02 Nov 2026 at 12:37:48 hyperliquid

Short Trade on OP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 2746.13 OP at 0.11$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1031 (6.61 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1133 (2.63 %)

OP SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 12:37 → 00:35 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.1104$

Qty 2746.1305 OP

Size 303.1453$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1031 (+6.61%)

TP $ 20.05$

SL 0.1133 (-2.63%)

SL $ 7.96$

RR 2.52

Status win PnL +2.28% / +6.92$ MAE -1.10% MFE +2.68% 1.0R expires 03 Nov 00:37 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 241390)
#12 / 63
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4660

Quality Score
0.576
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#12 / 63
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#12 / 63
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.73×ATR
4h clear 4.65×ATR
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 12:30
Coin Market Regime V2

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/11 07:00

Tactical (1H) : range_high (0)

02/11 11:00

Score : +2 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7646
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 21.5%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.076
Δ 4h
▼-0.176
Δ 12h
▼-0.289
Δ 24h
→-0.015

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 12.5%
1h 58.3%
4h 12.5%
24h 14.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 12.5% -0.18%
4h 39.6% -0.85%
24h 20.8% -2.40%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
12.5%
Expansion
12.5%
Tail ↑
+0.54
Tail ↓
+0.52
Dispersion : 0.194
Universe : 48 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 12:31 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3203
Score SMA
0.3663
Rank
#40 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3036
Rank Norm SMA
0.4504
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2084 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.57% · r3d: -0.03% · ema21_slope: -0.8828% · dist_ema21: -5.651%
Force Relative 25% 0.4765 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.83% · rs_3d: 4.63% · beta_24h: 3.158
Volume 20% 0.2924 rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: -0.240 · trend: 1.67%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5342 ADX: 17.7 (weak) · Chop: 52.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.232% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.5759
Score SMA
0.5215
Rank
#12 / 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4660
Rank Norm SMA
0.4456
Calculé le
02/11/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4251 r1h: -0.428% · r4h: -2.426% · r1d: -2.42% · r3d: 2.05% · ema21_slope: -0.0241% · dist_ema21: -1.208%
Force Relative 25% 0.4376 rs_1h: -0.391% · rs_4h: -2.001% · rs_1d: -1.59% · rs_3d: 1.85% · beta_24h: 0.904
Volume 20% 0.8217 rvol_20: 2.43× · zscore_50: 1.692 · trend: 180.65%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4978 ADX: 10.6 (weak) · Chop: 49.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.132% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.5888
Score SMA
0.4770
Rank
#5 / 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7088
Rank Norm SMA
0.3977
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4635 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.014% · r1d: -1.68% · r3d: 3.74% · ema21_slope: 0.0986% · dist_ema21: -0.401%
Force Relative 25% 0.5330 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.543% · rs_1d: -1.09% · rs_3d: 3.85% · beta_24h: 1.741
Volume 20% 0.9597 rvol_20: 4.09× · zscore_50: 3.073 · trend: 69.77%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.1640 ADX: 12.5 (weak) · Chop: 92.6 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.807% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.627% (0.0029)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.525% 0.2R -1.096% 0.4R 0.5× 12
2h +1.069% 0.4R -1.096% 0.4R 1.0× 24
4h +1.232% 0.5R -1.096% 0.4R 1.1× 48
8h +1.567% 0.6R -1.096% 0.4R 1.4× 96
12h ★ +2.681% 1.0R -1.096% 0.4R 2.5× 144
24h +3.071% 1.2R -3.460% 1.3R 0.9× 288
36h +4.547% 1.7R -3.460% 1.3R 1.3× 432
48h +4.547% 1.7R -5.625% 2.1R 0.8× 576
72h +9.502% 3.6R -5.625% 2.1R 1.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 2002 min MAE in 1192 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.76
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d —
4h ↓ down range range strong grind compression bear_high
65%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.56 bear_high -3.28% +0.75 02/11 07:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong balanced expansion range_high
38%
noisy_chop 39% mid near -1.7ATR — 0.66 bear_medium_confirmed -1.01% -0.11 02/11 11:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading volatile_reversal bear_medium_confirmed
49%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.50 bear_low_confirmed -1.04% -0.23 02/11 12:15
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d Pas de snapshot
4h
#486579
↓ down range range strong grind 0.323 compression bear_high
65%
noisy_chop 38% early 15b -0.2ATR — — 4.09 94% ↓ -0.65 above_value -0.57 — #229215 0.56 bear_high -3.28% +0.75
02/11 07:00
upd 02/11 11:12
1h anchor
#486964
↔ neutral range range strong balanced 0.639 expansion range_high
38%
noisy_chop 39% mid 3b -1.1ATR near -1.7ATR — 2.43 96% ↑ +0.96 above_value -0.76 — #229405 0.66 bear_medium_confirmed -1.01% -0.11
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 12:09
15m
#487097
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.608 volatile_reversal bear_medium_confirmed
49%
noisy_chop 47% late 3b -2.5ATR — — 0.94 97% ↑ +0.82 above_value -0.76 — #229405 0.50 bear_low_confirmed -1.04% -0.23
02/11 12:15
upd 02/11 12:30
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
4h ↓ down early 15b — 3.053×ATR p43 -0.206×ATR p11
1h ↓ down mid 3b — 2.782×ATR p57 -1.093×ATR p65
15m ↓ down late 3b — 2.424×ATR p34 -2.475×ATR p98

