02 Nov 2026 at 15:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on USELESS (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1077.5 USELESS at 0.123$ per unit. Take profit: 0.12 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1305 (6.01 %)

USELESS SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 15:15 → 18:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.1231$

Qty 1077.4962 USELESS

Size 132.6075$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.12 (+2.52%)

TP $ 3.34$

SL 0.1305 (-6.01%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR 0.42

Status win PnL +2.52% / +3.34$ MAE -1.10% MFE +3.05% 0.5R expires 02 Nov 21:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 241638)
#63 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2174

Quality Score
0.341
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#63 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#63 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.20×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.86
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD TRADE
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 15:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/11 07:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/11 13:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7656
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 11.6%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→-0.002
Δ 1h
→+0.011
Δ 4h
▼-0.384
Δ 12h
→+0.004
Δ 24h
→+0.038

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 59.2%
1h 20.4%
4h 6.1%
24h 10.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 63.3% +0.05%
4h 20.4% -1.86%
24h 18.4% -3.70%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
44.9%
Expansion
44.9%
Tail ↑
+0.78
Tail ↓
+0.40
Dispersion : 0.161
Universe : 49 (+1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 15:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2566
Score SMA
0.2362
Rank
#49 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0400
Rank Norm SMA
0.0595
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2152 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.37% · r3d: 2.43% · ema21_slope: -1.2271% · dist_ema21: -18.088%
Force Relative 25% 0.2995 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.35% · rs_3d: 1.94% · beta_24h: 4.296
Volume 20% 0.2427 rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: -0.669 · trend: -25.19%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4576 ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 63.3 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 18.395% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3411
Score SMA
0.4573
Rank
#63 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2174
Rank Norm SMA
0.2602
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2389 r1h: -0.098% · r4h: -3.394% · r1d: -4.53% · r3d: -8.03% · ema21_slope: -0.1971% · dist_ema21: -2.928%
Force Relative 25% 0.3183 rs_1h: -0.203% · rs_4h: -2.850% · rs_1d: -3.63% · rs_3d: -8.22% · beta_24h: 3.903
Volume 20% 0.2847 rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.257 · trend: 16.76%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5932 ADX: 16.1 (weak) · Chop: 43.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.563% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.2391
Score SMA
0.3372
Rank
#64 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0160
Rank Norm SMA
0.0877
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1469 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.394% · r1d: -4.53% · r3d: -8.03% · ema21_slope: -0.4899% · dist_ema21: -6.878%
Force Relative 25% 0.2243 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.850% · rs_1d: -3.63% · rs_3d: -8.22% · beta_24h: 4.188
Volume 20% 0.4185 rvol_20: 1.48× · zscore_50: 0.143 · trend: -10.88%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4116 ADX: 19.2 (weak) · Chop: 68.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.1333 ATR%: 5.600% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.011% (0.0074)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.308% 0.2R -1.097% 0.2R 1.2× 12
2h +1.308% 0.2R -1.097% 0.2R 1.2× 24
4h +3.054% 0.5R -1.097% 0.2R 2.8× 48
6h ★ +3.054% 0.5R -1.097% 0.2R 2.8× 72
8h +3.054% 0.5R -1.097% 0.2R 2.8× 96
12h +3.054% 0.5R -1.641% 0.3R 1.9× 144
24h +3.396% 0.6R -5.930% 1.0R 0.6× 288
48h +3.396% 0.6R -21.852% 3.6R 0.2× 576
72h +3.396% 0.6R -21.852% 3.6R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 739 min MAE in 1339 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.27
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
37%
noisy_chop 38% mid — — — range_high +0.70% -0.98 31/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.61 bear_high -3.28% -0.32 02/11 07:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 41% mid near -0.2ATR — 0.66 bear_medium_confirmed -1.56% -0.39 02/11 13:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 44% early — — 0.70 bear_low -0.89% -0.42 02/11 14:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#482073
↔ — — — — — — bear_high
37%
noisy_chop 38% mid 39b -1.4ATR — — 0.84 20% ↑ +0.15 above_value -0.56 — #227360 — range_high +0.70% -0.98
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:22
4h
#486711
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind 0.487 compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 37% early 18b -1.1ATR — — 1.43 70% ↓ -0.17 above_value -1.57 — #229269 0.61 bear_high -3.28% -0.32
02/11 07:00
upd 02/11 11:19
1h anchor
#487690
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.498 expansion bear_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 41% mid 3b -1.3ATR near -0.2ATR — 1.06 66% ↑ +0.51 value -3.43 — #229716 0.66 bear_medium_confirmed -1.56% -0.39
02/11 13:00
upd 02/11 14:11
15m
#487956
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.479 expansion_after_compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 44% early 3b -0.5ATR — — 0.22 48% ↓ -0.36 value -3.43 — #229716 0.70 bear_low -0.89% -0.42
02/11 14:45
upd 02/11 15:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 39b — 9.328×ATR — -1.378×ATR p62
4h ↓ down early 18b — 2.275×ATR p13 -1.083×ATR p55
1h ↓ down mid 3b — 2.598×ATR p41 -1.295×ATR p65
15m ↓ down early 3b — 0.342×ATR p0 -0.453×ATR p22

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.13049462
  2. tp_price: 0.11999325
  3. atr: 0.00296985
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-03T02:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 60
  2. total: 64
  3. score: 0.1617
  4. delta_2h: -0.0835
  5. extension_atr: -0.97
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2174
  9. confidence: 0.937

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 15:15 0.12307000 -0.024%
2 16:15 0.12357000 +0.382%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1231 0.1305 0.12 0.42 0.1133
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1231
  • Stop Loss: 0.1305
  • Take Profit: 0.12

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1305 - 0.1231 = 0.0074

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1231 - 0.12 = 0.0031

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0031 / 0.0074 = 0.4189

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
132.6075 100 1077.4962 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0074

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0074 = 1081.08

Taille de position USD = 1081.08 x 0.1231 = 133.08

Donc, tu peux acheter 1081.08 avec un stoploss a 0.1305

Avec un position size USD de 133.08$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1081.08 x 0.0074 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1081.08 x 0.0031 = 3.35

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.35$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1081.08
  • Taille de position USD 133.08
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.35
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4189

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.52 % 3.34 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.01 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
3.34 $ 2.52
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0967 % 18.24 % 12
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1231 0.1305 0.12 0.42 0.1133
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1231
  • Stop Loss: 0.1305
  • Take Profit: 0.12

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1305 - 0.1231 = 0.0074

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1231 - 0.12 = 0.0031

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0031 / 0.0074 = 0.4189

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.011% (0.0074)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.308% 0.2R -1.097% 0.2R 1.2× 12
2h +1.308% 0.2R -1.097% 0.2R 1.2× 24
4h +3.054% 0.5R -1.097% 0.2R 2.8× 48
6h ★ +3.054% 0.5R -1.097% 0.2R 2.8× 72
8h +3.054% 0.5R -1.097% 0.2R 2.8× 96
12h +3.054% 0.5R -1.641% 0.3R 1.9× 144
24h +3.396% 0.6R -5.930% 1.0R 0.6× 288
48h +3.396% 0.6R -21.852% 3.6R 0.2× 576
72h +3.396% 0.6R -21.852% 3.6R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 739 min MAE in 1339 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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