Short Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 503.72 INIT at 0.136$ per unit. Take profit: 0.133 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1523 (11.66 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 15:15:08
hyperliquid
INIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 15:15
→ 16:25
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.1364$
Qty 503.7203 INIT
Size 68.7125$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.133 (+2.49%)
TP $ 1.71$
SL 0.1523 (-11.66%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.21
Status
win
PnL
+2.49%
/ +1.71$
MAE -0.67%
MFE +3.59%
0.3R
expires
02 Nov 21:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241622)
#64 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 15:00
score du 02/11/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0000
Quality Score
0.219
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#64 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.66 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#64 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.66 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.74×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.70×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.18×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.86
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD TRADE
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 15:02
02/11 15:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 02/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 13:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7656
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
11.6%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.002
Δ 1h
→+0.011
Δ 4h
▼-0.384
Δ 12h
→+0.004
Δ 24h
→+0.038
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 59.2% |
| 1h | 20.4% |
| 4h | 6.1% |
| 24h | 10.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 63.3% | +0.05% |
| 4h | 20.4% | -1.86% |
| 24h | 18.4% | -3.70% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
44.9%
Expansion
44.9%
Tail ↑
+0.78
Tail ↓
+0.40
Dispersion :
0.161
Universe :
49
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 15:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.6456
Score SMA
0.7819
Rank
#1
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.9984
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8086 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.87% · r3d: -14.30% · ema21_slope: 3.2422% · dist_ema21: 18.230% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6374 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.85% · rs_3d: -14.79% · beta_24h: 1.177 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4859 | rvol_20: 0.86× · zscore_50: 0.429 · trend: 102.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9764 | ADX: 57.2 (trend) · Chop: 19.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 14.567% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.2185
Score SMA
0.5195
Rank
#64
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.5005
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0365 | r1h: -0.831% · r4h: -4.014% · r1d: -27.53% · r3d: -28.69% · ema21_slope: -1.1107% · dist_ema21: -12.547% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1387 | rs_1h: -0.936% · rs_4h: -3.470% · rs_1d: -26.63% · rs_3d: -28.88% · beta_24h: 0.155 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2331 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.221 · trend: -14.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7124 | ADX: 26.9 (trend) · Chop: 39.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3538 | ATR%: 4.939% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.2457
Score SMA
0.5465
Rank
#63
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.6487
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1568 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.014% · r1d: -27.53% · r3d: -28.69% · ema21_slope: -0.6738% · dist_ema21: -21.615% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1483 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.470% · rs_1d: -26.63% · rs_3d: -28.88% · beta_24h: -0.544 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3242 | rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: -0.404 · trend: 12.13% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6153 | ADX: 22.7 (weak) · Chop: 47.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.868% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -11.657%
(0.0159)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.287% | 0.2R | -0.675% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.544% | 0.2R | -0.675% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.735% | 0.2R | -0.675% | 0.1R | 4.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.585% | 0.3R | -0.675% | 0.1R | 5.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.626% | 0.4R | -0.675% | 0.1R | 6.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.210% | 0.5R | -0.675% | 0.1R | 9.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.057% | 0.7R | -1.466% | 0.1R | 5.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +11.210% | 1.0R | -8.900% | 0.8R | 1.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.210% | 1.0R | -11.657% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1389 min
MAE in 754 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.14
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
73%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.35 | range_high | +0.70% | +1.00 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.17 | bear_high | -3.28% | -1.00 | 02/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
ranging_calm 57% | late | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.13 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.56% | -1.00 | 02/11 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.06 | bear_low | -0.89% | -0.56 | 02/11 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482040
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.711 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
73%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 4b 0.9ATR | — | — | 0.86 | 97% | ↑ +0.87 | value | -4.83 | — | #227349 | 0.35 | range_high | +0.70% | +1.00 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:20
|
|
4h
#486678
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.544 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 6b -2.4ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 2.49 | 95% | ↑ +0.32 | below_value | -10.28 | — | #229258 | 0.17 | bear_high | -3.28% | -1.00 |
02/11 07:00
upd 02/11 11:17
|
|
1h
anchor #487677
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.375 | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
ranging_calm 57% | late 7b -2.7ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.33 | 36% | ↑ +0.55 | below_value | -11.46 | — | #229703 | 0.13 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.56% | -1.00 |
02/11 13:00
upd 02/11 14:10
|
|
15m
#487943
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.754 | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid 8b -2.1ATR | — | — | 0.87 | 65% | ↓ -0.45 | below_value | -11.46 | — | #229703 | 0.06 | bear_low | -0.89% | -0.56 |
02/11 14:45
upd 02/11 15:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.635×ATR | p14 | +0.893×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 3.629×ATR | p53 | -2.392×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 3.73×ATR | p67 | -2.7×ATR | p93 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 2.307×ATR | p32 | -2.085×ATR | p69 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1364 | 0.1523 | 0.133 | 0.21 | 0.1031 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1364
- Stop Loss: 0.1523
- Take Profit: 0.133
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1523 - 0.1364 = 0.0159
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1364 - 0.133 = 0.0034
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0034 / 0.0159 = 0.2138
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68.7125 | 68.7125 | 503.7203 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0159
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0159 = 503.14
Taille de position USD = 503.14 x 0.1364 = 68.63
Donc, tu peux acheter 503.14 avec un stoploss a 0.1523
Avec un position size USD de 68.63$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 503.14 x 0.0159 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 503.14 x 0.0034 = 1.71
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.71$
Résumé
- Taille de position 503.14
- Taille de position USD 68.63
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 1.71
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2138
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 1.71 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.66 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.71 $ | 2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6745 % | 5.79 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1364 | 0.1523 | 0.133 | 0.21 | 0.1031 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1364
- Stop Loss: 0.1523
- Take Profit: 0.133
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1523 - 0.1364 = 0.0159
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1364 - 0.133 = 0.0034
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0034 / 0.0159 = 0.2138
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -11.657%
(0.0159)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.287% | 0.2R | -0.675% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.544% | 0.2R | -0.675% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.735% | 0.2R | -0.675% | 0.1R | 4.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.585% | 0.3R | -0.675% | 0.1R | 5.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.626% | 0.4R | -0.675% | 0.1R | 6.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.210% | 0.5R | -0.675% | 0.1R | 9.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.057% | 0.7R | -1.466% | 0.1R | 5.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +11.210% | 1.0R | -8.900% | 0.8R | 1.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.210% | 1.0R | -11.657% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1389 min
MAE in 754 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.