Short Trade on PURR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1356.82 PURR at 0.114$ per unit. Take profit: 0.09888 (12.96 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1195 (5.19 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 15:12:00
hyperliquid
PURR
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 15:12
→ 03:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1136$
Qty 1356.8222 PURR
Size 154.1621$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.09888 (+12.96%)
TP $ 19.97$
SL 0.1195 (-5.19%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.49
Status
win
PnL
+0.50%
/ +0.77$
MAE -1.69%
MFE +1.74%
0.3R
expires
03 Nov 03:11
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241615)
#45 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 15:00
score du 02/11/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2420
Quality Score
0.445
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#45 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
68 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
N/A
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#45 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
68 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 15:02
02/11 15:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
— |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7656
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
11.6%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.002
Δ 1h
→+0.011
Δ 4h
▼-0.384
Δ 12h
→+0.004
Δ 24h
→+0.038
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 59.2% |
| 1h | 20.4% |
| 4h | 6.1% |
| 24h | 10.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 63.3% | +0.05% |
| 4h | 20.4% | -1.86% |
| 24h | 18.4% | -3.70% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
44.9%
Expansion
44.9%
Tail ↑
+0.78
Tail ↓
+0.40
Dispersion :
0.161
Universe :
49
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 15:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4437
Score SMA
0.4278
Rank
#14
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7679
Rank Norm SMA
0.4926
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4606 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -7.55% · r3d: 15.09% · ema21_slope: -0.2586% · dist_ema21: 7.389% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5754 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -7.81% · rs_3d: 19.74% · beta_24h: 1.155 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3363 | rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: -0.432 · trend: 32.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6293 | ADX: 21.7 (weak) · Chop: 44.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 12.266% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.4448
Score SMA
0.5506
Rank
#45
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2420
Rank Norm SMA
0.5782
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2420 | r1h: -0.219% · r4h: -8.805% · r1d: -6.78% · r3d: -12.04% · ema21_slope: -0.1959% · dist_ema21: -6.665% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1861 | rs_1h: -0.324% · rs_4h: -8.260% · rs_1d: -5.88% · rs_3d: -12.23% · beta_24h: 4.374 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9434 | rvol_20: 3.26× · zscore_50: 2.152 · trend: 134.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6565 | ADX: 18.8 (weak) · Chop: 22.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.629% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3638
Score SMA
0.5198
Rank
#51
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5644
Rank Norm SMA
0.5661
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3693 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -8.805% · r1d: -6.78% · r3d: -12.04% · ema21_slope: 0.0190% · dist_ema21: -7.190% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2913 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -8.260% · rs_1d: -5.88% · rs_3d: -12.23% · beta_24h: 2.258 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6679 | rvol_20: 3.06× · zscore_50: 0.369 · trend: -17.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5583 | ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 57.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1154 | ATR%: 5.654% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.194%
(0.0059)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.423% | 0.1R | -1.136% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.423% | 0.1R | -1.312% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.423% | 0.1R | -1.690% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.743% | 0.3R | -1.690% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.743% | 0.3R | -1.690% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.743% | 0.3R | -5.361% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 36h | +6.620% | 1.3R | -5.361% | 1.0R | 1.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +6.620% | 1.3R | -9.507% | 1.8R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.863% | 2.1R | -9.507% | 1.8R | 1.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1848 min
MAE in 1068 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.8
Prediction Score: N/A
No context market snapshot
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.6847
- reason: down_bo width=1.58×ATR dur=56b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)|ob:obi_bullish(-0.05)
- stop_price: 0.11951613
- tp_price: 0.09887969
- atr:
- score: 0.83466
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T08:11:52.826974
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83466
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.946
- obi_top10 : 0.3634
- micro_price : 9.9135
- spread_pct : 0.070636
- mid_price : 9.9135
- bid_wall_price : 9.84
- bid_wall_size : 7458.93
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 10.03
- ask_wall_size : 6096.71
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.9307
- obi_top5_std : 0.0086
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7001
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.12167
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.11674
- balance_zone_mid:
0.119205
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793451600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793649600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.5846
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
56
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8347
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793638800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.11674
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.875
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
3
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.0028
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00311126 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
56
inside_close_ratio
0.875
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0028
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7001ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
68%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.946
avg 0.931
± 0.009
OBI Top 10
0.363
Microstructure
Mid Price
9.9135
Micro Price
9.9135
Spread
0.0706%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
9.8400
Size
7,458.93
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
10.0300
Size
6,096.71
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1136 | 0.1195 | 0.09888 | 2.49 | 0.09178 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1136
- Stop Loss: 0.1195
- Take Profit: 0.09888
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1195 - 0.1136 = 0.0059
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1136 - 0.09888 = 0.01472
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.01472 / 0.0059 = 2.4949
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154.1621 | 100 | 1356.8222 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0059
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0059 = 1355.93
Taille de position USD = 1355.93 x 0.1136 = 154.03
Donc, tu peux acheter 1355.93 avec un stoploss a 0.1195
Avec un position size USD de 154.03$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1355.93 x 0.0059 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1355.93 x 0.01472 = 19.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.96$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1355.93
- Taille de position USD 154.03
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.96
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4949
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 12.96 % | 19.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.19 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.77 $ | 0.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6901 % | 32.54 % | 23 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1136 | 0.1195 | 0.09888 | 2.49 | 0.09178 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1136
- Stop Loss: 0.1195
- Take Profit: 0.09888
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1195 - 0.1136 = 0.0059
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1136 - 0.09888 = 0.01472
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.01472 / 0.0059 = 2.4949
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.194%
(0.0059)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.423% | 0.1R | -1.136% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.423% | 0.1R | -1.312% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.423% | 0.1R | -1.690% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.743% | 0.3R | -1.690% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.743% | 0.3R | -1.690% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.743% | 0.3R | -5.361% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 36h | +6.620% | 1.3R | -5.361% | 1.0R | 1.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +6.620% | 1.3R | -9.507% | 1.8R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.863% | 2.1R | -9.507% | 1.8R | 1.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1848 min
MAE in 1068 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.