Short Trade on USELESS (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1070.42 USELESS at 0.122$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1038 (15.27 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1299 (6.04 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 13:18:44
hyperliquid
USELESS
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 13:18
→ 01:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1225$
Qty 1070.4217 USELESS
Size 131.0945$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1038 (+15.27%)
TP $ 20.02$
SL 0.1299 (-6.04%)
SL $ 7.92$
RR 2.53
Status
win
PnL
+1.53%
/ +2$
MAE -2.14%
MFE +2.58%
0.4R
expires
03 Nov 01:18
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241510)
#53 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 13:00
score du 02/11/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1923
Quality Score
0.440
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#53 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#53 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.48×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 13:18
02/11 13:18
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7649
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
12.8%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.017
Δ 1h
▼-0.088
Δ 4h
▼-0.391
Δ 12h
▼-0.243
Δ 24h
→+0.005
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 78.7% |
| 1h | 80.9% |
| 4h | 4.3% |
| 24h | 14.9% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 44.7% | +0.15% |
| 4h | 25.5% | -1.59% |
| 24h | 19.2% | -2.99% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
27.7%
Expansion
27.7%
Tail ↑
+0.56
Tail ↓
+0.45
Dispersion :
0.183
Universe :
47
(-1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 13:16
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2566
Score SMA
0.2362
Rank
#49
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0400
Rank Norm SMA
0.0595
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2152 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.37% · r3d: 2.43% · ema21_slope: -1.2271% · dist_ema21: -18.088% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2995 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.35% · rs_3d: 1.94% · beta_24h: 4.296 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2427 | rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: -0.669 · trend: -25.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4576 | ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 63.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 18.395% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.4397
Score SMA
0.4562
Rank
#53
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1923
Rank Norm SMA
0.2581
Calculé le
02/11/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2452 | r1h: -3.782% · r4h: -4.490% · r1d: -5.72% · r3d: -8.81% · ema21_slope: -0.1919% · dist_ema21: -4.133% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1712 | rs_1h: -3.341% · rs_4h: -3.460% · rs_1d: -4.68% · rs_3d: -8.79% · beta_24h: 4.073 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9278 | rvol_20: 4.43× · zscore_50: 2.403 · trend: 75.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6046 | ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 40.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.638% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.3172
Score SMA
0.3390
Rank
#62
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0081
Rank Norm SMA
0.0877
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2782 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.894% · r1d: -3.12% · r3d: -7.78% · ema21_slope: -0.5069% · dist_ema21: -4.265% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3389 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.365% · rs_1d: -2.53% · rs_3d: -7.67% · beta_24h: 4.342 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3896 | rvol_20: 1.43× · zscore_50: 0.100 · trend: -24.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3114 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 81.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2440 | ATR%: 5.268% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -6.041%
(0.0074)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.939% | 0.2R | -0.669% | 0.1R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.812% | 0.3R | -0.857% | 0.1R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.812% | 0.3R | -1.592% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.580% | 0.4R | -1.592% | 0.3R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.580% | 0.4R | -2.139% | 0.4R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.922% | 0.5R | -5.518% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.922% | 0.5R | -13.045% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.922% | 0.5R | -22.449% | 3.7R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.922% | 0.5R | -22.449% | 3.7R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 856 min
MAE in 2156 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.51
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | — | range_high | +0.70% | -0.98 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -3.28% | -0.32 | 02/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
45%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.66 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.42% | -0.56 | 02/11 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.68 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.00% | -0.28 | 02/11 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482073
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 39b -1.4ATR | — | — | 0.84 | 20% | ↑ +0.15 | above_value | -0.56 | — | #227360 | — | range_high | +0.70% | -0.98 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:22
|
|
4h
#486711
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.487 | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 18b -1.1ATR | — | — | 1.43 | 70% | ↓ -0.17 | above_value | -1.57 | — | #229269 | 0.61 | bear_high | -3.28% | -0.32 |
02/11 07:00
upd 02/11 11:19
|
|
1h
anchor #487352
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.493 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
