / 62
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.68 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.84×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.70×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.12
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 11:03
02/11 11:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 09:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7640
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
50.0%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.152
Δ 4h
▲+0.244
Δ 12h
▼-0.204
Δ 24h
▲+0.144
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 15.2% |
| 1h | 37.0% |
| 4h | 60.9% |
| 24h | 19.6% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 15.2% | -0.15% |
| 4h | 60.9% | +0.12% |
| 24h | 19.6% | -1.82% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.4%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
4.4%
Tail ↑
+0.53
Tail ↓
+0.61
Dispersion :
0.084
Universe :
46
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 11:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2307
Score SMA
0.2531
Rank
#51
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.1253
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1828 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.49% · r3d: 1.09% · ema21_slope: -0.9420% · dist_ema21: -11.864% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3072 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.51% · rs_3d: 0.61% · beta_24h: 2.029 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1384 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.924 · trend: -69.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4758 | ADX: 24.9 (weak) · Chop: 66.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.430% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.4497
Score SMA
0.4915
Rank
#58
/ 62
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2698
Rank Norm SMA
0.3644
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3149 | r1h: -0.671% · r4h: -0.757% · r1d: -5.81% · r3d: -6.32% · ema21_slope: -0.2049% · dist_ema21: -2.333% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3675 | rs_1h: -0.230% · rs_4h: -0.286% · rs_1d: -5.21% · rs_3d: -6.22% · beta_24h: 1.774 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3565 | rvol_20: 0.97× · zscore_50: -0.086 · trend: 15.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7637 | ADX: 31.6 (trend) · Chop: 30.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.105% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.4006
Score SMA
0.4436
Rank
#57
/ 62
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1126
Rank Norm SMA
0.3422
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2250 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.757% · r1d: -5.81% · r3d: -6.32% · ema21_slope: -0.2895% · dist_ema21: -5.201% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2919 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.286% · rs_1d: -5.21% · rs_3d: -6.22% · beta_24h: 1.883 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3581 | rvol_20: 1.49× · zscore_50: -0.149 · trend: -42.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5512 | ADX: 28.6 (trend) · Chop: 61.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.765% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.685%
(0.0005)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.778% | 0.3R | -0.723% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.836% | 0.7R | -0.723% | 0.3R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.770% | 1.4R | -0.723% | 0.3R | 5.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.770% | 1.4R | -0.723% | 0.3R | 5.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.110% | 1.5R | -0.723% | 0.3R | 5.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.748% | 2.1R | -0.723% | 0.3R | 8.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.219% | 3.1R | -0.723% | 0.3R | 11.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.219% | 3.1R | -4.378% | 1.6R | 1.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.249% | 3.4R | -4.378% | 1.6R | 2.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 889 min
MAE in 19 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.59
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.59 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.96 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.70 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.33 | 02/11 09:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | expansion | bear_medium |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.5ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.58 | range_low | -0.66% | -0.03 | 02/11 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482058
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.537 | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 30b -1.8ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.31 | 13% | ↓ -0.65 | below_value | -14.06 | — | #227355 | 0.59 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.96 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:21
|
| 4h | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
1h
anchor #486296
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.633 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 11b -1.9ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.75 | 33% | ↔ +0.10 | below_value | -16.34 | — | #229138 | 0.70 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.33 |
02/11 09:00
upd 02/11 10:11
|
|
15m
#486558
|
↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | 0.768 | expansion | bear_medium |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 3b -0.5ATR | near -0.5ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.16 | 16% | ↓ -0.47 | below_value | -16.34 | — | #229138 | 0.58 | range_low | -0.66% | -0.03 |
02/11 10:45
upd 02/11 11:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 30b | — | 9.232×ATR | p100 | -1.801×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 4.66×ATR | p93 | -1.876×ATR | p89 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.341×ATR | p7 | -0.522×ATR | p35 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.0187364
- tp_price: 0.0177918
- atr: 0.00019536
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T22:15:10+00:00
Details
- rank: 60
- total: 63
- score: 0.334
- delta_2h: -0.0237
- extension_atr: -2.4
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2599
- confidence: 0.952
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01825 | 0.01874 | 0.01779 | 0.94 | 0.01623 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01825
- Stop Loss: 0.01874
- Take Profit: 0.01779
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01874 - 0.01825 = 0.00049
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01825 - 0.01779 = 0.00046
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00046 / 0.00049 = 0.9388
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 298.9025 | 100 | 16380.0164 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00049
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00049 = 16326.53
Taille de position USD = 16326.53 x 0.01825 = 297.96
Donc, tu peux acheter 16326.53 avec un stoploss a 0.01874
Avec un position size USD de 297.96$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 16326.53 x 0.00049 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 16326.53 x 0.00046 = 7.51
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.51$
Résumé
- Taille de position 16326.53
- Taille de position USD 297.96
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.51
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9388
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.52 % | 7.53 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.68 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 7.53 $ | 2.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7233 % | 26.94 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01825 | 0.01874 | 0.01779 | 0.94 | 0.01623 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01825
- Stop Loss: 0.01874
- Take Profit: 0.01779
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01874 - 0.01825 = 0.00049
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01825 - 0.01779 = 0.00046
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00046 / 0.00049 = 0.9388
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.685%
(0.0005)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.778% | 0.3R | -0.723% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.836% | 0.7R | -0.723% | 0.3R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.770% | 1.4R | -0.723% | 0.3R | 5.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.770% | 1.4R | -0.723% | 0.3R | 5.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.110% | 1.5R | -0.723% | 0.3R | 5.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.748% | 2.1R | -0.723% | 0.3R | 8.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.219% | 3.1R | -0.723% | 0.3R | 11.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.219% | 3.1R | -4.378% | 1.6R | 1.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.249% | 3.4R | -4.378% | 1.6R | 2.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 889 min
MAE in 19 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.