Short Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 10.34 VVV at 21.494$ per unit. Take profit: 20.9567 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 22.2677 (3.6 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 11:15:11
hyperliquid
VVV
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 11:15
→ 17:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 21.494$
Qty 10.3399 VVV
Size 222.2469$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 20.9567 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.56$
SL 22.2677 (-3.6%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.69
Status
win
PnL
+0.82%
/ +1.83$
MAE -0.51%
MFE +1.74%
0.5R
expires
02 Nov 17:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241305)
#44 / 62
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 11:00
score du 02/11/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2938
Quality Score
0.498
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#44 / 62
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.60 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 62
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.60 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.67×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.70×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.79×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.12
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 11:02
02/11 11:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 03:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 09:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7640
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
50.0%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.152
Δ 4h
▲+0.244
Δ 12h
▼-0.204
Δ 24h
▲+0.144
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 15.2% |
| 1h | 37.0% |
| 4h | 60.9% |
| 24h | 19.6% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 15.2% | -0.15% |
| 4h | 60.9% | +0.12% |
| 24h | 19.6% | -1.82% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.4%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
4.4%
Tail ↑
+0.53
Tail ↓
+0.61
Dispersion :
0.084
Universe :
46
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 11:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2926
Score SMA
0.3618
Rank
#41
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2000
Rank Norm SMA
0.4881
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3412 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.00% · r3d: 2.83% · ema21_slope: -0.2460% · dist_ema21: -5.635% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3969 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.02% · rs_3d: 2.35% · beta_24h: 1.875 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1140 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -1.290 · trend: -51.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4550 | ADX: 18.9 (weak) · Chop: 63.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.066% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.4981
Score SMA
0.4980
Rank
#44
/ 62
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2938
Rank Norm SMA
0.4020
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2197 | r1h: -2.794% · r4h: -3.192% · r1d: -6.64% · r3d: -2.72% · ema21_slope: -0.1919% · dist_ema21: -4.201% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2480 | rs_1h: -2.352% · rs_4h: -2.720% · rs_1d: -6.04% · rs_3d: -2.62% · beta_24h: 2.613 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9598 | rvol_20: 4.14× · zscore_50: 2.863 · trend: 76.70% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6798 | ADX: 21.6 (weak) · Chop: 30.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.464% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.4072
Score SMA
0.4344
Rank
#55
/ 62
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1804
Rank Norm SMA
0.3177
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2442 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.192% · r1d: -6.64% · r3d: -2.72% · ema21_slope: -0.1407% · dist_ema21: -6.002% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2776 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.720% · rs_1d: -6.04% · rs_3d: -2.62% · beta_24h: 2.833 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3848 | rvol_20: 1.74× · zscore_50: -0.282 · trend: -46.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4484 | ADX: 12.3 (weak) · Chop: 57.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8628 | ATR%: 3.412% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.600%
(0.7737)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.038% | 0.3R | -0.149% | 0.0R | 7.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.740% | 0.5R | -0.512% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.740% | 0.5R | -0.512% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.740% | 0.5R | -0.512% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.740% | 0.5R | -0.512% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.740% | 0.5R | -1.791% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.811% | 1.3R | -5.029% | 1.4R | 1.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.811% | 1.3R | -14.897% | 4.1R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.472% | 2.1R | -14.897% | 4.1R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1074 min
MAE in 1364 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.27
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.38 | range_high | +0.70% | +0.59 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.55 | bear_high | -2.88% | -0.19 | 02/11 03:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.56 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.33 | 02/11 09:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.56 | range_low | -0.66% | -0.23 | 02/11 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482037
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.537 | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 10b -0.6ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.26 | 26% | ↓ -0.42 | below_value | -8.96 | — | #227348 | 0.38 | range_high | +0.70% | +0.59 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:20
|
|
4h
#485410
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.529 | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 8b -1.4ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 1.28 | 23% | ↓ -0.31 | below_value | -11.39 | — | #228745 | 0.55 | bear_high | -2.88% | -0.19 |
02/11 03:00
upd 02/11 07:14
|
|
1h
anchor #486288
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.624 | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid 10b -1.5ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.72 | 27% | ↑ +0.22 | below_value | -10.79 | inside | #229130 | 0.56 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.33 |
02/11 09:00
upd 02/11 10:10
|
|
15m
#486550
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.557 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 8b -2.5ATR | — | — | 5.23 | 98% | ↑ +0.92 | below_value | -10.79 | — | #229130 | 0.56 | range_low | -0.66% | -0.23 |
02/11 10:45
upd 02/11 11:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 2.362×ATR | p0 | -0.623×ATR | p36 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 2.444×ATR | p24 | -1.401×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 4.017×ATR | p79 | -1.458×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 4.213×ATR | p90 | -2.52×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 22.26769817
- tp_price: 20.95665
- atr: 0.30947927
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T22:15:11+00:00
Details
- rank: 59
- total: 63
- score: 0.3418
- delta_2h: -0.0608
- extension_atr: -2.85
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2722
- confidence: 0.935
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:15 | 21.49400000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:15 | 21.37600000 | -0.549% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.494 | 22.2677 | 20.9567 | 0.69 | 18.035 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 21.494
- Stop Loss: 22.2677
- Take Profit: 20.9567
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 22.2677 - 21.494 = 0.7737
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 21.494 - 20.9567 = 0.5373
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5373 / 0.7737 = 0.6945
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 222.2469 | 100 | 10.3399 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.7737
Taille de position = 8 / 0.7737 = 10.34
Taille de position USD = 10.34 x 21.494 = 222.25
Donc, tu peux acheter 10.34 avec un stoploss a 22.2677
Avec un position size USD de 222.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 10.34 x 0.7737 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 10.34 x 0.5373 = 5.56
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.56$
Résumé
- Taille de position 10.34
- Taille de position USD 222.25
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.56
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6945
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.56 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.6 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.83 $ | 0.82 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5118 % | 14.22 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.494 | 22.2677 | 20.9567 | 0.69 | 18.035 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 21.494
- Stop Loss: 22.2677
- Take Profit: 20.9567
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 22.2677 - 21.494 = 0.7737
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 21.494 - 20.9567 = 0.5373
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5373 / 0.7737 = 0.6945
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.600%
(0.7737)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.038% | 0.3R | -0.149% | 0.0R | 7.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.740% | 0.5R | -0.512% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.740% | 0.5R | -0.512% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.740% | 0.5R | -0.512% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.740% | 0.5R | -0.512% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.740% | 0.5R | -1.791% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.811% | 1.3R | -5.029% | 1.4R | 1.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.811% | 1.3R | -14.897% | 4.1R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.472% | 2.1R | -14.897% | 4.1R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1074 min
MAE in 1364 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.