45%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 2b -1.7ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 4.43 | 96% | ↑ +0.54 | value | -3.78 | — | #229588 | 0.66 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.42% | -0.56 |
02/11 12:00
upd 02/11 13:12
|
|
15m
#487286
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.494 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 11b -2.2ATR | — | — | 1.38 | 93% | ↑ +0.33 | above_value | -2.22 | — | #229460 | 0.68 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.00% | -0.28 |
02/11 12:45
upd 02/11 13:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 39b | — | 9.328×ATR | — | -1.378×ATR | p62 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 18b | — | 2.275×ATR | p13 | -1.083×ATR | p55 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.83×ATR | p48 | -1.736×ATR | p80 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 5.633×ATR | p89 | -2.226×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7832
- reason: down_bo width=2.78×ATR dur=45b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.12994369
- tp_price: 0.10378578
- atr:
- score: 0.78320601084875
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T06:18:36.691624
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.78320601084875
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0984
- obi_top10 : 0.1258
- micro_price : 0.12235948
- spread_pct : 0.155407
- mid_price : 0.122355
- bid_wall_price : 0.119
- bid_wall_size : 513504.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.124
- ask_wall_size : 403133
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0954
- obi_top5_std : 0.0073
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7025
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.133995
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.125265
- balance_zone_mid:
0.12963
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793484000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793642400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.783
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
45
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7832
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793638800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.125265
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8444
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.891
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00313689 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
45
inside_close_ratio
0.8444
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.891
Signaux confirmants (13)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:18 | 0.12247000 | -0.024% |
| 2 | 13:29 | 0.12247000 | -0.024% |
| 3 | 13:39 | 0.12243000 | -0.057% |
| 4 | 13:49 | 0.12243000 | -0.057% |
| 5 | 13:57 | 0.12243000 | -0.057% |
| 6 | 14:13 | 0.12213000 | -0.302% |
| 7 | 14:27 | 0.12213000 | -0.302% |
| 8 | 14:42 | 0.12098000 | -1.241% |
| 9 | 14:53 | 0.12098000 | -1.241% |
| 10 | 15:03 | 0.12098000 | -1.241% |
| 11 | 15:15 | 0.12307000 | +0.465% |
| 12 | 15:25 | 0.12307000 | +0.465% |
| 13 | 15:35 | 0.12307000 | +0.465% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7025ms
Confidence avant OB :
78%
→
78%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.098
avg 0.095
± 0.007
OBI Top 10
0.126
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1224
Micro Price
0.1224
Spread
0.1554%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1190
Size
513,504.20
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1240
Size
403,133.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1225 | 0.1299 | 0.1038 | 2.53 | 0.1165 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1225
- Stop Loss: 0.1299
- Take Profit: 0.1038
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1299 - 0.1225 = 0.0074
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1225 - 0.1038 = 0.0187
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0187 / 0.0074 = 2.527
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 131.0945 | 100 | 1070.4217 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0074
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0074 = 1081.08
Taille de position USD = 1081.08 x 0.1225 = 132.43
Donc, tu peux acheter 1081.08 avec un stoploss a 0.1299
Avec un position size USD de 132.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1081.08 x 0.0074 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1081.08 x 0.0187 = 20.22
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.22$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1081.08
- Taille de position USD 132.43
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.22
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.527
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 15.27 % | 20.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.04 % | 7.92 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2 $ | 1.53 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1388 % | 35.41 % | 16 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1225 | 0.1299 | 0.1038 | 2.53 | 0.1165 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1225
- Stop Loss: 0.1299
- Take Profit: 0.1038
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1299 - 0.1225 = 0.0074
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1225 - 0.1038 = 0.0187
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0187 / 0.0074 = 2.527
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -6.041%
(0.0074)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.939% | 0.2R | -0.669% | 0.1R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.812% | 0.3R | -0.857% | 0.1R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.812% | 0.3R | -1.592% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.580% | 0.4R | -1.592% | 0.3R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.580% | 0.4R | -2.139% | 0.4R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.922% | 0.5R | -5.518% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.922% | 0.5R | -13.045% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.922% | 0.5R | -22.449% | 3.7R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.922% | 0.5R | -22.449% | 3.7R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 856 min
MAE in 2156 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.