Short Trade on ASTER (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1241.01 ASTER at 0.693$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6767 (2.32 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6992 (0.92 %)
Short Trade on ASTER (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1241.01 ASTER at 0.693$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6767 (2.32 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6992 (0.92 %)
Position
Entry 0.6928$
Qty 1241.0066 ASTER
Size 859.7694$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6767 (+2.32%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 0.6992 (-0.92%)
SL $ 7.94$
RR 2.52
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3782
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.92×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.27×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.22×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 02/11 12:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 33.3% |
| 1h | 8.3% |
| 4h | 6.3% |
| 24h | 8.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 29.2% | -0.05% |
| 4h | 18.8% | -1.88% |
| 24h | 16.7% | -3.69% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4527 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.01% · r3d: 1.61% · ema21_slope: -0.0804% · dist_ema21: -0.596% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5261 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.03% · rs_3d: 1.12% · beta_24h: 0.875 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1828 | rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.789 · trend: -31.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4700 | ADX: 23.3 (weak) · Chop: 65.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6656 | ATR%: 4.003% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4385 | r1h: -0.981% · r4h: -1.331% · r1d: -1.07% · r3d: 2.02% · ema21_slope: -0.0120% · dist_ema21: -1.011% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4879 | rs_1h: -0.541% · rs_4h: -0.300% · rs_1d: -0.03% · rs_3d: 2.04% · beta_24h: 0.851 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3383 | rvol_20: 1.10× · zscore_50: 0.008 · trend: -18.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6036 | ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 43.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.627% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4838 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.537% · r1d: -0.64% · r3d: 2.61% · ema21_slope: 0.0223% · dist_ema21: -0.389% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5282 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.065% · rs_1d: -0.05% · rs_3d: 2.72% · beta_24h: 0.786 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2817 | rvol_20: 0.99× · zscore_50: -0.210 · trend: -37.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3315 | ADX: 11.4 (weak) · Chop: 70.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.232% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.648% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.671% | 0.7R | -0.173% | 0.2R | 3.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.671% | 0.7R | -0.694% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.671% | 0.7R | -1.165% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.671% | 0.7R | -1.165% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.671% | 0.7R | -1.682% | 1.8R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.827% | 0.9R | -1.735% | 1.9R | 0.5× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.827% | 0.9R | -2.799% | 3.0R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.674% | 1.8R | -3.176% | 3.4R | 0.5× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.59 | range_high | +0.70% | +0.58 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | — | 0.59 | bear_high | -3.28% | +0.18 | 02/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | — | 0.70 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.42% | -0.01 | 02/11 12:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_low |
34%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.55 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.00% | -0.04 | 02/11 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482052
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.405 | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early 32b -0.2ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.57 | 29% | ↓ -0.25 | above_value | -3.25 | — | #227353 | 0.59 | range_high | +0.70% | +0.58 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:21
|
|
4h
#486690
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | 0.344 | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid 21b -0.4ATR | — | — | 0.99 | 45% | ↓ -0.23 | above_value | -0.03 | — | #229262 | 0.59 | bear_high | -3.28% | +0.18 |
02/11 07:00
upd 02/11 11:18
|
|
1h
anchor #487343
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.549 | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late 4b -1.6ATR | — | — | 1.10 | 61% | ↓ -0.20 | value | -2.22 | — | #229579 | 0.70 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.42% | -0.01 |
02/11 12:00
upd 02/11 13:12
|
|
15m
#487277
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.510 | volatile_reversal | bear_low |
34%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 3b -1.8ATR | — | — | 0.74 | 67% | ↓ -0.41 | above_value | -0.42 | — | #229452 | 0.55 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.00% | -0.04 |
02/11 12:45
upd 02/11 13:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 32b | — | 2.922×ATR | p8 | -0.175×ATR | p18 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 21b | — | 4.262×ATR | p74 | -0.403×ATR | p35 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 2.773×ATR | p60 | -1.586×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 2.824×ATR | p59 | -1.789×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.703085
0.69457
0.6988275
1793498400
1793642400
2.0328
41
0.9251
1793638800
0.69457
0.9268
1
0.4226
0
4
5
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (20)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:16 | 0.69280000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:27 | 0.69280000 | 0% |
| 3 | 13:38 | 0.68960000 | -0.462% |
| 4 | 13:47 | 0.68960000 | -0.462% |
| 5 | 13:54 | 0.68960000 | -0.462% |
| 6 | 14:11 | 0.69031000 | -0.359% |
| 7 | 14:24 | 0.69031000 | -0.359% |
| 8 | 14:40 | 0.68983000 | -0.429% |
| 9 | 14:51 | 0.68983000 | -0.429% |
| 10 | 15:00 | 0.68983000 | -0.429% |
| 11 | 15:14 | 0.69298000 | +0.026% |
| 12 | 15:23 | 0.69298000 | +0.026% |
| 13 | 15:33 | 0.69298000 | +0.026% |
| 14 | 15:42 | 0.69206000 | -0.107% |
| 15 | 15:50 | 0.69206000 | -0.107% |
| 16 | 15:59 | 0.69206000 | -0.107% |
| 17 | 16:09 | 0.69284000 | +0.006% |
| 18 | 16:18 | 0.69284000 | +0.006% |
| 19 | 16:27 | 0.69284000 | +0.006% |
| 20 | 16:37 | 0.69284000 | +0.006% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6928 | 0.6992 | 0.6767 | 2.52 | 0.6368 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6992 - 0.6928 = 0.0064000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6928 - 0.6767 = 0.0161
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0161 / 0.0064000000000001 = 2.5156
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 859.7694 | 100 | 1241.0066 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0064000000000001 = 1250
Taille de position USD = 1250 x 0.6928 = 866
Donc, tu peux acheter 1250 avec un stoploss a 0.6992
Avec un position size USD de 866$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1250 x 0.0064000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1250 x 0.0161 = 20.13
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.13$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.32 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.92 % | 7.94 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.94 $ | -0.92 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9671 % | 104.69 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6928 | 0.6992 | 0.6767 | 2.52 | 0.6368 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6992 - 0.6928 = 0.0064000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6928 - 0.6767 = 0.0161
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0161 / 0.0064000000000001 = 2.5156
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6767
[entry_price] => 0.6928
[stop_loss] => 0.69984
[rr_ratio] => 2.29
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 00:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.648% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.671% | 0.7R | -0.173% | 0.2R | 3.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.671% | 0.7R | -0.694% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.671% | 0.7R | -1.165% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.671% | 0.7R | -1.165% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.671% | 0.7R | -1.682% | 1.8R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.827% | 0.9R | -1.735% | 1.9R | 0.5× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.827% | 0.9R | -2.799% | 3.0R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.674% | 1.8R | -3.176% | 3.4R | 0.5× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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