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.7864
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.09×ATR dur=45b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.11330319
  5. tp_price: 0.10310703
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.78643058967028
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-11-03T05:37:40.225341
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.78643058967028
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0418
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0627
  15. micro_price : 0.11071093
  16. spread_pct : 0.090334
  17. mid_price : 0.11075
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.11
  19. bid_wall_size : 5725064.48
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.112
  22. ask_wall_size : 3925480.9
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.0216
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0175
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6836
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.11454
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.111805
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.1131725
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793480400
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793638800
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.0928
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    45
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7864
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793635200
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.111805
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8667
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    1.0827
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    14
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    5
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00130688
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
45
inside_close_ratio
0.8667
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0827

Signaux confirmants (30)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 12:37 0.11039000 -0.009%
2 12:46 0.11039000 -0.009%
3 12:55 0.11039000 -0.009%
4 13:08 0.11099000 +0.534%
5 13:19 0.11099000 +0.534%
6 13:30 0.11099000 +0.534%
7 13:40 0.10998000 -0.38%
8 13:58 0.10998000 -0.38%
9 14:14 0.11006000 -0.308%
10 14:29 0.11006000 -0.308%
11 14:45 0.10987000 -0.48%
12 14:54 0.10987000 -0.48%
13 15:05 0.10987000 -0.48%
14 15:17 0.11003000 -0.335%
15 15:26 0.11003000 -0.335%
16 16:12 0.10996000 -0.399%
17 16:21 0.10996000 -0.399%
18 16:29 0.10996000 -0.399%
19 16:40 0.11021000 -0.172%
20 16:49 0.11021000 -0.172%
21 16:58 0.11021000 -0.172%
22 17:13 0.11083000 +0.389%
23 17:24 0.11083000 +0.389%
24 17:34 0.11083000 +0.389%
25 17:42 0.11002000 -0.344%
26 17:51 0.11002000 -0.344%
27 17:59 0.11002000 -0.344%
28 18:10 0.11000000 -0.362%
29 18:18 0.11000000 -0.362%
30 18:26 0.11000000 -0.362%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6836ms Confidence avant OB : 79% → 79%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.042
avg 0.022 ± 0.018
OBI Top 10 0.063

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1108
Micro Price
0.1107
Spread
0.0903%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.1100
Size
5,725,064.48

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.1120
Size
3,925,480.90

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1104 0.1133 0.1031 2.52 0.09386
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1104
  • Stop Loss: 0.1133
  • Take Profit: 0.1031

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1133 - 0.1104 = 0.0029

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1104 - 0.1031 = 0.0073

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0073 / 0.0029 = 2.5172

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
303.1453 100 2746.1305 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0029

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0029 = 2758.62

Taille de position USD = 2758.62 x 0.1104 = 304.55

Donc, tu peux acheter 2758.62 avec un stoploss a 0.1133

Avec un position size USD de 304.55$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2758.62 x 0.0029 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2758.62 x 0.0073 = 20.14

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.14$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2758.62
  • Taille de position USD 304.55
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.14
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5172

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
6.61 % 20.05 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.63 % 7.96 $
PNL PNL %
6.92 $ 2.28
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.096 % 41.72 % 12
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1104 0.1133 0.1031 2.52 0.09386
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1104
  • Stop Loss: 0.1133
  • Take Profit: 0.1031

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1133 - 0.1104 = 0.0029

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1104 - 0.1031 = 0.0073

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0073 / 0.0029 = 2.5172

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.627% (0.0029)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.525% 0.2R -1.096% 0.4R 0.5× 12
2h +1.069% 0.4R -1.096% 0.4R 1.0× 24
4h +1.232% 0.5R -1.096% 0.4R 1.1× 48
8h +1.567% 0.6R -1.096% 0.4R 1.4× 96
12h ★ +2.681% 1.0R -1.096% 0.4R 2.5× 144
24h +3.071% 1.2R -3.460% 1.3R 0.9× 288
36h +4.547% 1.7R -3.460% 1.3R 1.3× 432
48h +4.547% 1.7R -5.625% 2.1R 0.8× 576
72h +9.502% 3.6R -5.625% 2.1R 1.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 2002 min MAE in 1192 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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