Short Trade on ZK (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 29937.88 ZK at 0.0101$ per unit. Take profit: 0.009417 (6.58 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01035 (2.68 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 14:37:28
hyperliquid
ZK
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 14:37
→ 02:30
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.01008$
Qty 29937.8789 ZK
Size 301.9235$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.009417 (+6.58%)
TP $ 19.85$
SL 0.01035 (-2.68%)
SL $ 8.08$
RR 2.46
Status
win
PnL
+0.80%
/ +2.43$
MAE -1.07%
MFE +1.98%
0.7R
expires
03 Nov 02:37
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: )
#62 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Avg Rank 8h:
Quality Score
N/A
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#62 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
N/A
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.68 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#62 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.68 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
315,613 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 14:31
02/11 14:31
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
— |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7654
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
11.8%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.014
Δ 4h
▼-0.418
Δ 12h
→+0.013
Δ 24h
→+0.029
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 54.2% |
| 1h | 16.7% |
| 4h | 2.1% |
| 24h | 10.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 39.6% | +0.03% |
| 4h | 22.9% | -1.65% |
| 24h | 18.8% | -3.38% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
31.3%
Expansion
31.3%
Tail ↑
+0.63
Tail ↓
+0.40
Dispersion :
0.168
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 14:31
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
Quality score non disponible pour ce trade.
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.679%
(0.0003)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.645% | 0.2R | -1.071% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.645% | 0.2R | -1.071% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.645% | 0.2R | -1.071% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.984% | 0.7R | -1.071% | 0.4R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.984% | 0.7R | -1.071% | 0.4R | 1.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.984% | 0.7R | -3.482% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 288 |
| 36h | +3.671% | 1.4R | -3.482% | 1.3R | 1.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.671% | 1.4R | -5.089% | 1.9R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.407% | 3.9R | -5.089% | 1.9R | 2.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1882 min
MAE in 1072 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.52
Prediction Score: N/A
No context market snapshot
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8846
- reason: down_bo width=2.38×ATR dur=34b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.01035222
- tp_price: 0.00941695
- atr:
- score: 0.88460177357925
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T07:37:20.546075
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.88460177357925
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0226
- obi_top10 : 0.0215
- micro_price : 0.01003519
- spread_pct : 0.199601
- mid_price : 0.01003
- bid_wall_price : 0.01
- bid_wall_size : 13252661.8
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0101
- ask_wall_size : 12861853.8
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0336
- obi_top5_std : 0.0101
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6988
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.010491
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.010188
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0103395
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793527200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793646000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.3818
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
34
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8846
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793642400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.010188
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7647
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.8097
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
9
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00012721 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
34
inside_close_ratio
0.7647
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.8097
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6988ms
Confidence avant OB :
88%
→
88%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.023
avg 0.034
± 0.010
OBI Top 10
0.022
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0100
Micro Price
0.0100
Spread
0.1996%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0100
Size
13,252,661.80
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0101
Size
12,861,853.80
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01008 | 0.01035 | 0.009417 | 2.46 | 0.008803 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01008
- Stop Loss: 0.01035
- Take Profit: 0.009417
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01035 - 0.01008 = 0.00027
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01008 - 0.009417 = 0.000663
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000663 / 0.00027 = 2.4556
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 301.9235 | 100 | 29937.8789 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00027
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00027 = 29629.63
Taille de position USD = 29629.63 x 0.01008 = 298.67
Donc, tu peux acheter 29629.63 avec un stoploss a 0.01035
Avec un position size USD de 298.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 29629.63 x 0.00027 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 29629.63 x 0.000663 = 19.64
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.64$
Résumé
- Taille de position 29629.63
- Taille de position USD 298.67
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.64
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4556
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.58 % | 19.85 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.68 % | 8.08 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.43 $ | 0.80 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0714 % | 40 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01008 | 0.01035 | 0.009417 | 2.46 | 0.008803 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01008
- Stop Loss: 0.01035
- Take Profit: 0.009417
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01035 - 0.01008 = 0.00027
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01008 - 0.009417 = 0.000663
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000663 / 0.00027 = 2.4556
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.679%
(0.0003)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.645% | 0.2R | -1.071% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.645% | 0.2R | -1.071% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.645% | 0.2R | -1.071% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.984% | 0.7R | -1.071% | 0.4R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.984% | 0.7R | -1.071% | 0.4R | 1.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.984% | 0.7R | -3.482% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 288 |
| 36h | +3.671% | 1.4R | -3.482% | 1.3R | 1.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.671% | 1.4R | -5.089% | 1.9R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.407% | 3.9R | -5.089% | 1.9R | 2.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1882 min
MAE in 1072 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.