Short Trade on LIT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 89 LIT at 3.052$ per unit. Take profit: 2.8276 (7.36 %) & Stop Loss: 3.1422 (2.95 %)
Short Trade on LIT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 89 LIT at 3.052$ per unit. Take profit: 2.8276 (7.36 %) & Stop Loss: 3.1422 (2.95 %)
Position
Entry 3.0523$
Qty 88.9984 LIT
Size 271.65$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 2.8276 (+7.36%)
TP $ 20$
SL 3.1422 (-2.95%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4349
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 4.27×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.81×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.36×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 02/11 11:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 62.5% |
| 1h | 52.1% |
| 4h | 39.6% |
| 24h | 20.8% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 66.7% | +0.05% |
| 4h | 58.3% | -0.20% |
| 24h | 22.9% | -2.69% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3378 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.13% · r3d: 16.91% · ema21_slope: -0.8813% · dist_ema21: -1.814% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6090 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.89% · rs_3d: 16.42% · beta_24h: 2.779 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3981 | rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: -0.038 · trend: 4.56% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5345 | ADX: 14.0 (weak) · Chop: 48.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.516% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4818 | r1h: -0.956% · r4h: -0.340% · r1d: -4.97% · r3d: 10.92% · ema21_slope: -0.0958% · dist_ema21: -1.771% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5010 | rs_1h: -0.920% · rs_4h: 0.085% · rs_1d: -4.14% · rs_3d: 10.71% · beta_24h: 2.896 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2560 | rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: -0.533 · trend: -21.23% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4624 | ADX: 13.4 (weak) · Chop: 56.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.929% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6170 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.300% · r1d: -3.85% · r3d: 10.03% · ema21_slope: 0.5457% · dist_ema21: 1.224% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5794 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.772% · rs_1d: -3.26% · rs_3d: 10.13% · beta_24h: 3.524 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3138 | rvol_20: 0.98× · zscore_50: -0.058 · trend: -19.81% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6216 | ADX: 21.0 (weak) · Chop: 44.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5172 | ATR%: 4.448% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.569% | 0.5R | -1.697% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.569% | 0.5R | -1.697% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.569% | 0.5R | -2.080% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.569% | 0.5R | -2.513% | 0.9R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.569% | 0.5R | -3.135% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.569% | 0.5R | -13.721% | 4.7R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.569% | 0.5R | -13.721% | 4.7R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.569% | 0.5R | -17.171% | 5.8R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.569% | 0.5R | -17.171% | 5.8R | 0.1× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.42 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.24 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -3.28% | +0.73 | 02/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.41 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.01% | -0.26 | 02/11 11:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.45 | range_low | -0.64% | -0.01 | 02/11 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482064
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.504 | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 11b -0.2ATR | — | — | 1.30 | 70% | ↔ +0.14 | value | +1.11 | — | #227357 | 0.42 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.24 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:21
|
|
4h
#486705
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.549 | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 13b 0.3ATR | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.98 | 70% | ↑ +0.21 | above_value | +0.14 | — | #229267 | 0.50 | bear_high | -3.28% | +0.73 |
02/11 07:00
upd 02/11 11:19
|
|
1h
anchor #487018
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.385 | normal | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 1b -0.9ATR | — | — | 0.83 | 59% | ↔ +0.03 | above_value | -0.45 | — | #229458 | 0.41 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.01% | -0.26 |
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 12:11
|
|
15m
#486952
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.592 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 7b -0.9ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.40 | 23% | ↔ -0.13 | above_value | +0.14 | — | #229267 | 0.45 | range_low | -0.64% | -0.01 |
02/11 11:45
upd 02/11 12:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 2.272×ATR | p0 | -0.161×ATR | p9 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 3.036×ATR | p41 | +0.283×ATR | p14 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.663×ATR | p13 | -0.934×ATR | p48 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.058×ATR | p65 | -0.93×ATR | p54 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
3.1882
3.08455
3.136375
1793487600
1793638800
1.7827
43
0.8569
1793635200
3.08455
0.6977
1
0.5547
1
1
11
9
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (26)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:16 | 3.05230000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:24 | 3.05230000 | 0% |
| 3 | 12:35 | 3.05230000 | 0% |
| 4 | 12:44 | 3.07830000 | +0.852% |
| 5 | 12:53 | 3.07830000 | +0.852% |
| 6 | 13:04 | 3.07830000 | +0.852% |
| 7 | 13:17 | 3.07420000 | +0.717% |
| 8 | 13:27 | 3.07420000 | +0.717% |
| 9 | 13:38 | 3.07560000 | +0.763% |
| 10 | 13:48 | 3.07560000 | +0.763% |
| 11 | 13:56 | 3.07560000 | +0.763% |
| 12 | 14:12 | 3.05210000 | -0.007% |
| 13 | 14:26 | 3.05210000 | -0.007% |
| 14 | 14:41 | 3.04910000 | -0.105% |
| 15 | 14:52 | 3.04910000 | -0.105% |
| 16 | 15:01 | 3.04910000 | -0.105% |
| 17 | 15:42 | 3.07970000 | +0.898% |
| 18 | 15:51 | 3.07970000 | +0.898% |
| 19 | 15:59 | 3.07970000 | +0.898% |
| 20 | 16:10 | 3.06340000 | +0.364% |
| 21 | 16:19 | 3.06340000 | +0.364% |
| 22 | 16:27 | 3.06340000 | +0.364% |
| 23 | 16:38 | 3.04670000 | -0.183% |
| 24 | 16:47 | 3.04670000 | -0.183% |
| 25 | 16:55 | 3.04670000 | -0.183% |
| 26 | 17:09 | 3.04670000 | -0.183% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0523 | 3.1422 | 2.8276 | 2.5 | 3.2708 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.1422 - 3.0523 = 0.0899
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.0523 - 2.8276 = 0.2247
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2247 / 0.0899 = 2.4994
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 271.65 | 100 | 88.9984 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0899 = 88.99
Taille de position USD = 88.99 x 3.0523 = 271.62
Donc, tu peux acheter 88.99 avec un stoploss a 3.1422
Avec un position size USD de 271.62$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 88.99 x 0.0899 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 88.99 x 0.2247 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.36 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.95 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.95 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.1353 % | 106.45 % | 31 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0523 | 3.1422 | 2.8276 | 2.5 | 3.2708 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.1422 - 3.0523 = 0.0899
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.0523 - 2.8276 = 0.2247
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2247 / 0.0899 = 2.4994
Array
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)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.569% | 0.5R | -1.697% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.569% | 0.5R | -1.697% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.569% | 0.5R | -2.080% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.569% | 0.5R | -2.513% | 0.9R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.569% | 0.5R | -3.135% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.569% | 0.5R | -13.721% | 4.7R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.569% | 0.5R | -13.721% | 4.7R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.569% | 0.5R | -17.171% | 5.8R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.569% | 0.5R | -17.171% | 5.8R | 0.1× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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